Skip to main content
← Europa League
Europa League · League Stage - 3 October 22, 2026 18:45 Stadion Miejski, Poznan
Lech Poznan
#35 · 1 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sunderland
#11 · 7 pts
Leo Bengtsson 70'
2' (ast. Nilson Angulo) Timur Tutierov
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 45% win probability (draw 22%, Sunderland 32%). The final result was Lech Poznan 1–1 Sunderland.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
25
6
Shots on target
11
2.51
Actual xG
2.78
11
Saves
5
43%
Possession
57%
3
Corners
6
9
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. Nilson Angulo · Timur Tutierov⚽
41'
Kevin Danso
↕ Daniel Håkans / Luis Palma
62'
↕ Pablo Rodriguez Delgado / Leo Bengtsson
62'
63'
Chris Rigg / Nilson Angulo ↕
63'
Enzo Le Fée / Habib Diarra ↕
63'
Noah Sadiki / Granit Xhaka ↕
63'
Trai Hume / Nordi Mukiele ↕
⚽Leo Bengtsson
70'
↕ Patrick Walemark / Gustav Berggren
82'
↕ Radosław Murawski / Y. Agnero
83'
85'
Reinildo Isnard Mandava / Timur Tutierov ↕
↕ Mikael Ishak / Filip Jagiełło
87'
Pre-match prediction
45.25%
Lech
22.33%
X ←
32.42%
Sunderland
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.33% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lech
2.32
2.51
+0.19
Sunderland
1.55
2.78
+1.23
xG dominance was balanced (2.51 – 2.78). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Benfica Benfica 4 12
2 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4 12
3 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 4 12
4 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 4 10
5 Juventus Juventus 4 10
6 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 4 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4 9
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4 7
10 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 4 7
11 Sunderland Sunderland 4 7
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 4 7
13 Lyon Lyon 4 7
14 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4 6
15 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4 6
16 OFI OFI 4 6
17 Rennes Rennes 4 6
18 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 4 6
19 Torreense Torreense 4 6
20 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4 5
21 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4 5
22 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 4 4
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 4 4
24 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4 4
25 Celje Celje 4 4
26 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 4 4
27 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 4 3
28 AC Milan AC Milan 4 3
29 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 4 3
30 Plzen Plzen 4 3
31 Marseille Marseille 4 3
32 Celtic Celtic 4 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 1
34 Lillestrom Lillestrom 4 1
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4 1
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 4 0
Lineups
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1
1 M. Lis M. Lis G 8.59
15 M. Gurgul M. Gurgul D 6.19
59 T. Yegbe T. Yegbe D 6.94
72 M. Skrzypczak M. Skrzypczak D 7.03
2 Joel Pereira Joel Pereira D 6.69
22 R. Murawski R. Murawski 83' M 6.37
43 A. Kozubal A. Kozubal M 6.14
11 D. Håkans D. Håkans 62' M 6.27
21 Pablo Rodríguez Pablo Rodríguez 62' M 6.61
10 P. Wålemark P. Wålemark 82' M 7.05
9 M. Ishak M. Ishak 87' F 6.29
Bench
24 F. Jagiełło F. Jagiełło 3' M 5.87
