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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34 May 23, 2026 17:30
Lech Poznan
#2 · 16 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Wisla Plock
#16 · 5 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Lech Poznan, result Draw
L. Palma 30'
P. Walemark (ast. M. Gurgul) 59'
48' (ast. M. Djalo) Z. Rogelj
90'+5 (ast. G. Niarchos) M. Kaminski
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 79% win probability (draw 12%, Wisla Plock 8%). The final result was Lech Poznan 2–2 Wisla Plock. In 1 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Wisla Plock.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
1.23
Actual xG
3.24
3
Saves
1
68%
Possession
32%
5
Corners
6
10
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Palma
30'
46'
D. Sarapata / D. Kun ↕
46'
G. Niarchos / S. Hamulic ↕
48'
ast. M. Djalo · Z. Rogelj⚽
M. Skrzypczak
55'
↕ A. Kozubal / R. Murawski
56'
↕ P. Rodriguez / F. Jagiello
57'
↕ L. Bengtsson / D. Hakans
57'
⚽P. Walemark · ast. M. Gurgul
59'
65'
(missed pen.) N. Mijuskovic⚽
↕ M. Skrzypczak / R. Gumny
66'
78'
L. Sekulski / M. Djalo ↕
78'
N. Rogowski / D. Gallapeni ↕
81'
D. Sarapata
↕ M. Ishak / Y. Agnero
82'
85'
86'
I. Salvador / Q. Lecoeuche ↕
90'+5
ast. G. Niarchos · M. Kaminski⚽
90'+8
I. Salvador
Pre-match prediction
79.5%
Lech
12.17%
X ←
8.33%
Wisla
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 12.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lech
2.81
1.23
-1.58
Wisla
0.58
3.24
+2.66
Wisla Plock dominated by xG (3.24 vs 1.23). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 7 18
2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 7 16
3 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 7 15
4 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 8 14
5 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 7 12
6 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 7 12
7 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 7 10
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 6 9
9 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 6 9
10 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 6 9
11 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 7 8
12 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 7 8
13 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 7 7
14 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 8 6
15 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 8 5
16 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 6 5
17 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 6 4
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 7 3
Lineups
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek B. Mrozek G 7.30
15 M. Gurgul M. Gurgul 1 👟 D 7.00
27 W. Mońka W. Mońka D 6.90
72 M. Skrzypczak M. Skrzypczak 66' D 6.60
2 Joel Pereira Joel Pereira D 6.90
99 Pablo Rodríguez Pablo Rodríguez 57' M 6.90
43 Antoni Kozubal Antoni Kozubal 57' M 6.60
14 L. Bengtsson L. Bengtsson 57' M 6.20
77 L. Palma L. Palma 1 ⚽ M 7.90
10 P. Wålemark P. Wålemark 1 ⚽ M 7.00
9 M. Ishak M. Ishak 83' F 6.30
Bench
11 D. Håkans D. Håkans 33' M 6.20
24 F. Jagiełło F. Jagiełło 33' M 6.70
90
Hubert Janyszka D
4 João Moutinho João Moutinho D
33 M. Pruchniewski M. Pruchniewski G
