D. Calvert-Lewin
90'+6
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leeds a 38% win probability (draw 24%, Brighton 36%). The final result was Leeds 1–0 Brighton. In 1 previous meetings, Leeds have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Brighton.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
14
1
Shots on target
8
0.97
Actual xG
2.46
7
Saves
1
34%
Possession
66%
7
Corners
8
11
Tackles
6
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
D. James
/ W. Gnonto
60'
A. Tanaka
/ S. Longstaff
60'
B. Aaronson
/ L. Nmecha
60'
65'
G. Rutter
/
D. Welbeck
65'
D. Gomez
/
J. Veltman
A. Stach
/ J. Piroe
74'
82'
Y. Ayari
/
C. Baleba
82'
C. Kostoulas
/
J. Hinshelwood
S. Bornauw
/ S. Byram
90'+1
90'+3
S. March
/
Y. Minteh
⚽D. Calvert-Lewin
90'+6
D. Calvert-Lewin
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
38.72%
Leeds ←
24.89%
X
36.39%
Brighton
we assigned to the actual result (Leeds)
38.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
0.97
-0.57
1.48
2.46
+0.98
Brighton dominated by xG (2.46 vs 0.97).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
Karl Darlow
G
Karl Darlow
G
23
Sebastiaan Bornauw
D
Sebastiaan Bornauw
D
15
Jaka Bijol
D
Jaka Bijol
D
6
Joe Rodon
D
Joe Rodon
D
24
James Justin
M
James Justin
M
22
Ao Tanaka
60'
M
Ao Tanaka
60'
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
18
Anton Stach
74'
M
Anton Stach
74'
M
7
Daniel James
60'
M
Daniel James
60'
M
11
B. Aaronson
60'
F
B. Aaronson
60'
F
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
1 ⚽
F
D. Calvert-Lewin
1 ⚽
F
Bench
51
Alfie Cresswell
M
Alfie Cresswell
M
65
Jayden Lienou
D
Jayden Lienou
D
10
Joël Piroe
25'
F
Joël Piroe
25'
F
14
L. Nmecha
39'
F
L. Nmecha
39'
F
1
Lucas Perri
G
Lucas Perri
G
47
Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin
M
Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin
M
25
Sam Byram
8'
D
Sam Byram
8'
D
8
Sean Longstaff
39'
M
Sean Longstaff
39'
M
29
Wilfried Gnonto
39'
F
Wilfried Gnonto
39'
F
1
Bart Verbruggen
G
Bart Verbruggen
G
29
Maxim De Cuyper
D
Maxim De Cuyper
D
5
L. Dunk
D
L. Dunk
D
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
34
Joël Veltman
65'
D
Joël Veltman
65'
D
17
C. Baleba
82'
M
C. Baleba
82'
M
30
Pascal Groß
M
Pascal Groß
M
11
Yankuba Minteh
M
Yankuba Minteh
M
13
Jack Hinshelwood
82'
M
Jack Hinshelwood
82'
M
24
F. Kadıoğlu
M
F. Kadıoğlu
M
18
D. Welbeck
65'
F
D. Welbeck
65'
F
Bench
19
Charalampos Kostoulas
17'
F
Charalampos Kostoulas
17'
F
25
D. Gómez
34'
M
D. Gómez
34'
M
10
Georginio Rutter
34'
F
Georginio Rutter
34'
F
20
James Milner
M
James Milner
M
23
Jason Steele
G
Jason Steele
G
33
M. O'Riley
M
M. O'Riley
M
21
Olivier Boscagli
D
Olivier Boscagli
D
7
Solly March
6'
M
Solly March
6'
M
26
Yasin Ayari
17'
M
Yasin Ayari
17'
M
Best on the pitch
Karl Darlow
G · Leeds
7.70
· 35 pass
Pascal Groß
M · Brighton
7.60
2 shots
· 68 pass
Maxim De Cuyper
D · Brighton
7.30
· 57 pass
D. Calvert-Lewin
F · Leeds
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
E. Ampadu
M · Leeds
7.30
· 37 pass
Joe Rodon
D · Leeds
7.20
· 19 pass
Leeds — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Darlow | G | 99 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Jaka Bijol | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Joe Rodon | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| James Justin | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Anton Stach | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Daniel James | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Aaronson | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | F | 99 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Joël Piroe | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Nmecha | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sam Byram | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Sean Longstaff | M | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Brighton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart Verbruggen | G | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Maxim De Cuyper | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | — | — | — |
| L. Dunk | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 73% | — | — | — |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | D | 99 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 96 | 83% | — | — | — |
| Joël Veltman | D | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Baleba | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Pascal Groß | M | 99 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Yankuba Minteh | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Jack Hinshelwood | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Kadıoğlu | M | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| D. Welbeck | F | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| D. Gómez | M | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Georginio Rutter | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Solly March | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yasin Ayari | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leeds vs Brighton?
The final score was Leeds 1–0 Brighton.
What did the model predict before Leeds vs Brighton?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Leeds win, 24% to a draw, and 36% to an Brighton win.