Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28 April 12, 2026 17:30

Lech Poznan

#2 · 16 pts

3 – 3

Final score

GKS Katowice

#10 · 9 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Lech Poznan, result Draw

A. Jedrych 48' (og)

D. Hakans (ast. L. Palma) 74'

L. Palma (ast. A. Gholizadeh) 80'

38' (ast. A. Czerwinski) E. Markovic

60' I. Shkurin

78' E. Markovic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 65% win probability (draw 18%, GKS Katowice 16%). The final result was Lech Poznan 3–3 GKS Katowice. In 1 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for GKS Katowice.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

15

6

Shots on target

9

1.35

Actual xG

1.74

5

Saves

4

62%

Possession

38%

6

Corners

9

15

Tackles

8

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

38'

ast. A. Czerwinski · E. Markovic⚽

⚽A. Jedrych (og)

48'

Patrik Wålemark

53'

↕ P. Rodriguez / F. Jagiello

59'

60'

I. Shkurin⚽

↕ P. Walemark / L. Palma

68'

↕ M. Ishak / Y. Agnero

68'

↕ L. Bengtsson / D. Hakans

68'

73'

A. Zrelak / I. Shkurin ↕

73'

E. Jirka / B. Galan ↕

73'

K. Lukasiak / S. Milewski ↕

⚽D. Hakans · ast. L. Palma

74'

78'

E. Markovic⚽

↕ A. Kozubal / T. Ouma

80'

⚽L. Palma · ast. A. Gholizadeh

80'

90'+3

M. Wedrychowski / E. Markovic ↕

90'

M. Wdowiak / A. Czerwinski ↕

Pre-match prediction

65.46%

Lech

18.39%

X ←

16.15%

GKS

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.39% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lech

2.40

1.35

-1.05

GKS

0.88

1.74

+0.86

GKS Katowice dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	7	18
2	Lech Poznan	7	16
3	Legia Warszawa	7	15
4	Wisla Krakow	8	14
5	Pogon Szczecin	7	12
6	Korona Kielce	7	12
7	Zaglebie Lubin	7	12
8	Jagiellonia	7	12
9	Piast Gliwice	7	10
10	GKS Katowice	7	9
11	Cracovia Krakow	8	8
12	Wisla Plock	7	8
13	Radomiak Radom	7	8
14	Widzew Łódź	7	7
15	Slask Wroclaw	8	6
16	Motor Lublin	8	5
17	Wieczysta Kraków	7	4
18	Raków Częstochowa	7	3

Lineups

Lech Poznan 4-4-2

41

G 6.70

15 M. Gurgul D 6.70

72

D 6.20

27

D 7.20

2 Joel Pereira D 6.70

14 L. Bengtsson 68' M 6.30

99 Pablo Rodríguez 59' M 7.00

43 Antoni Kozubal 80' M 6.90

8

A. Gholizadeh 1 👟 M 6.90

9 M. Ishak 68' F 6.90

10 P. Wålemark 68' F 6.30

Bench

11 D. Håkans 1 ⚽ 22' M 7.20

77 L. Palma 1 ⚽ 1 👟 22' M 7.90

20 R. Gumny D

6 Timothy Ouma 10' M 6.70

GKS Katowice 3-4-3

12

G 6.70

14

D 6.00

4 A. Jędrych 1 ⚽ D 5.90

30 A. Czerwiński 1 👟 89' D 6.20

8 Borja Galán 73' M 6.30

26 D. Rasak M 6.50

22 S. Milewski 73' M 7.00

23 M. Wasielewski M 6.90

27 B. Nowak F 7.60

80 I. Shkurin 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.60

15 E. Marković 2 ⚽ 89' F 9.20

Bench

1 Dawid Kudła G

97 E. Jirka 17' M 6.50

70 M. Wdowiak 10' M 6.90

Best on the pitch

E. Marković

F · GKS

9.20

2 ⚽

2 shots · 22 pass

L. Palma

M · Lech

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 12 pass

I. Shkurin

F · GKS

7.60

1 ⚽

5 shots · 15 pass

B. Nowak

F · GKS

7.60

2 shots · 23 pass

D · Lech

7.20

· 73 pass

D. Håkans

M · Lech

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 4 pass

Lech Poznan — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	39	31%	—	—	—
M. Gurgul	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	73	65%	4	—	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	83	79%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	73	68%	3	—	—
Joel Pereira	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	57	50%	1	—	—
L. Bengtsson	M	68	6.30	—	—	2	12	12%	—	—	—
Pablo Rodríguez	M	59	7.00	—	—	—	20	14%	2	—	—
Antoni Kozubal	M	80	6.90	—	—	—	52	45%	2	—	—
A. Gholizadeh	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	54	44%	—	—	—
M. Ishak	F	68	6.90	—	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
P. Wålemark	F	68	6.30	—	—	2	10	9%	1	1	—
D. Håkans	M	22	7.20	1	—	2	4	3%	—	—	—
L. Palma	M	22	7.90	1	1	2	12	11%	1	—	—
Timothy Ouma	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	7	5%	1	—	—

GKS Katowice — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	24	17%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	31	26%	—	—	—
A. Jędrych	D	90	5.90	1	—	1	45	37%	1	—	—
A. Czerwiński	D	89	6.20	—	1	—	33	30%	—	—	—
Borja Galán	M	73	6.30	—	—	1	28	21%	—	—	—
D. Rasak	M	90	6.50	—	—	2	29	22%	1	—	—
S. Milewski	M	73	7.00	—	—	—	26	23%	2	—	—
M. Wasielewski	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	26	22%	1	—	—
B. Nowak	F	90	7.60	—	—	2	23	16%	2	—	—
I. Shkurin	F	73	7.60	1	—	5	15	13%	—	—	—
E. Marković	F	89	9.20	2	—	2	22	18%	1	—	—
E. Jirka	M	17	6.50	—	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
M. Wdowiak	M	10	6.90	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—