5 G. Berggren G. Berggren 8' M 5.96
90 H. Janyszka H. Janyszka D 0.00
14 L. Bengtsson L. Bengtsson 1 ⚽ 28' M 7.62
77 L. Palma L. Palma 28' M 6.48
33 M. Pruchniewski M. Pruchniewski G 0.00
31 Wiktor Obremski Wiktor Obremski G 0.00
56 W. Szymczak W. Szymczak F 0.00
7 Y. Agnero Y. Agnero 7' F 6.46
Sunderland Sunderland 4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs R. Roefs G 7.28
6 D. Methalie D. Methalie D 6.54
13 L. O'Nien L. O'Nien D 7.22
4 K. Danso K. Danso D 6.44
20 N. Mukiele N. Mukiele 63' D 7.02
29 Jules Ahoka Jules Ahoka M 6.63
34 G. Xhaka G. Xhaka 63' M 6.75
39 M. Fofana M. Fofana M 6.31
19 H. Diarra H. Diarra 63' M 6.53
10 N. Angulo N. Angulo 1 👟 63' M 7.70
57 Timur Tuterov Timur Tuterov 1 ⚽ 85' F 8.07
Bench
11 C. Rigg C. Rigg 27' M 6.40
28 E. Le Fée E. Le Fée 27' M 7.04
49 F. Scott F. Scott F 0.00
48 Jenson Jones Jenson Jones D 0.00
40 J. Whittaker J. Whittaker M 0.00
27 N. Sadiki N. Sadiki 27' M 6.94
15 O. Alderete O. Alderete D 0.00
17 Reinildo Reinildo 5' D 6.56
21 S. Moore S. Moore G 0.00
32 T. Hume T. Hume 27' D 6.66
47 T. Ogunsuyi T. Ogunsuyi F 0.00
77 T. Proctor T. Proctor M 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Lis
M. Lis
G · Lech
8.59
· 65 pass
Timur Tuterov
Timur Tuterov
F · Sunderland
8.07
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
N. Angulo
N. Angulo
M · Sunderland
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
L. Bengtsson
L. Bengtsson
M · Lech
7.62
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
R. Roefs
R. Roefs
G · Sunderland
7.28
· 30 pass
L. O'Nien
L. O'Nien
D · Sunderland
7.22
· 76 pass
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Lis G 90 8.59 — — 0 65 38% 0 — —
M. Gurgul D 90 6.19 — — 1 33 27% 1 — —
T. Yegbe D 90 6.94 — — 1 68 60% 1 — —
M. Skrzypczak D 90 7.03 — — 1 67 60% 0 — —
Joel Pereira D 90 6.69 — — 0 35 24% 3 — —
R. Murawski M 83 6.37 — — 0 34 30% 2 — —
A. Kozubal M 90 6.14 — — 1 20 15% 0 — —
D. Håkans M 62 6.27 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
Pablo Rodríguez M 62 6.61 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
P. Wålemark M 82 7.05 — — 5 10 10% 0 — —
M. Ishak F 87 6.29 — — 2 18 13% 0 — —
F. Jagiełło M 3 5.87 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
G. Berggren M 8 5.96 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
L. Bengtsson M 28 7.62 1 — 2 5 4% 0 — —
L. Palma M 28 6.48 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
Y. Agnero F 7 6.46 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Sunderland Sunderland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Roefs G 90 7.28 — — 0 30 19% 0 — —
D. Methalie D 90 6.54 — — 2 37 31% 3 — —
L. O'Nien D 90 7.22 — — 0 76 67% 1 — —
K. Danso D 90 6.44 — — 1 66 60% 0 1 —
N. Mukiele D 63 7.02 — — 3 38 32% 1 — —
Jules Ahoka M 90 6.63 — — 2 48 43% 2 — —
G. Xhaka M 63 6.75 — — 2 54 49% 1 — —
M. Fofana M 90 6.31 — — 6 30 25% 1 — —
H. Diarra M 63 6.53 — — 4 16 16% 0 — —
N. Angulo M 63 7.70 — 1 1 28 24% 0 — —
Timur Tuterov F 85 8.07 1 — 1 13 11% 1 — —
C. Rigg M 27 6.40 — — 1 8 7% 0 — —
E. Le Fée M 27 7.04 — — 2 18 16% 0 — —
N. Sadiki M 27 6.94 — — 0 22 22% 2 — —
Reinildo D 5 6.56 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
T. Hume D 27 6.66 — — 0 13 13% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
The final score was Lech Poznan 1–1 Sunderland.
What did the model predict before Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Lech Poznan win, 22% to a draw, and 32% to an Sunderland win.