Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28 April 12, 2026 17:30

Lech Poznan

#12 · 0 pts

3 – 3

Final score

GKS Katowice

#5 · 0 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Lech Poznan, result Draw

A. Jedrych 48' (og)

D. Hakans (ast. L. Palma) 74'

L. Palma (ast. A. Gholizadeh) 80'

38' (ast. A. Czerwinski) E. Markovic

60' I. Shkurin

78' E. Markovic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 65% win probability (draw 18%, GKS Katowice 16%). The final result was Lech Poznan 3–3 GKS Katowice. In 1 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for GKS Katowice.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

15

6

Shots on target

9

1.35

Actual xG

1.74

5

Saves

4

62%

Possession

38%

6

Corners

9

15

Tackles

8

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

38'

ast. A. Czerwinski · E. Markovic⚽

⚽A. Jedrych (og)

48'

Patrik Wålemark

53'

↕ P. Rodriguez / F. Jagiello

59'

60'

I. Shkurin⚽

↕ P. Walemark / L. Palma

68'

↕ M. Ishak / Y. Agnero

68'

↕ L. Bengtsson / D. Hakans

68'

73'

A. Zrelak / I. Shkurin ↕

73'

E. Jirka / B. Galan ↕

73'

K. Lukasiak / S. Milewski ↕

⚽D. Hakans · ast. L. Palma

74'

78'

E. Markovic⚽

↕ A. Kozubal / T. Ouma

80'

⚽L. Palma · ast. A. Gholizadeh

80'

90'+3

M. Wedrychowski / E. Markovic ↕

90'

M. Wdowiak / A. Czerwinski ↕

Pre-match prediction

65.46%

Lech

18.39%

X ←

16.15%

GKS

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.39% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lech

2.40

1.35

-1.05

GKS

0.88

1.74

+0.86

GKS Katowice dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	0	0
2	Gornik Zabrze	0	0
3	Korona Kielce	0	0
4	Piast Gliwice	0	0
5	GKS Katowice	0	0
6	Motor Lublin	0	0
7	Slask Wroclaw	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0
10	Wisla Krakow	0	0
11	Legia Warszawa	0	0
12	Lech Poznan	0	0
13	Zaglebie Lubin	0	0
14	Cracovia Krakow	0	0
15	Widzew Łódź	0	0
16	Radomiak Radom	0	0
17	Raków Częstochowa	0	0
18	Wieczysta Kraków	0	0

Lineups

Lech Poznan 4-4-2

41

G 6.70

15 Michal Gurgul D 6.70

72

D 6.20

27

D 7.20

2 Joel Pereira D 6.70

14 Leo Bengtsson 68' M 6.30

99 Pablo Rodríguez 59' M 7.00

43 Antoni Kozubal 80' M 6.90

8

A. Gholizadeh 1 👟 M 6.90

9 M. Ishak 68' F 6.90

10 Patrik Wålemark 68' F 6.30

Bench

11 Daniel Håkans 1 ⚽ 22' M 7.20

77 L. Palma 1 ⚽ 1 👟 22' M 7.90

20 Robert Gumny D

6 Timothy Ouma 10' M 6.70

GKS Katowice 3-4-3

12

G 6.70

14

D 6.00

4 Arkadiusz Jędrych 1 ⚽ D 5.90

30 Alan Czerwiński 1 👟 89' D 6.20

8 Borja Galán 73' M 6.30

26 Damian Rasak M 6.50

22 Sebastian Milewski 73' M 7.00

23 Marcin Wasielewski M 6.90

27 B. Nowak F 7.60

80 Ilia Shkurin 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.60

15 E. Marković 2 ⚽ 89' F 9.20

Bench

1 Dawid Kudła G

97 Erik Jirka 17' M 6.50

70 Mateusz Wdowiak 10' M 6.90

Best on the pitch

E. Marković

F · GKS

9.20

2 ⚽

2 shots · 22 pass

L. Palma

M · Lech

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 12 pass

Ilia Shkurin

F · GKS

7.60

1 ⚽

5 shots · 15 pass

B. Nowak

F · GKS

7.60

2 shots · 23 pass

D · Lech

7.20

· 73 pass

Daniel Håkans

M · Lech

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 4 pass

Lech Poznan — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	39	31%	—	—	—
Michal Gurgul	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	73	65%	4	—	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	83	79%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	73	68%	3	—	—
Joel Pereira	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	57	50%	1	—	—
Leo Bengtsson	M	68	6.30	—	—	2	12	12%	—	—	—
Pablo Rodríguez	M	59	7.00	—	—	—	20	14%	2	—	—
Antoni Kozubal	M	80	6.90	—	—	—	52	45%	2	—	—
A. Gholizadeh	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	54	44%	—	—	—
M. Ishak	F	68	6.90	—	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
Patrik Wålemark	F	68	6.30	—	—	2	10	9%	1	1	—
Daniel Håkans	M	22	7.20	1	—	2	4	3%	—	—	—
L. Palma	M	22	7.90	1	1	2	12	11%	1	—	—
Timothy Ouma	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	7	5%	1	—	—

GKS Katowice — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	24	17%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	31	26%	—	—	—
Arkadiusz Jędrych	D	90	5.90	1	—	1	45	37%	1	—	—
Alan Czerwiński	D	89	6.20	—	1	—	33	30%	—	—	—
Borja Galán	M	73	6.30	—	—	1	28	21%	—	—	—
Damian Rasak	M	90	6.50	—	—	2	29	22%	1	—	—
Sebastian Milewski	M	73	7.00	—	—	—	26	23%	2	—	—
Marcin Wasielewski	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	26	22%	1	—	—
B. Nowak	F	90	7.60	—	—	2	23	16%	2	—	—
Ilia Shkurin	F	73	7.60	1	—	5	15	13%	—	—	—
E. Marković	F	89	9.20	2	—	2	22	18%	1	—	—
Erik Jirka	M	17	6.50	—	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
Mateusz Wdowiak	M	10	6.90	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—