Lech Poznan 0–3 Aarhus — pre-match prediction — Champions League — July 29, 2026

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Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round July 29, 2026 19:00

Lech Poznan

0 – 3

Final score

pens 3–4

Aarhus

F. Jagiello 95'

F. Jagiello 120'+1 (pen.)

Y. Agnero 120'+4 (pen.)

J. Pereira 120'+5 (pen.)

32' (ast. K. Arnstad) T. Bech

(pen.) 55' K. Arnstad

75' (ast. E. Kahl) F. Tingager

100' (ast. T. Bech) T. Kristjansson

(pen.) 120'+2 F. Tingager

(pen.) 120'+3 T. Kristjansson

(pen.) 120'+4 J. Serra

(pen.) 120'+5 T. Bech

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Aarhus 24%). The final result was Lech Poznan 0–3 Aarhus. In 1 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Aarhus.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

49%

Possession

51%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

32'

ast. K. Arnstad · T. Bech⚽

A. Kozubal

40'

45'

J. Bogere

55'

(pen.) K. Arnstad⚽

60'

C. Storch / J. Jensen-Abbew ↕

↕ L. Palma / A. Sayyadmanesh

68'

70'

R. Carstensen / J. Jonsson ↕

70'

S. Tchamche / J. Bogere ↕

75'

ast. E. Kahl · F. Tingager⚽

↕ R. Gumny / J. Pereira

81'

↕ P. Rodriguez / F. Jagiello

81'

86'

M. Anderson

↕ P. Walemark / D. Hakans

87'

↕ M. Ishak / Y. Agnero

88'

90'+3

M. Camara / E. Kahl ↕

91'

F. Emmery

⚽F. Jagiello

95'

97'

J. Serra / M. Anderson ↕

97'

T. Kristjansson / F. Emmery ↕

↕ R. Murawski / G. Thordarson

98'

100'

ast. T. Bech · T. Kristjansson⚽

Y. Agnero

105'+1

107'

M. Camara

⚽F. Jagiello (pen.)

120'+1

(missed pen.) K. Arnstad⚽

⚽A. Sayyadmanesh (missed pen.)

120'+2

(pen.) F. Tingager⚽

⚽A. Kozubal (missed pen.)

120'+3

(pen.) T. Kristjansson⚽

⚽Y. Agnero (pen.)

120'+4

(pen.) J. Serra⚽

⚽J. Pereira (pen.)

120'+5

(pen.) T. Bech⚽

Pre-match prediction

52.36%

Lech

23.1%

24.54%

Aarhus ←

we assigned to the actual result (Aarhus) 24.54% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Lech

3.36

—

Aarhus

1.61

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	12
2	Real Madrid	4	12
3	Arsenal	4	10
4	Como	4	9
5	Barcelona	4	9
6	Aston Villa	4	9
7	Manchester City	4	9
8	Liverpool	4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	9
11	Real Betis	4	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	9
13	Bayern München	4	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	7
15	Inter	4	6
16	Lask Linz	4	6
17	Manchester United	4	6
18	Galatasaray	4	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	5
20	AS Roma	4	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	4
22	Viking	4	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	4
26	FC Porto	4	3
27	Napoli	4	3
28	Villarreal	4	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	3
31	Sabah FA	4	3
32	Feyenoord	4	3
33	Lens	4	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	1
35	Lille	4	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0

