Lech Poznan - Sunderland
Europa League
October 22, 2026 18:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.5%
Win
Lech Poznan
22.07%
Draw
26.42%
Win
Sunderland
2.96
1.85
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.23%)
1X2 Result
1
52%
X
22%
2
26%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
74%
X2
49%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
74%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lech Poznan a 51% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Sunderland. Expected goals are 3.0 for Lech Poznan and 1.8 for Sunderland (total 4.8), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.23% probability.
Season Stats
4W
1D
2L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
2.6
Goals
1.0
1.7
Conceded
0.0
6.0
Shots OT
5.0
4.6
Corners
11.0
41%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
0%
86%
O 2.5
0%
43%
BTTS
0%
43%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 7 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Lech Poznan
Sunderland →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lech Poznan
Attack
56
Defence
62
Form
48
Sunderland
Attack
44
Defence
68
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
The model gives Lech Poznan a 51% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 26% for an Sunderland win.
How many goals are expected in Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Expected goals: Lech Poznan 3.0, Sunderland 1.8 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.23%.