Europa League
· Play-offs
August 20, 2026 19:00
✓Model correct — prediction Lech Poznan
P. Walemark
10'
A. Sayyadmanesh
(ast. P. Rodriguez)
20'
P. Walemark
(ast. M. Gurgul)
25'
M. Skrzypczak
(ast. A. Kozubal)
31'
R. Murawski
(ast. P. Rodriguez)
45'
D. Hakans
(ast. A. Sayyadmanesh)
47'
R. Gumny
(ast. M. Gurgul)
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 63% win probability (draw 19%, FC Thun 17%). The final result was Lech Poznan 7–0 FC Thun. In 1 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Thun.
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
4
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
2
Match Events
⚽P. Walemark
10'
⚽A. Sayyadmanesh
· ast. P. Rodriguez
20'
⚽P. Walemark
· ast. M. Gurgul
25'
⚽M. Skrzypczak
· ast. A. Kozubal
31'
P. Walemark
/ D. Hakans
37'
45'+1
F. Dursun
/
M. Gutbub
⚽R. Murawski
· ast. P. Rodriguez
45'
46'
T. Strannegard
/
M. Heule
46'
F. Saiz
/
N. Zoukit
⚽D. Hakans
· ast. A. Sayyadmanesh
47'
50'
N. Reichmuth
56'
N. Burgy
/
N. Reichmuth
P. Rodriguez
/ R. Gumny
64'
L. Palma
/ G. Berggren
64'
66'
70'
T. Strannegard
⚽R. Gumny
· ast. M. Gurgul
79'
A. Sayyadmanesh
/ W. Szymczak
80'
A. Kozubal
/ K. Delikat
80'
82'
L. Dahler
/
B. Labeau
R. Murawski
87'
Pre-match prediction
63.1%
Lech ←
19.89%
X
17.01%
FC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lech Poznan)
63.1%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.70
—
—
0.69
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs FC Thun?
The final score was Lech Poznan 7–0 FC Thun.
What did the model predict before Lech Poznan vs FC Thun?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Lech Poznan win, 19% to a draw, and 17% to an FC Thun win.