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Premier League · Regular Season - 7 October 18, 2026 15:00 Elland Road, Leeds
Leeds
#7 · 11 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Manchester United
#16 · 7 pts
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (ast. Tarik Muharemovic) 51'
35' (ast. Youri Tielemans) Bryan Mbeumo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leeds a 35% win probability (draw 29%, Manchester United 35%). The final result was Leeds 1–1 Manchester United. In 3 previous meetings, Leeds have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Manchester United.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
3
1.48
Actual xG
0.93
2
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
2
Corners
3
11
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
Bruno Fernandes
Gabriel Gudmundsson
19'
35'
ast. Youri Tielemans · Bryan Mbeumo⚽
45'
Noussair Mazraoui / Lisandro Martínez ↕
⚽Dominic Calvert-Lewin · ast. Tarik Muharemovic
51'
↕ Noah Okafor / Lukas Nmecha
74'
74'
Mason Mount / Carlos Baleba ↕
↕ Ao Tanaka / Sean Longstaff
81'
84'
Matheus Cunha / Youri Tielemans ↕
Ethan Ampadu
90'+2
90'+2
Andrey Santos
Pre-match prediction
35.54%
Leeds
29.22%
X ←
35.23%
Manchester
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.22% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Leeds
1.34
1.48
+0.14
Manchester
1.44
0.93
-0.51
Leeds dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.93). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Leeds Leeds 3-4-2-1
1 J. Trafford J. Trafford G 6.63
5 T. Muharemović T. Muharemović 1 👟 D 7.17
30 N. Elvedi N. Elvedi D 6.85
24 J. Justin J. Justin D 6.50
3 G. Gudmundsson G. Gudmundsson M 6.35
22 A. Tanaka A. Tanaka 81' M 6.51
4 E. Ampadu E. Ampadu M 6.40
2 J. Bogle J. Bogle M 6.17
19 N. Okafor N. Okafor 74' M 6.26
18 A. Stach A. Stach M 6.73
9 D. Calvert-Lewin D. Calvert-Lewin 1 ⚽ F 7.96
Bench
11 B. Aaronson B. Aaronson M 0.00
10 H. Wilson H. Wilson F 0.00
44 I. Gruev I. Gruev M 0.00
23 J. Bahoya J. Bahoya F 0.00
15 J. Bijol J. Bijol D 0.00
14 L. Nmecha L. Nmecha 16' F 6.63
26 M. Bard M. Bard D 0.00
16 M. Zetterer M. Zetterer G 0.00
8 S. Longstaff S. Longstaff 9' M 6.24
Manchester United Manchester United 4-2-3-1
1 S. Lammens S. Lammens G 6.36
2 Diogo Dalot Diogo Dalot D 6.80
6 Lisandro Martínez Lisandro Martínez 45' D 5.95
5 H. Maguire H. Maguire D 7.29
15 L. Yoro L. Yoro D 6.40
20 C. Baleba C. Baleba 74' M 6.57
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos M 6.34
8 Bruno Fernandes Bruno Fernandes M 6.28
18 Y. Tielemans Y. Tielemans 1 👟 84' M 7.70
16 A. Diallo A. Diallo M 6.21
19 B. Mbeumo B. Mbeumo 1 ⚽ F 7.44
Bench
41 H. Amass H. Amass D 0.00
11 J. Zirkzee J. Zirkzee F 0.00
12 K. Darlow K. Darlow G 0.00
10 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha 6' F 6.48
4 M. de Ligt M. de Ligt D 0.00
7 M. Mount M. Mount 16' M 6.55
9 M. Rashford M. Rashford F 0.00
3 N. Mazraoui N. Mazraoui 45' D 6.66
31 S. Lacey S. Lacey F 0.00
Best on the pitch
D. Calvert-Lewin
D. Calvert-Lewin
F · Leeds
7.96
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
Y. Tielemans
Y. Tielemans
M · Manchester
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 26 pass
B. Mbeumo
B. Mbeumo
F · Manchester
7.44
1 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
H. Maguire
H. Maguire
D · Manchester
7.29
· 34 pass
T. Muharemović
T. Muharemović
D · Leeds
7.17
1 👟
1 shots · 87 pass
N. Elvedi
N. Elvedi
D · Leeds
6.85
1 shots · 82 pass
Leeds Leeds — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Trafford G 90 6.63 — — 0 50 37% 0 — —
T. Muharemović D 90 7.17 — 1 1 87 73% 0 — —
N. Elvedi D 90 6.85 — — 1 82 75% 0 — —
J. Justin D 90 6.50 — — 0 63 52% 2 — —
G. Gudmundsson M 90 6.35 — — 0 13 10% 1 1 —
A. Tanaka M 81 6.51 — — 2 53 47% 2 — —
E. Ampadu M 90 6.40 — — 0 72 64% 2 1 —
J. Bogle M 90 6.17 — — 1 37 29% 2 — —
N. Okafor M 74 6.26 — — 1 15 12% 0 — —
A. Stach M 90 6.73 — — 2 30 22% 0 — —
D. Calvert-Lewin F 90 7.96 1 — 3 19 14% 1 — —
L. Nmecha F 16 6.63 — — 1 4 4% 1 — —
S. Longstaff M 9 6.24 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
Manchester United Manchester United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Lammens G 90 6.36 — — 0 33 15% 0 — —
Diogo Dalot D 90 6.80 — — 0 44 30% 4 — —
Lisandro Martínez D 45 5.95 — — 1 17 12% 0 — —
H. Maguire D 90 7.29 — — 0 34 31% 3 — —
L. Yoro D 90 6.40 — — 0 23 17% 1 — —
C. Baleba M 74 6.57 — — 1 26 23% 1 — —
Andrey Santos M 90 6.34 — — 0 36 29% 1 1 —
Bruno Fernandes M 90 6.28 — — 3 37 23% 1 1 —
Y. Tielemans M 84 7.70 — 1 1 26 20% 1 — —
A. Diallo M 90 6.21 — — 2 24 21% 5 — —
B. Mbeumo F 90 7.44 1 — 3 12 6% 1 — —
Matheus Cunha F 6 6.48 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
M. Mount M 16 6.55 — — 1 11 11% 1 — —
N. Mazraoui D 45 6.66 — — 0 16 13% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leeds vs Manchester United?
The final score was Leeds 1–1 Manchester United.
What did the model predict before Leeds vs Manchester United?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Leeds win, 29% to a draw, and 35% to an Manchester United win.