Champions League
· 2nd Qualifying Round
July 29, 2026 19:00
F. Jagiello
95'
F. Jagiello
120'+1
(pen.)
Y. Agnero
120'+4
(pen.)
J. Pereira
120'+5
(pen.)
32'
(ast. K. Arnstad)
T. Bech
(pen.)
55'
K. Arnstad
75'
(ast. E. Kahl)
F. Tingager
100'
(ast. T. Bech)
T. Kristjansson
(pen.)
120'+2
F. Tingager
(pen.)
120'+3
T. Kristjansson
(pen.)
120'+4
J. Serra
(pen.)
120'+5
T. Bech
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Aarhus 24%). The final result was Lech Poznan 1–4 Aarhus. In 1 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Aarhus.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
6
2
Saves
8
49%
Possession
51%
14
Corners
3
16
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
32'
ast. K. Arnstad ·
T. Bech⚽
A. Kozubal
40'
45'
J. Bogere
55'
(pen.)
K. Arnstad⚽
60'
C. Storch
/
J. Jensen-Abbew
L. Palma
/ A. Sayyadmanesh
68'
70'
R. Carstensen
/
J. Jonsson
70'
S. Tchamche
/
J. Bogere
75'
ast. E. Kahl ·
F. Tingager⚽
R. Gumny
/ J. Pereira
81'
P. Rodriguez
/ F. Jagiello
81'
86'
M. Anderson
P. Walemark
/ D. Hakans
87'
M. Ishak
/ Y. Agnero
88'
90'+3
M. Camara
/
E. Kahl
91'
F. Emmery
⚽F. Jagiello
95'
97'
J. Serra
/
M. Anderson
97'
T. Kristjansson
/
F. Emmery
R. Murawski
/ G. Thordarson
98'
100'
ast. T. Bech ·
T. Kristjansson⚽
Y. Agnero
105'+1
107'
M. Camara
⚽F. Jagiello
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(missed pen.)
K. Arnstad⚽
⚽A. Sayyadmanesh
(missed pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.)
F. Tingager⚽
⚽A. Kozubal
(missed pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.)
T. Kristjansson⚽
⚽Y. Agnero
(pen.)
120'+4
120'+4
(pen.)
J. Serra⚽
⚽J. Pereira
(pen.)
120'+5
120'+5
(pen.)
T. Bech⚽
Pre-match prediction
52.36%
Lech
23.1%
X
24.54%
Aarhus ←
we assigned to the actual result (Aarhus)
24.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.36
—
—
1.61
—
—
Lineups
1
Mateusz Lis
G
Mateusz Lis
G
15
Michal Gurgul
D
Michal Gurgul
D
59
Terry Yegbe
D
Terry Yegbe
D
27
Wojciech Mońka
D
Wojciech Mońka
D
20
Robert Gumny
81'
D
Robert Gumny
81'
D
43
Antoni Kozubal
M
Antoni Kozubal
M
22
Radosław Murawski
M
Radosław Murawski
M
77
Luis Palma
68'
M
Luis Palma
68'
M
21
Pablo Rodríguez
81'
M
Pablo Rodríguez
81'
M
10
Patrik Wålemark
87'
M
Patrik Wålemark
87'
M
9
Mikael Ishak
88'
F
Mikael Ishak
88'
F
Bench
17
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
52'
M
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
52'
M
41
Bartosz Mrozek
G
Bartosz Mrozek
G
11
Daniel Håkans
33'
M
Daniel Håkans
33'
M
24
Filip Jagiełło
2 ⚽
39'
M
Filip Jagiełło
2 ⚽
39'
M
23
Gisli Thordarson
22'
M
Gisli Thordarson
22'
M
90
Hubert Janyszka
D
Hubert Janyszka
D
4
João Moutinho
D
João Moutinho
D
2
Joel Pereira
1 ⚽
39'
D
Joel Pereira
1 ⚽
39'
D
35
Mateusz Pruchniewski
G
Mateusz Pruchniewski
G
72
Mateusz Skrzypczak
D
Mateusz Skrzypczak
D
7
Yannick Agnero
1 ⚽
32'
F
Yannick Agnero
1 ⚽
32'
F
21
Mads Hedenstad
G
Mads Hedenstad
G
19
Eric Kahl
1 👟
89'
D
Eric Kahl
1 👟
89'
D
5
Frederik Tingager
2 ⚽
D
Frederik Tingager
2 ⚽
D
40
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
60'
D
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
60'
D
39
Frederik Emmery
M
Frederik Emmery
M
16
Jens Jønsson
70'
M
Jens Jønsson
70'
M
4
Magnus Knudsen
M
Magnus Knudsen
M
23
Mikael Anderson
M
Mikael Anderson
M
10
Kristian Arnstad
F
Kristian Arnstad
F
31
Tobias Bech
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Tobias Bech
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
28
James Bogere
70'
F
James Bogere
70'
F
Bench
45
Christian Storch
60'
D
Christian Storch
60'
D
46
Hamuza Sengooba
D
Hamuza Sengooba
D
13
Janni Serra
1 ⚽
23'
F
Janni Serra
1 ⚽
23'
F
42
Marius van der Raad
G
Marius van der Raad
G
44
Mouhammade Camara
31'
D
Mouhammade Camara
31'
D
22
Oskar Haugstrup
M
Oskar Haugstrup
M
41
Otto Lyhne
G
Otto Lyhne
G
29
Rasmus Carstensen
50'
D
Rasmus Carstensen
50'
D
8
Sebastian Jørgensen
M
Sebastian Jørgensen
M
27
Stefen Tchamche
50'
F
Stefen Tchamche
50'
F
20
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
2 ⚽
23'
F
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
2 ⚽
23'
F
43
Zander Grantzau
D
Zander Grantzau
D
Best on the pitch
Frederik Tingager
D · Aarhus
8.90
2 ⚽
1 shots
· 73 pass
Mads Hedenstad
G · Aarhus
8.50
· 40 pass
Filip Jagiełło
M · Lech
7.90
2 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Tobias Bech
F · Aarhus
7.90
2 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
Patrik Wålemark
M · Lech
7.90
2 shots
· 20 pass
Eric Kahl
D · Aarhus
7.90
1 👟
· 69 pass
Lech Poznan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Lis | G | 120 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Michal Gurgul | D | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Terry Yegbe | D | 120 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Wojciech Mońka | D | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Robert Gumny | D | 81 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Antoni Kozubal | M | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| Radosław Murawski | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Luis Palma | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Rodríguez | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Patrik Wålemark | M | 87 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Mikael Ishak | F | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Allahyar Sayyadmanesh | M | 52 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Håkans | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Jagiełło | M | 39 | 7.90 | 2 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gisli Thordarson | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Joel Pereira | D | 39 | 7.30 | 1 | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Yannick Agnero | F | 32 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Hedenstad | G | 120 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Eric Kahl | D | 89 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 69 | 60% | 4 | — | — |
| Frederik Tingager | D | 120 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 1 | 73 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonas Jensen-Abbew | D | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Jens Jønsson | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Magnus Knudsen | M | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Mikael Anderson | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kristian Arnstad | F | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Tobias Bech | F | 120 | 7.90 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| James Bogere | F | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Christian Storch | D | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Janni Serra | F | 23 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Mouhammade Camara | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rasmus Carstensen | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Stefen Tchamche | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Tómas Óli Kristjánsson | F | 23 | 7.70 | 2 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Aarhus?
The final score was Lech Poznan 1–4 Aarhus.
What did the model predict before Lech Poznan vs Aarhus?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Lech Poznan win, 23% to a draw, and 24% to an Aarhus win.