Lech Poznan 0–3 Aarhus — pre-match prediction — Champions League — July 29, 2026

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Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round July 29, 2026 19:00

Lech Poznan

0 – 3

Final score

pens 3–4

Aarhus

F. Jagiello 95'

F. Jagiello 120'+1 (pen.)

Y. Agnero 120'+4 (pen.)

J. Pereira 120'+5 (pen.)

32' (ast. K. Arnstad) T. Bech

(pen.) 55' K. Arnstad

75' (ast. E. Kahl) F. Tingager

100' (ast. T. Bech) T. Kristjansson

(pen.) 120'+2 F. Tingager

(pen.) 120'+3 T. Kristjansson

(pen.) 120'+4 J. Serra

(pen.) 120'+5 T. Bech

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Aarhus 24%). The final result was Lech Poznan 0–3 Aarhus. In 1 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Aarhus.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

49%

Possession

51%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

32'

ast. K. Arnstad · T. Bech⚽

A. Kozubal

40'

45'

J. Bogere

55'

(pen.) K. Arnstad⚽

60'

C. Storch / J. Jensen-Abbew ↕

↕ L. Palma / A. Sayyadmanesh

68'

70'

R. Carstensen / J. Jonsson ↕

70'

S. Tchamche / J. Bogere ↕

75'

ast. E. Kahl · F. Tingager⚽

↕ R. Gumny / J. Pereira

81'

↕ P. Rodriguez / F. Jagiello

81'

86'

M. Anderson

↕ P. Walemark / D. Hakans

87'

↕ M. Ishak / Y. Agnero

88'

90'+3

M. Camara / E. Kahl ↕

91'

F. Emmery

⚽F. Jagiello

95'

97'

J. Serra / M. Anderson ↕

97'

T. Kristjansson / F. Emmery ↕

↕ R. Murawski / G. Thordarson

98'

100'

ast. T. Bech · T. Kristjansson⚽

Y. Agnero

105'+1

107'

M. Camara

⚽F. Jagiello (pen.)

120'+1

(missed pen.) K. Arnstad⚽

⚽A. Sayyadmanesh (missed pen.)

120'+2

(pen.) F. Tingager⚽

⚽A. Kozubal (missed pen.)

120'+3

(pen.) T. Kristjansson⚽

⚽Y. Agnero (pen.)

120'+4

(pen.) J. Serra⚽

⚽J. Pereira (pen.)

120'+5

(pen.) T. Bech⚽

Pre-match prediction

52.36%

Lech

23.1%

24.54%

Aarhus ←

we assigned to the actual result (Aarhus) 24.54% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Lech

3.36

—

Aarhus

1.61

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	1	3
2	Bayern München	1	3
3	Barcelona	1	3
4	Manchester United	1	3
5	Como	1	3
6	VfB Stuttgart	1	3
7	Sporting CP	1	3
8	Manchester City	1	3
9	Aston Villa	1	3
10	Lens	1	3
11	Real Betis	1	3
12	Borussia Dortmund	1	3
13	Liverpool	1	3
14	Real Madrid	1	3
15	Arsenal	1	3
16	AEK Athens FC	1	3
17	AS Roma	1	1
18	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	1
19	PSV Eindhoven	1	1
20	Fenerbahçe	1	1
21	Villarreal	1	0
22	Lille	1	0
23	Slavia Praha	1	0
24	Club Brugge KV	1	0
25	Inter	1	0
26	Atletico Madrid	1	0
27	Napoli	1	0
28	Lask Linz	1	0
29	Viking	1	0
30	Galatasaray	1	0
31	FC Porto	1	0
32	RB Leipzig	1	0
33	Feyenoord	1	0
34	Sabah FA	1	0
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0

