Premier League
· Regular Season - 2
August 30, 2026 15:00
D. Calvert-Lewin
(ast. L. Nmecha)
79'
41'
(ast. K. Lewis-Potter)
K. Schade
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leeds a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Brentford 32%). The final result was Leeds 1–1 Brentford. In 2 previous meetings, Leeds have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Brentford.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
5
1.43
Actual xG
1.56
4
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
5
Corners
6
20
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
30'
J. Anthony
J. Rodon
/ N. Elvedi
34'
41'
ast. K. Lewis-Potter ·
K. Schade⚽
J. Bijol
/ A. Tanaka
46'
B. Aaronson
/ H. Wilson
46'
61'
D. Ouattara
/
J. Anthony
J. Bogle
/ D. James
68'
N. Okafor
/ L. Nmecha
69'
69'
Y. Yarmolyuk
/
M. Damsgaard
74'
K. Ajer
76'
V. Janelt
⚽D. Calvert-Lewin
· ast. L. Nmecha
79'
88'
M. Diouf
/
K. Lewis-Potter
88'
C. Wilson
/
M. Kayode
88'
A. Hickey
/
K. Schade
90'+3
N. Collins
Pre-match prediction
34.88%
Leeds
32.32%
X ←
32.79%
Brentford
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
1.43
-0.26
0.95
1.56
+0.61
xG dominance was balanced (1.43 – 1.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Trafford
G
J. Trafford
G
5
T. Muharemović
D
T. Muharemović
D
15
J. Bijol
45'
D
J. Bijol
45'
D
6
Joe Rodon
34'
D
Joe Rodon
34'
D
24
J. Justin
M
J. Justin
M
18
A. Stach
M
A. Stach
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
2
J. Bogle
68'
M
J. Bogle
68'
M
19
N. Okafor
69'
F
N. Okafor
69'
F
11
B. Aaronson
45'
F
B. Aaronson
45'
F
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
1 ⚽
F
D. Calvert-Lewin
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Alex Cairns
G
Alex Cairns
G
22
A. Tanaka
48'
M
A. Tanaka
48'
M
7
D. James
25'
F
D. James
25'
F
3
G. Gudmundsson
D
G. Gudmundsson
D
10
H. Wilson
48'
F
H. Wilson
48'
F
14
L. Nmecha
1 👟
24'
F
L. Nmecha
1 👟
24'
F
30
N. Elvedi
59'
D
N. Elvedi
59'
D
8
S. Longstaff
M
S. Longstaff
M
29
W. Gnonto
F
W. Gnonto
F
1
C. Kelleher
G
C. Kelleher
G
23
K. Lewis-Potter
1 👟
88'
D
K. Lewis-Potter
1 👟
88'
D
22
N. Collins
D
N. Collins
D
20
K. Ajer
D
K. Ajer
D
33
M. Kayode
88'
D
M. Kayode
88'
D
27
V. Janelt
M
V. Janelt
M
18
M. Sangaré
M
M. Sangaré
M
7
K. Schade
1 ⚽
88'
M
K. Schade
1 ⚽
88'
M
24
M. Damsgaard
69'
M
M. Damsgaard
69'
M
19
J. Anthony
61'
M
J. Anthony
61'
M
9
Thiago
F
Thiago
F
Bench
2
A. Hickey
5'
D
A. Hickey
5'
D
13
C. Wilson
5'
F
C. Wilson
5'
F
11
D. Ouattara
32'
F
D. Ouattara
32'
F
25
E. Diouf
D
E. Diouf
D
14
Fábio Carvalho
M
Fábio Carvalho
M
12
H. Valdimarsson
G
H. Valdimarsson
G
44
Jannik Schuster
D
Jannik Schuster
D
3
R. Henry
5'
D
R. Henry
5'
D
6
Y. Yarmolyuk
24'
M
Y. Yarmolyuk
24'
M
Best on the pitch
T. Muharemović
D · Leeds
7.90
· 51 pass
D. Ouattara
F · Brentford
7.50
· 6 pass
K. Schade
M · Brentford
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
D. Calvert-Lewin
F · Leeds
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
M. Damsgaard
M · Brentford
7.20
2 shots
· 40 pass
E. Ampadu
M · Leeds
7.20
1 shots
· 35 pass
Leeds — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trafford | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | — | — | — |
| T. Muharemović | D | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Bijol | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Joe Rodon | D | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Justin | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Stach | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Bogle | M | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Okafor | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Aaronson | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | F | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Tanaka | M | 48 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| D. James | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| H. Wilson | F | 48 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Nmecha | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Elvedi | D | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
Brentford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kelleher | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | — | — |
| K. Lewis-Potter | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Collins | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Ajer | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Kayode | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Janelt | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Sangaré | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Schade | M | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Anthony | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Thiago | F | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hickey | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Wilson | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Ouattara | F | 32 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Henry | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Yarmolyuk | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leeds vs Brentford?
The final score was Leeds 1–1 Brentford.
What did the model predict before Leeds vs Brentford?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Leeds win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Brentford win.