✓Model correct — prediction Leeds
J. Justin
(ast. N. Okafor)
18'
N. Okafor
(ast. B. Aaronson)
20'
D. Calvert-Lewin
90'+5
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leeds a 66% win probability (draw 21%, Wolves 11%). The final result was Leeds 3–0 Wolves. In 1 previous meetings, Leeds have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Wolves.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.68
Actual xG
0.54
1
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
6
12
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Justin
· ast. N. Okafor
18'
⚽N. Okafor
· ast. B. Aaronson
20'
38'
M. Mane
/
A. Gomes
46'
Pedro Lima
/
J. Tchatchoua
N. Okafor
/ W. Gnonto
67'
67'
R. Gomes
/
J. Bellegarde
B. Aaronson
73'
75'
Hwang Hee-Chan
/
L. Krejci
B. Aaronson
/ I. Gruev
78'
90'+3
H. Bueno
⚽D. Calvert-Lewin
(pen.)
90'+5
A. Tanaka
/ S. Longstaff
90'+6
G. Gudmundsson
/ J. Rodon
90'+6
D. Calvert-Lewin
/ L. Nmecha
90'+6
J. Justin
90'+12
Pre-match prediction
66.43%
Leeds ←
21.93%
X
11.63%
Wolves
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Leeds)
66.43%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.97
2.68
+0.71
0.62
0.54
-0.08
Leeds dominated by xG (2.68 vs 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
G
5
P. Struijk
D
P. Struijk
D
15
J. Bijol
D
J. Bijol
D
24
J. Justin
1 ⚽
D
J. Justin
1 ⚽
D
3
G. Gudmundsson
M
G. Gudmundsson
M
22
A. Tanaka
M
A. Tanaka
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
2
J. Bogle
M
J. Bogle
M
19
N. Okafor
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
N. Okafor
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
11
B. Aaronson
1 👟
78'
F
B. Aaronson
1 👟
78'
F
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
1 ⚽
F
D. Calvert-Lewin
1 ⚽
F
Bench
6
Joe Rodon
5'
D
Joe Rodon
5'
D
14
L. Nmecha
5'
F
L. Nmecha
5'
F
8
S. Longstaff
5'
M
S. Longstaff
5'
M
25
G
37
L. Krejčí
75'
D
L. Krejčí
75'
D
24
D
4
S. Bueno
D
S. Bueno
D
3
Hugo Bueno
M
Hugo Bueno
M
8
João Gomes
M
João Gomes
M
7
André
M
André
M
38
J. Tchatchoua
45'
M
J. Tchatchoua
45'
M
47
A. Gomes
38'
F
A. Gomes
38'
F
27
J. Bellegarde
67'
F
J. Bellegarde
67'
F
9
A. Armstrong
F
A. Armstrong
F
Bench
11
Hwang Hee-Chan
26'
F
Hwang Hee-Chan
26'
F
36
M. Mane
63'
F
M. Mane
63'
F
17
Pedro Lima
56'
D
Pedro Lima
56'
D
21
Rodrigo Gomes
34'
D
Rodrigo Gomes
34'
D
14
T. Arokodare
F
T. Arokodare
F
Best on the pitch
J. Justin
D · Leeds
8.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 43 pass
D. Calvert-Lewin
F · Leeds
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 17 pass
N. Okafor
F · Leeds
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 23 pass
André
M · Wolves
7.30
· 30 pass
L. Krejčí
D · Wolves
7.30
2 shots
· 42 pass
B. Aaronson
F · Leeds
7.30
1 👟
· 19 pass
Leeds — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| P. Struijk | D | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Bijol | D | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 48% | — | — | — |
| J. Justin | D | 101 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 43 | 36% | 7 | — | — |
| G. Gudmundsson | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Tanaka | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 51% | — | — | — |
| J. Bogle | M | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Okafor | F | 67 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Aaronson | F | 78 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | F | 96 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 17 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Joe Rodon | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Nmecha | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Longstaff | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Wolves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| L. Krejčí | D | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — | |
| S. Bueno | D | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| Hugo Bueno | M | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| João Gomes | M | 101 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| André | M | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Tchatchoua | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Gomes | F | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Bellegarde | F | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Armstrong | F | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Hwang Hee-Chan | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Mane | F | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 4 | — | — |
| Pedro Lima | D | 56 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gomes | D | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leeds vs Wolves?
The final score was Leeds 3–0 Wolves.
What did the model predict before Leeds vs Wolves?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Leeds win, 21% to a draw, and 11% to an Wolves win.