Leganes - Mérida AD
Friendlies Clubs
August 07, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.31%
Win
Leganes
31.7%
Draw
32.0%
Win
Mérida AD
1.92
1.08
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.03%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Leganes a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Mérida AD. Expected goals are 1.9 for Leganes and 1.1 for Mérida AD (total 3.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.03% probability.
Season Stats
1W
2D
2L
0W
0D
2L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
0.0
1.2
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
0%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Leganes
Mérida AD →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Leganes
Attack
20
Defence
70
Form
47
Mérida AD
Attack
0
Defence
25
Form
20
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Leganes vs Mérida AD?
The model gives Leganes a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Mérida AD win.
How many goals are expected in Leganes vs Mérida AD?
Expected goals: Leganes 1.9, Mérida AD 1.1 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Leganes vs Mérida AD?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.03%.