Premier League
· Regular Season - 4
September 14, 2026 21:00
Lewis Miley
32'
(og)
Jayden Bogle
(ast. Dominic Calvert-Lewin)
34'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
(ast. Tarik Muharemovic)
45'+1
Noah Okafor
59'
90'
Bazoumana Touré
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leeds a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Newcastle 33%). The final result was Leeds 4–1 Newcastle. In 2 previous meetings, Leeds have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Newcastle.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
5
18
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
19'
Sean Steur
/
Nico González
⚽Lewis Miley
(og)
32'
⚽Jayden Bogle
· ast. Dominic Calvert-Lewin
34'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
44'
⚽Dominic Calvert-Lewin
· ast. Tarik Muharemovic
45'+1
54'
Jacob Murphy
57'
Bazoumana Touré
/
Jacob Murphy
57'
Joe Willock
/
Matias Fernandez-Pardo
58'
Valentino Livramento
/
Amar Dedić
⚽Noah Okafor
59'
Noah Okafor
/ Harry Wilson
72'
Ao Tanaka
/ Brenden Aaronson
72'
Gabriel Gudmundsson
/ Melvin Bard
72'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
/ Lukas Nmecha
78'
80'
Aladji Bamba
/
Lewis Miley
Jayden Bogle
/ Daniel James
83'
Anton Stach
/ Sean Longstaff
88'
90'+1
Valentino Livramento
90'
Bazoumana Touré⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.12%
Leeds ←
31.64%
X
33.24%
Newcastle
we assigned to the actual result (Leeds)
35.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
—
—
1.20
—
—
Lineups
1
J. Trafford
G
J. Trafford
G
5
T. Muharemović
1 👟
D
T. Muharemović
1 👟
D
30
N. Elvedi
D
N. Elvedi
D
24
J. Justin
D
J. Justin
D
3
G. Gudmundsson
72'
M
G. Gudmundsson
72'
M
22
Ao Tanaka
72'
M
Ao Tanaka
72'
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
18
A. Stach
88'
M
A. Stach
88'
M
2
J. Bogle
1 ⚽
83'
M
J. Bogle
1 ⚽
83'
M
19
N. Okafor
1 ⚽
72'
F
N. Okafor
1 ⚽
72'
F
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
F
D. Calvert-Lewin
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
F
Bench
11
B. Aaronson
18'
M
B. Aaronson
18'
M
7
D. James
7'
F
D. James
7'
F
10
H. Wilson
18'
F
H. Wilson
18'
F
23
J. Bahoya
F
J. Bahoya
F
15
J. Bijol
D
J. Bijol
D
14
L. Nmecha
12'
F
L. Nmecha
12'
F
26
M. Bard
18'
D
M. Bard
18'
D
16
M. Zetterer
G
M. Zetterer
G
8
S. Longstaff
2'
M
S. Longstaff
2'
M
21
L. Horníček
G
L. Horníček
G
3
L. Hall
D
L. Hall
D
4
S. Botman
D
S. Botman
D
12
M. Thiaw
D
M. Thiaw
D
37
A. Dedić
58'
D
A. Dedić
58'
D
6
Nico González
19'
M
Nico González
19'
M
67
L. Miley
1 ⚽
80'
M
L. Miley
1 ⚽
80'
M
11
H. Barnes
M
H. Barnes
M
20
M. Fernandez-Pardo
57'
M
M. Fernandez-Pardo
57'
M
23
J. Murphy
57'
M
J. Murphy
57'
M
9
Y. Wissa
F
Bench
8
A. Bamba
10'
M
A. Bamba
10'
M
17
B. Touré
1 ⚽
33'
F
5
F. Schär
D
F. Schär
D
41
J. Ramsey
M
J. Ramsey
M
28
J. Willock
33'
M
J. Willock
33'
M
76
M. Miley
M
M. Miley
M
1
N. Pope
G
N. Pope
G
14
Sean Steur
71'
M
Sean Steur
71'
M
2
T. Livramento
32'
D
T. Livramento
32'
D
Best on the pitch
D. Calvert-Lewin
F · Leeds
8.39
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 14 pass
J. Bogle
M · Leeds
8.01
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
N. Okafor
F · Leeds
7.92
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
J. Trafford
G · Leeds
7.47
· 47 pass
T. Muharemović
D · Leeds
7.32
1 👟
· 59 pass
B. Touré
F · Newcastle
7.27
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Leeds — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trafford | G | 90 | 7.47 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Muharemović | D | 90 | 7.32 | — | 1 | 0 | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Elvedi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Justin | D | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Gudmundsson | M | 72 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | M | 72 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Stach | M | 88 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Bogle | M | 83 | 8.01 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Okafor | F | 72 | 7.92 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | F | 78 | 8.39 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| B. Aaronson | M | 18 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| D. James | F | 7 | 6.85 | — | — | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Wilson | F | 18 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Nmecha | F | 12 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Bard | D | 18 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Longstaff | M | 2 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Newcastle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | G | 90 | 5.51 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Hall | D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Botman | D | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Thiaw | D | 90 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Dedić | D | 58 | 5.24 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Nico González | M | 19 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Miley | M | 80 | 5.38 | 1 | — | 0 | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Barnes | M | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | M | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Murphy | M | 57 | 5.53 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bamba | M | 10 | 5.79 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Touré | F | 33 | 7.27 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Willock | M | 33 | 6.14 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 71 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Livramento | D | 32 | 5.66 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leeds vs Newcastle?
The final score was Leeds 4–1 Newcastle.
What did the model predict before Leeds vs Newcastle?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Leeds win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Newcastle win.