Lineups

Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1

M. Lis G 5.60

M. Gurgul D 6.20

T. Yegbe D 5.90

W. Mońka D 6.20

R. Gumny 81' D 5.90

A. Kozubal M 6.30

R. Murawski M 6.60

L. Palma 68' M 6.30

Pablo Rodríguez 81' M 6.50

P. Wålemark 87' M 7.90

M. Ishak 88' F 6.50

Bench

A. Sayyadmanesh 52' M 7.30

B. Mrozek G

D. Håkans 33' M 6.70

F. Jagiełło 2 ⚽ 39' M 7.90

Gisli Thordarson 22' M 6.30

H. Janyszka D

João Moutinho D

Joel Pereira 1 ⚽ 39' D 7.30

M. Pruchniewski G

M. Skrzypczak D

Y. Agnero 1 ⚽ 32' F 6.60

Aarhus 3-4-2-1

Mads Hedenstad G 8.50

E. Kahl 1 👟 89' D 7.90

F. Tingager 2 ⚽ D 8.90

J. Jensen-Abbew 60' D 6.70

Frederik Emmery M 6.90

Jens Jønsson 70' M 6.90

Magnus Knudsen M 6.90

Mikael Anderson M 6.30

Kristian Arnstad F 7.20

Tobias Bech 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.90

James Bogere 70' F 6.00

Bench

Christian Storch 60' D 6.00

Hamuza Sengooba D

J. Serra 1 ⚽ 23' F 6.60

Marius van der Raad G

Mouhammade Camara 31' D 6.60

Oskar Haugstrup M

Otto Lyhne G

Rasmus Carstensen 50' D 6.90

Sebastian Jørgensen M

Stefen Tchamche 50' F 6.30

Tómas Óli Kristjánsson 2 ⚽ 23' F 7.70

Zander Grantzau D

Best on the pitch

F. Tingager

D · Aarhus

8.90

2 ⚽

1 shots · 73 pass

Mads Hedenstad

G · Aarhus

8.50

· 40 pass

F. Jagiełło

M · Lech

7.90

2 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

Tobias Bech

F · Aarhus

7.90

2 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 27 pass

P. Wålemark

M · Lech

7.90

2 shots · 20 pass

E. Kahl

D · Aarhus

7.90

1 👟

· 69 pass

Lech Poznan — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Lis	G	120	5.60	—	—	—	34	18%	—	—	—
M. Gurgul	D	120	6.20	—	—	1	51	37%	2	—	—
T. Yegbe	D	120	5.90	—	—	—	57	48%	—	—	—
W. Mońka	D	120	6.20	—	—	—	58	51%	3	—	—
R. Gumny	D	81	5.90	—	—	—	21	16%	1	—	—
A. Kozubal	M	120	6.30	—	—	—	44	38%	—	1	—
R. Murawski	M	98	6.60	—	—	—	51	44%	4	—	—
L. Palma	M	68	6.30	—	—	3	15	9%	—	—	—
Pablo Rodríguez	M	81	6.50	—	—	1	13	10%	—	—	—
P. Wålemark	M	87	7.90	—	—	2	20	16%	—	—	—
M. Ishak	F	88	6.50	—	—	2	14	13%	—	—	—
A. Sayyadmanesh	M	52	7.30	—	—	1	19	13%	2	—	—
D. Håkans	M	33	6.70	—	—	1	7	6%	1	—	—
F. Jagiełło	M	39	7.90	2	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
Gisli Thordarson	M	22	6.30	—	—	1	7	7%	—	—	—
Joel Pereira	D	39	7.30	1	—	—	19	16%	3	—	—
Y. Agnero	F	32	6.60	1	—	1	10	6%	—	1	—

Aarhus — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Mads Hedenstad	G	120	8.50	—	—	—	40	24%	—	—	—
E. Kahl	D	89	7.90	—	1	—	69	60%	4	—	—
F. Tingager	D	120	8.90	2	—	1	73	63%	1	—	—
J. Jensen-Abbew	D	60	6.70	—	—	—	21	18%	1	—	—
Frederik Emmery	M	97	6.90	—	—	1	27	23%	—	1	—
Jens Jønsson	M	70	6.90	—	—	—	28	21%	—	—	—
Magnus Knudsen	M	120	6.90	—	—	—	37	33%	2	—	—
Mikael Anderson	M	97	6.30	—	—	1	38	30%	2	1	—
Kristian Arnstad	F	120	7.20	—	—	2	43	29%	2	—	—
Tobias Bech	F	120	7.90	2	1	1	27	23%	—	—	—
James Bogere	F	70	6.00	—	—	—	9	6%	—	1	—
Christian Storch	D	60	6.00	—	—	—	30	25%	1	—	—
J. Serra	F	23	6.60	1	—	—	7	4%	1	—	—
Mouhammade Camara	D	31	6.60	—	—	—	16	14%	2	1	—
Rasmus Carstensen	D	50	6.90	—	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
Stefen Tchamche	F	50	6.30	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson	F	23	7.70	2	—	1	8	7%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Aarhus?

The final score was Lech Poznan 0–3 Aarhus.

What did the model predict before Lech Poznan vs Aarhus?

The model assigned 52% probability to a Lech Poznan win, 23% to a draw, and 24% to an Aarhus win.