Lineups

Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1

M. Lis G 5.60

M. Gurgul D 6.20

T. Yegbe D 5.90

W. Mońka D 6.20

R. Gumny 81' D 5.90

Antoni Kozubal M 6.30

R. Murawski M 6.60

L. Palma 68' M 6.30

Pablo Rodríguez 81' M 6.50

P. Wålemark 87' M 7.90

M. Ishak 88' F 6.50

Bench

A. Sayyadmanesh 52' M 7.30

B. Mrozek G

D. Håkans 33' M 6.70

F. Jagiełło 2 ⚽ 39' M 7.90

Gisli Thordarson 22' M 6.30

Hubert Janyszka D

João Moutinho D

Joel Pereira 1 ⚽ 39' D 7.30

M. Pruchniewski G

M. Skrzypczak D

Y. Agnero 1 ⚽ 32' F 6.60

Aarhus 3-4-2-1

M. Hedenstad Christiansen G 8.50

E. Kahl 1 👟 89' D 7.90

Frederik Tingager 2 ⚽ D 8.90

J. Jensen-Abbew 60' D 6.70

Frederik Emmery M 6.90

J. Jønsson 70' M 6.90

M. Knudsen M 6.90

M. Anderson M 6.30

Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad F 7.20

T. Bech 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.90

J. Bogere 70' F 6.00

Bench

Christian Storch 60' D 6.00

Hamuza Sengooba D

J. Serra 1 ⚽ 23' F 6.60

Marius van der Raad G

Mouhammade Camara 31' D 6.60

Oskar Haugstrup M

Otto Lyhne G

R. Carstensen 50' D 6.90

S. Jørgensen M

S. Tchamche 50' F 6.30

Tómas Óli Kristjánsson 2 ⚽ 23' F 7.70

Zander Grantzau D

Best on the pitch

Frederik Tingager

D · Aarhus

8.90

2 ⚽

1 shots · 73 pass

M. Hedenstad Christiansen

G · Aarhus

8.50

· 40 pass

F. Jagiełło

M · Lech

7.90

2 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

T. Bech

F · Aarhus

7.90

2 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 27 pass

P. Wålemark

M · Lech

7.90

2 shots · 20 pass

E. Kahl

D · Aarhus

7.90

1 👟

· 69 pass

Lech Poznan — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Lis	G	120	5.60	—	—	—	34	18%	—	—	—
M. Gurgul	D	120	6.20	—	—	1	51	37%	2	—	—
T. Yegbe	D	120	5.90	—	—	—	57	48%	—	—	—
W. Mońka	D	120	6.20	—	—	—	58	51%	3	—	—
R. Gumny	D	81	5.90	—	—	—	21	16%	1	—	—
Antoni Kozubal	M	120	6.30	—	—	—	44	38%	—	1	—
R. Murawski	M	98	6.60	—	—	—	51	44%	4	—	—
L. Palma	M	68	6.30	—	—	3	15	9%	—	—	—
Pablo Rodríguez	M	81	6.50	—	—	1	13	10%	—	—	—
P. Wålemark	M	87	7.90	—	—	2	20	16%	—	—	—
M. Ishak	F	88	6.50	—	—	2	14	13%	—	—	—
A. Sayyadmanesh	M	52	7.30	—	—	1	19	13%	2	—	—
D. Håkans	M	33	6.70	—	—	1	7	6%	1	—	—
F. Jagiełło	M	39	7.90	2	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
Gisli Thordarson	M	22	6.30	—	—	1	7	7%	—	—	—
Joel Pereira	D	39	7.30	1	—	—	19	16%	3	—	—
Y. Agnero	F	32	6.60	1	—	1	10	6%	—	1	—

Aarhus — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Hedenstad Christiansen	G	120	8.50	—	—	—	40	24%	—	—	—
E. Kahl	D	89	7.90	—	1	—	69	60%	4	—	—
Frederik Tingager	D	120	8.90	2	—	1	73	63%	1	—	—
J. Jensen-Abbew	D	60	6.70	—	—	—	21	18%	1	—	—
Frederik Emmery	M	97	6.90	—	—	1	27	23%	—	1	—
J. Jønsson	M	70	6.90	—	—	—	28	21%	—	—	—
M. Knudsen	M	120	6.90	—	—	—	37	33%	2	—	—
M. Anderson	M	97	6.30	—	—	1	38	30%	2	1	—
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad	F	120	7.20	—	—	2	43	29%	2	—	—
T. Bech	F	120	7.90	2	1	1	27	23%	—	—	—
J. Bogere	F	70	6.00	—	—	—	9	6%	—	1	—
Christian Storch	D	60	6.00	—	—	—	30	25%	1	—	—
J. Serra	F	23	6.60	1	—	—	7	4%	1	—	—
Mouhammade Camara	D	31	6.60	—	—	—	16	14%	2	1	—
R. Carstensen	D	50	6.90	—	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
S. Tchamche	F	50	6.30	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson	F	23	7.70	2	—	1	8	7%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Aarhus?

The final score was Lech Poznan 0–3 Aarhus.

What did the model predict before Lech Poznan vs Aarhus?

The model assigned 52% probability to a Lech Poznan win, 23% to a draw, and 24% to an Aarhus win.