Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28 April 12, 2026 19:30

Lech Poznan

#1 · 56 pts

3 – 3

Final score

GKS Katowice

#5 · 48 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Lech Poznan, result Pareggio

A. Jedrych 48' (og)

D. Hakans (ast. L. Palma) 74'

L. Palma (ast. A. Gholizadeh) 80'

38' (ast. A. Czerwinski) E. Markovic

60' I. Shkurin

78' E. Markovic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 65% win probability (draw 18%, GKS Katowice 16%). The final result was Lech Poznan 3–3 GKS Katowice. In 1 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for GKS Katowice.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

15

6

Shots on target

9

1.35

Actual xG

1.74

5

Saves

4

62%

Possession

38%

6

Corners

9

15

Tackles

8

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

38'

ast. A. Czerwinski · E. Markovic⚽

⚽A. Jedrych (og)

48'

Patrik Wålemark

53'

↕ P. Rodriguez / F. Jagiello

59'

60'

I. Shkurin⚽

↕ P. Walemark / L. Palma

68'

↕ M. Ishak / Y. Agnero

68'

↕ L. Bengtsson / D. Hakans

68'

73'

A. Zrelak / I. Shkurin ↕

73'

E. Jirka / B. Galan ↕

73'

K. Lukasiak / S. Milewski ↕

⚽D. Hakans · ast. L. Palma

74'

78'

E. Markovic⚽

↕ A. Kozubal / T. Ouma

80'

⚽L. Palma · ast. A. Gholizadeh

80'

90'+3

M. Wedrychowski / E. Markovic ↕

90'

M. Wdowiak / A. Czerwinski ↕

Pre-match prediction

65.46%

Lech

18.39%

X ←

16.15%

GKS

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.39% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lech

2.40

1.35

-1.05

GKS

0.88

1.74

+0.86

GKS Katowice dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	32	56
2	Jagiellonia	32	52
3	Gornik Zabrze	32	50
4	Raków Częstochowa	32	49
5	GKS Katowice	32	48
6	Zaglebie Lubin	32	48
7	Wisla Plock	32	45
8	Radomiak Radom	32	44
9	Legia Warszawa	32	43
10	Motor Lublin	32	42
11	Pogon Szczecin	32	41
12	Piast Gliwice	32	41
13	Cracovia Krakow	32	40
14	Widzew Łódź	32	39
15	Korona Kielce	32	39
16	Lechia Gdansk	32	38
17	Arka Gdynia	32	36
18	Nieciecza	32	28

Lineups

Lech Poznan 4-4-2

41

G 6.70

15

M. Gurgul D 6.70

72

D 6.20

27

D 7.20

2

J. Pereira D 6.70

14

L. Bengtsson 68' M 6.30

99

Pablo Rodríguez 59' M 7.00

43

A. Kozubal 80' M 6.90

8

A. Gholizadeh 1 👟 M 6.90

9 M. Ishak 68' F 6.90

10

Patrik Wålemark 68' F 6.30

Bench

11

D. Hakans 1 ⚽ 22' M 7.20

77

L. Palma 1 ⚽ 1 👟 22' M 7.90

20

R. Gumny D

6

T. Ouma 10' M 6.70

GKS Katowice 3-4-3

12

G 6.70

14

D 6.00

4 Arkadiusz Jędrych 1 ⚽ D 5.90

30 Alan Czerwiński 1 👟 89' D 6.20

8

B. Galan 73' M 6.30

26 Damian Rasak M 6.50

22 Sebastian Milewski 73' M 7.00

23 Marcin Wasielewski M 6.90

27 Bartosz Nowak F 7.60

80 Ilia Shkurin 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.60

15 Eman Marković 2 ⚽ 89' F 9.20

Bench

1 Dawid Kudła G

97 Erik Jirka 17' M 6.50

70 Mateusz Wdowiak 10' M 6.90

Best on the pitch

Eman Marković

F · GKS

9.20

2 ⚽

2 shots · 22 pass

L. Palma

M · Lech

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 12 pass

Ilia Shkurin

F · GKS

7.60

1 ⚽

5 shots · 15 pass

Bartosz Nowak

F · GKS

7.60

2 shots · 23 pass

D · Lech

7.20

· 73 pass

D. Hakans

M · Lech

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 4 pass

Lech Poznan — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	39	31%	—	—	—
M. Gurgul	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	73	65%	4	—	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	83	79%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	73	68%	3	—	—
J. Pereira	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	57	50%	1	—	—
L. Bengtsson	M	68	6.30	—	—	2	12	12%	—	—	—
Pablo Rodríguez	M	59	7.00	—	—	—	20	14%	2	—	—
A. Kozubal	M	80	6.90	—	—	—	52	45%	2	—	—
A. Gholizadeh	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	54	44%	—	—	—
M. Ishak	F	68	6.90	—	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
Patrik Wålemark	F	68	6.30	—	—	2	10	9%	1	1	—
D. Hakans	M	22	7.20	1	—	2	4	3%	—	—	—
L. Palma	M	22	7.90	1	1	2	12	11%	1	—	—
T. Ouma	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	7	5%	1	—	—

GKS Katowice — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	24	17%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	31	26%	—	—	—
Arkadiusz Jędrych	D	90	5.90	1	—	1	45	37%	1	—	—
Alan Czerwiński	D	89	6.20	—	1	—	33	30%	—	—	—
B. Galan	M	73	6.30	—	—	1	28	21%	—	—	—
Damian Rasak	M	90	6.50	—	—	2	29	22%	1	—	—
Sebastian Milewski	M	73	7.00	—	—	—	26	23%	2	—	—
Marcin Wasielewski	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	26	22%	1	—	—
Bartosz Nowak	F	90	7.60	—	—	2	23	16%	2	—	—
Ilia Shkurin	F	73	7.60	1	—	5	15	13%	—	—	—
Eman Marković	F	89	9.20	2	—	2	22	18%	1	—	—
Erik Jirka	M	17	6.50	—	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
Mateusz Wdowiak	M	10	6.90	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—