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Lech Poznan - Ferencvarosi TC

Europa League December 10, 2026 21:00
Lech Poznan
#35 · 0 pts
vs
Ferencvarosi TC
#6 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.33%
Win
Lech Poznan
20.71%
Draw
23.96%
Win
Ferencvarosi TC
2.3
Expected xG
1.33
Most likely outcome
Lech Poznan
55.33%
Probability
64.3%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.46%)
1X2 Result
1 55%
X 21%
2 24%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 76%
X2 45%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 73%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lech Poznan a 55% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Ferencvarosi TC. Expected goals are 2.3 for Lech Poznan and 1.3 for Ferencvarosi TC (total 3.6), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.46% probability.

Season Stats

Lech Poznan
4W 1D 2L
Ferencvarosi TC
9W 3D 3L
Averages per game
2.6
Goals
1.7
1.7
Conceded
1.1
6.0
Shots OT
4.6
4.6
Corners
3.7
41%
Poss.
41%
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
87%
86%
O 2.5
60%
43%
BTTS
47%
43%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
54%
O 3.5
52%
BTTS
Lech Poznan
2W 0D 1L · at home
Ferencvarosi TC
5W 2D 3L · away
3.0
gls/g
1.4
1.7
Conceded
1.7
67%
Win %
50%
67%
Win or Draw
70%
67%
O 1.5
90%
67%
O 2.5
70%
67%
O 3.5
40%
33%
BTTS
70%
67%
Clean Sht
10%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lech Poznan Ferencvarosi TC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.0% 9.3% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.4% 7.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% —

Recent form

Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
L Crystal Palace 4–0
D FC Thun 2–2
W FC Thun 7–0
W KI Klaksvik 0–5
W KI Klaksvik 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
W Celtic 1–3
W Trabzonspor 4–0
W Trabzonspor 0–1
D Gornik Zabrze 1–1
W Gornik Zabrze 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
Attack
56
Defence
62
Form
48
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
Attack
56
Defence
73
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Ferencvarosi TC?
The model gives Lech Poznan a 55% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 23% for an Ferencvarosi TC win.
How many goals are expected in Lech Poznan vs Ferencvarosi TC?
Expected goals: Lech Poznan 2.3, Ferencvarosi TC 1.3 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Lech Poznan vs Ferencvarosi TC?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.46%.