Lech Poznan 6–1 Korona Kielce — pre-match prediction — Ekstraklasa — October 18, 2026

← Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11 October 18, 2026 17:30 Stadion Miejski, Poznan

Lech Poznan

#1 · 28 pts

6 – 1

Final score

Korona Kielce

#9 · 18 pts

Patrick Walemark (ast. Pablo Rodriguez Delgado) 4'

Pablo Rodriguez Delgado (ast. Joel Pereira) 6'

Mikael Ishak (ast. Pablo Rodriguez Delgado) 23'

Pablo Rodriguez Delgado (ast. Mikael Ishak) 45'+4

Mikael Ishak (ast. Pablo Rodriguez Delgado) 55'

Y. Agnero (ast. Michal Gurgul) 90'+1

57' (ast. Wiktor Długosz) Camilo Mena

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 52% win probability (draw 25%, Korona Kielce 22%). The final result was Lech Poznan 6–1 Korona Kielce. In 2 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Korona Kielce.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.32

Actual xG

1.25

Saves

60%

Possession

40%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Patrick Walemark · ast. Pablo Rodriguez Delgado

⚽Pablo Rodriguez Delgado · ast. Joel Pereira

⚽Mikael Ishak · ast. Pablo Rodriguez Delgado

23'

29'

Martin Remacle / Ondrej Lingr ↕

Radosław Murawski

45'+2

⚽Pablo Rodriguez Delgado · ast. Mikael Ishak

45'+4

45'

Simon Gustafsson / kamil jakubczyk ↕

45'

Konrad Matuszewski / Marcel·Pieczek ↕

45'

Morgan Faßbender / Michael Ameyaw ↕

⚽Mikael Ishak · ast. Pablo Rodriguez Delgado

55'

57'

ast. Wiktor Długosz · Camilo Mena⚽

↕ Patrick Walemark / Daniel Håkans

58'

↕ Terry Yegbe / Hubert Janyszka

58'

↕ Radosław Murawski / Gustav Berggren

58'

Pablo Rodriguez Delgado

61'

62'

Daniel Bak / Mariusz Stępiński ↕

↕ Pablo Rodriguez Delgado / Filip Jagiełło

68'

72'

Daniel Bak

↕ Mikael Ishak / Y. Agnero

76'

85'

Slobodan Rubezic

⚽Y. Agnero · ast. Michal Gurgul

90'+1

90'

Morgan Faßbender

Pre-match prediction

52.02%

Lech ←

25.4%

22.58%

Korona

we assigned to the actual result (Lech Poznan) 52.02% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Lech

1.89

2.32

+0.43

Korona

0.92

1.25

+0.33

Lech Poznan dominated by xG (2.32 vs 1.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	11	28
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	27
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	24
4	Legia Warszawa	12	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	18
10	Jagiellonia	11	15
11	Wisla Plock	11	14
12	Motor Lublin	12	13
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	12
14	Widzew Łódź	12	11
15	Slask Wroclaw	12	9
16	Wieczysta Kraków	12	8
17	Radomiak Radom	12	8
18	Raków Częstochowa	12	6

