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Premier League · Regular Season - 33 April 18, 2026 16:00 Elland Road, Leeds
Leeds
#10 · 5 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Wolves
✓Model correct — prediction Leeds
J. Justin (ast. N. Okafor) 18'
N. Okafor (ast. B. Aaronson) 20'
D. Calvert-Lewin 90'+5 (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leeds a 66% win probability (draw 21%, Wolves 11%). The final result was Leeds 3–0 Wolves. In 1 previous meetings, Leeds have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Wolves.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.68
Actual xG
0.54
1
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
6
12
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Justin · ast. N. Okafor
18'
⚽N. Okafor · ast. B. Aaronson
20'
38'
M. Mane / A. Gomes ↕
46'
Pedro Lima / J. Tchatchoua ↕
↕ N. Okafor / W. Gnonto
67'
67'
R. Gomes / J. Bellegarde ↕
B. Aaronson
73'
75'
Hwang Hee-Chan / L. Krejci ↕
↕ B. Aaronson / I. Gruev
78'
90'+3
H. Bueno
⚽D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.)
90'+5
↕ A. Tanaka / S. Longstaff
90'+6
↕ G. Gudmundsson / J. Rodon
90'+6
↕ D. Calvert-Lewin / L. Nmecha
90'+6
J. Justin
90'+12
Pre-match prediction
66.43%
Leeds ←
21.93%
X
11.63%
Wolves
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Leeds) 66.43% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Leeds
1.97
2.68
+0.71
Wolves
0.62
0.54
-0.08
Leeds dominated by xG (2.68 vs 0.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 4 12
2 Manchester City Manchester City 3 9
3 Hull City Hull City 4 8
4 Chelsea Chelsea 4 7
5 Brentford Brentford 4 6
6 Liverpool Liverpool 4 6
7 Everton Everton 4 6
8 Ipswich Ipswich 4 6
9 Newcastle Newcastle 3 5
10 Leeds Leeds 3 5
11 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4 5
12 Brighton Brighton 3 4
13 Manchester United Manchester United 3 4
14 Sunderland Sunderland 4 4
15 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4 3
16 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4 3
17 Tottenham Tottenham 4 2
18 Fulham Fulham 4 1
19 Aston Villa Aston Villa 4 1
20 Coventry Coventry 3 0
Lineups
Leeds Leeds 3-4-2-1
26
G 7.30
5 P. Struijk P. Struijk D 7.00
15 J. Bijol J. Bijol D 6.30
24 J. Justin J. Justin 1 ⚽ D 8.60
3 G. Gudmundsson G. Gudmundsson M 6.30
22 A. Tanaka A. Tanaka M 7.20
4 E. Ampadu E. Ampadu M 7.00
2 J. Bogle J. Bogle M 6.30
19 N. Okafor N. Okafor 1 ⚽ 1 👟 67' F 8.00
11 B. Aaronson B. Aaronson 1 👟 78' F 7.30
9 D. Calvert-Lewin D. Calvert-Lewin 1 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
6 Joe Rodon Joe Rodon 5' D
14 L. Nmecha L. Nmecha 5' F
8 S. Longstaff S. Longstaff 5' M
Wolves Wolves 3-4-2-1
25
G 7.20
37 L. Krejčí L. Krejčí 75' D 7.30
24
D 6.30
4 S. Bueno S. Bueno D 6.30
3 Hugo Bueno Hugo Bueno M 6.20
8 João Gomes João Gomes M 6.50
7 André André M 7.30
38 J. Tchatchoua J. Tchatchoua 45' M 6.20
47 A. Gomes A. Gomes 38' F 6.50
27 J. Bellegarde J. Bellegarde 67' F 7.00
9 A. Armstrong A. Armstrong F 6.90
Bench
11 Hwang Hee-Chan Hwang Hee-Chan 26' F 6.50
36 M. Mane M. Mane 63' F 6.60
17 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima 56' D 5.60
21 Rodrigo Gomes Rodrigo Gomes 34' D 6.30
14 T. Arokodare T. Arokodare F
Best on the pitch
J. Justin
J. Justin
D · Leeds
8.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 43 pass
D. Calvert-Lewin
D. Calvert-Lewin
F · Leeds
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 17 pass
N. Okafor
N. Okafor
F · Leeds
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 23 pass
André
André
M · Wolves
7.30
· 30 pass
L. Krejčí
L. Krejčí
D · Wolves
7.30
2 shots · 42 pass
B. Aaronson
B. Aaronson
F · Leeds
7.30
1 👟
· 19 pass
Leeds Leeds — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 101 7.30 — — — 37 31% — — —
P. Struijk D 101 7.00 — — 2 55 52% 2 — —
J. Bijol D 101 6.30 — — 1 59 48% — — —
J. Justin D 101 8.60 1 — 2 43 36% 7 — —
G. Gudmundsson M 96 6.30 — — — 45 34% 1 — —
A. Tanaka M 96 7.20 — — — 44 40% — — —
E. Ampadu M 101 7.00 — — 2 58 51% — — —
J. Bogle M 101 6.30 — — — 29 21% 1 — —
N. Okafor F 67 8.00 1 1 2 23 18% 1 — —
B. Aaronson F 78 7.30 — 1 — 19 17% — 1 —
D. Calvert-Lewin F 96 8.50 1 — 4 17 8% — — —
Joe Rodon D 5 — — — — 7 4% — — —
L. Nmecha F 5 — — — — 2 2% — — —
S. Longstaff M 5 — — — — 3 3% — — —
Wolves Wolves — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 101 7.20 — — — 32 15% — — —
L. Krejčí D 75 7.30 — — 2 42 34% 2 — —
D 101 6.30 — — — 44 39% 2 — —
S. Bueno D 101 6.30 — — — 43 30% 5 — —
Hugo Bueno M 101 6.20 — — — 33 25% 3 1 —
João Gomes M 101 6.50 — — — 41 29% 1 — —
André M 101 7.30 — — — 30 29% 5 — —
J. Tchatchoua M 45 6.20 — — — 14 12% — — —
A. Gomes F 38 6.50 — — — 11 9% — — —
J. Bellegarde F 67 7.00 — — — 18 13% 2 — —
A. Armstrong F 101 6.90 — — — 12 8% — — —
Hwang Hee-Chan F 26 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
M. Mane F 63 6.60 — — 1 8 4% 4 — —
Pedro Lima D 56 5.60 — — — 13 5% — — —
Rodrigo Gomes D 34 6.30 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leeds vs Wolves?
The final score was Leeds 3–0 Wolves.
What did the model predict before Leeds vs Wolves?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Leeds win, 21% to a draw, and 11% to an Wolves win.