1 P. Andreev P. Andreev G
20 R. Gumny R. Gumny 24' D 7.20
22 R. Murawski R. Murawski 33' M 6.90
53 Sammy Dudek Sammy Dudek M
6 Timothy Ouma Timothy Ouma M
44 Tymoteusz Gmur Tymoteusz Gmur M
7 Y. Agnero Y. Agnero 16' F 6.30
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-5-2
12 R. Leszczyński R. Leszczyński G 6.70
13 Quentin Lecoeuche Quentin Lecoeuche 86' D 6.30
35 M. Kamiński M. Kamiński 1 ⚽ D 7.30
4 M. Haglind-Sangré M. Haglind-Sangré D 6.20
19 D. Gallapeni D. Gallapeni 78' M 7.70
30 W. Nowak W. Nowak M 7.30
25 Nemanja Mijušković Nemanja Mijušković M 5.70
14 Dominik Kun Dominik Kun 45' M 6.20
21 Ž. Rogelj Ž. Rogelj 1 ⚽ M 7.60
17 Matchoi Djaló Matchoi Djaló 1 👟 78' F 6.70
77 S. Hamulić S. Hamulić 45' F 6.20
Bench
18 D. Sarapata D. Sarapata 45' M 6.70
16 F. Hiszpański F. Hiszpański M
9 Giannis Niarchos Giannis Niarchos 1 👟 45' F 6.90
66 Iban Salvador Iban Salvador 13' M 6.30
26 J. Burek J. Burek G
6 K. Pomorski K. Pomorski M
20 Ł. Sekulski Ł. Sekulski 12' F 6.60
37 Matsvei Bakhno Matsvei Bakhno D
24 Nikodem Rogowski Nikodem Rogowski 12' D 6.70
1 Stanislaw Pruszkowski Stanislaw Pruszkowski G
84 Tomás Tavares Tomás Tavares D
Best on the pitch
L. Palma
L. Palma
M · Lech
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
D. Gallapeni
D. Gallapeni
M · Wisla
7.70
1 shots · 17 pass
Ž. Rogelj
Ž. Rogelj
M · Wisla
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
W. Nowak
W. Nowak
M · Wisla
7.30
1 shots · 23 pass
M. Kamiński
M. Kamiński
D · Wisla
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
B. Mrozek
B. Mrozek
G · Lech
7.30
· 24 pass
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Mrozek G 90 7.30 — — — 24 23% — — —
M. Gurgul D 90 7.00 — 1 — 83 73% 1 — —
W. Mońka D 90 6.90 — — — 93 89% 1 — —
M. Skrzypczak D 66 6.60 — — — 38 36% 1 1 —
Joel Pereira D 90 6.90 — — 2 65 56% — — —
Pablo Rodríguez M 57 6.90 — — 1 24 20% 3 — —
Antoni Kozubal M 57 6.60 — — 1 27 24% 2 — —
L. Bengtsson M 57 6.20 — — — 21 18% — — —
L. Palma M 90 7.90 1 — 1 39 33% — — —
P. Wålemark M 90 7.00 1 — 3 29 22% — — —
M. Ishak F 83 6.30 — — 1 11 9% — — —
D. Håkans M 33 6.20 — — — 8 7% — — —
F. Jagiełło M 33 6.70 — — — 24 22% — — —
R. Gumny D 24 7.20 — — — 25 25% 1 — —
R. Murawski M 33 6.90 — — — 31 29% 1 — —
Y. Agnero F 16 6.30 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Leszczyński G 90 6.70 — — — 41 28% — — —
Quentin Lecoeuche D 86 6.30 — — — 19 16% 1 — —
M. Kamiński D 90 7.30 1 — 2 35 31% 1 — —
M. Haglind-Sangré D 90 6.20 — — — 29 29% 1 — —
D. Gallapeni M 78 7.70 — — 1 17 16% 4 — —
W. Nowak M 90 7.30 — — 1 23 17% 3 — —
Nemanja Mijušković M 90 5.70 — — 3 17 14% 1 — —
Dominik Kun M 45 6.20 — — 1 14 10% — — —
Ž. Rogelj M 90 7.60 1 — 1 20 15% 3 — —
Matchoi Djaló F 78 6.70 — 1 1 8 6% 1 — —
S. Hamulić F 45 6.20 — — — 6 6% — — —
D. Sarapata M 45 6.70 — — — 10 10% 1 1 —
Giannis Niarchos F 45 6.90 — 1 1 9 6% — — —
Iban Salvador M 13 6.30 — — — 3 3% — 1 —
Ł. Sekulski F 12 6.60 — — — 3 1% — — —
Nikodem Rogowski D 12 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
The final score was Lech Poznan 2–2 Wisla Plock.
What did the model predict before Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
The model assigned 79% probability to a Lech Poznan win, 12% to a draw, and 8% to an Wisla Plock win.