Lineups

Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1

M. Lis G 7.17

M. Gurgul 1 👟 D 7.47

T. Yegbe 58' D 6.78

M. Skrzypczak D 7.14

Joel Pereira 1 👟 D 7.06

A. Kozubal M 6.49

R. Murawski 58' M 6.18

L. Palma M 6.41

Pablo Rodríguez 2 ⚽ 3 👟 68' M 9.42

P. Wålemark 1 ⚽ 58' M 7.63

M. Ishak 2 ⚽ 1 👟 76' F 9.56

Bench

D. Håkans 32' M 6.58

F. Jagiełło 22' M 6.42

G. Berggren 32' M 6.89

H. Janyszka 32' D 6.86

L. Bengtsson M 0.00

M. Pruchniewski G 0.00

Y. Agnero 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.26

Korona Kielce 4-2-3-1

X. Dziekoński G 5.30

M. Pięczek 45' D 5.35

A. Mosór D 6.21

S. Rubežić D 5.77

W. Długosz 1 👟 D 5.73

P. Hellebrand M 6.70

Kamil Jakubczyk 45' M 5.37

M. Ameyaw 45' M 6.21

O. Lingr 29' M 5.87

C. Mena 1 ⚽ M 7.98

M. Stępiński 62' F 6.46

Bench

B. Smolarczyk D 0.00

Daniel Bak 28' F 6.04

K. Matuszewski 45' D 5.57

K. Sotiriou D 0.00

M. Faßbender 45' F 6.67

M. Remacle 61' M 6.12

N. Barczak D 0.00

Nono M 0.00

R. Mamla G 0.00

S. DavidoviÄ M 0.00

Simon Gustafson 45' M 5.79

Best on the pitch

M. Ishak

F · Lech

9.56

2 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 16 pass

Pablo Rodríguez

M · Lech

9.42

2 ⚽ 3 👟

4 shots · 18 pass

C. Mena

M · Korona

7.98

1 ⚽

2 shots · 22 pass

P. Wålemark

M · Lech

7.63

1 ⚽

1 shots · 14 pass

M. Gurgul

D · Lech

7.47

1 👟

· 43 pass

Y. Agnero

F · Lech

7.26

1 ⚽

1 shots · 2 pass

Lech Poznan — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Lis	G	90	7.17	—	—	0	45	41%	0	—	—
M. Gurgul	D	90	7.47	—	1	0	43	38%	1	—	—
T. Yegbe	D	58	6.78	—	—	0	40	38%	0	—	—
M. Skrzypczak	D	90	7.14	—	—	1	83	81%	0	—	—
Joel Pereira	D	90	7.06	—	1	0	68	52%	4	—	—
A. Kozubal	M	90	6.49	—	—	2	49	41%	6	—	—
R. Murawski	M	58	6.18	—	—	0	33	28%	0	1	—
L. Palma	M	90	6.41	—	—	1	39	33%	2	—	—
Pablo Rodríguez	M	68	9.42	2	3	4	18	13%	0	1	—
P. Wålemark	M	58	7.63	1	—	1	14	10%	1	—	—
M. Ishak	F	76	9.56	2	1	4	16	13%	2	—	—
D. Håkans	M	32	6.58	—	—	0	10	9%	0	—	—
F. Jagiełło	M	22	6.42	—	—	0	18	16%	0	—	—
G. Berggren	M	32	6.89	—	—	0	29	29%	0	—	—
H. Janyszka	D	32	6.86	—	—	0	23	23%	1	—	—
Y. Agnero	F	14	7.26	1	—	1	2	1%	0	—	—

Korona Kielce — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
X. Dziekoński	G	90	5.30	—	—	0	27	16%	0	—	—
M. Pięczek	D	45	5.35	—	—	0	16	14%	0	—	—
A. Mosór	D	90	6.21	—	—	1	42	39%	2	—	—
S. Rubežić	D	90	5.77	—	—	0	43	38%	3	1	—
W. Długosz	D	90	5.73	—	1	0	31	26%	1	—	—
P. Hellebrand	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	56	52%	1	—	—
Kamil Jakubczyk	M	45	5.37	—	—	0	11	8%	0	—	—
M. Ameyaw	M	45	6.21	—	—	0	6	5%	1	—	—
O. Lingr	M	29	5.87	—	—	0	9	9%	0	—	—
C. Mena	M	90	7.98	1	—	2	22	17%	2	—	—
M. Stępiński	F	62	6.46	—	—	4	11	6%	0	—	—
Daniel Bak	F	28	6.04	—	—	0	1	0%	0	1	—
K. Matuszewski	D	45	5.57	—	—	1	13	11%	0	—	—
M. Faßbender	F	45	6.67	—	—	2	12	9%	2	1	—
M. Remacle	M	61	6.12	—	—	4	26	18%	3	—	—
Simon Gustafson	M	45	5.79	—	—	0	14	13%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce?

The final score was Lech Poznan 6–1 Korona Kielce.

What did the model predict before Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce?

The model assigned 52% probability to a Lech Poznan win, 25% to a draw, and 22% to an Korona Kielce win.