W. Burns
42'
5'
(ast. K. Lofthouse)
M. Dennis
25'
K. Chauke
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Burton Albion 31%). The final result was Leicester 1–2 Burton Albion. In 1 previous meetings, Leicester have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Burton Albion.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
0.77
Actual xG
0.68
2
Saves
2
71%
Possession
29%
3
Corners
2
7
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
5'
ast. K. Lofthouse ·
M. Dennis⚽
17'
C. Tilt
25'
K. Chauke⚽
O. Skipp
29'
L. Cullen
/ H. Choudhury
34'
⚽W. Burns
42'
W. Burns
/ H. Howell
54'
A. Bristric
/ B. De Cordova-Reid
55'
W. Alves
/ T. Watson
55'
63'
S. Krubally
64'
W. Collar
/
S. Krubally
70'
E. Adiele
/
M. Dennis
74'
K. Lofthouse
L. Thomas
/ L. Page
77'
81'
G. Bowyer
B. De Cordova-Reid
83'
Pre-match prediction
37.15%
Leicester
31.82%
X
31.03%
Burton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Burton Albion)
31.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
0.77
-0.86
0.70
0.68
-0.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.77 – 0.68).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
A. McCarthy
65'
G
A. McCarthy
65'
G
33
L. Thomas
65'
D
L. Thomas
65'
D
15
H. Souttar
65'
D
H. Souttar
65'
D
5
C. Okoli
65'
D
C. Okoli
65'
D
32
O. Aluko
65'
D
O. Aluko
65'
D
22
O. Skipp
29'
M
O. Skipp
29'
M
37
W. Alves
55'
M
W. Alves
55'
M
11
L. Cullen
34'
M
L. Cullen
34'
M
36
S. Braybrooke
65'
M
S. Braybrooke
65'
M
7
W. Burns
1 ⚽
54'
M
W. Burns
1 ⚽
54'
M
9
A. Bristrić
55'
F
A. Bristrić
55'
F
Bench
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
10'
F
B. De Cordova-Reid
10'
F
18
C. McFarlane
D
C. McFarlane
D
17
H. Choudhury
31'
M
H. Choudhury
31'
M
20
H. Howell
11'
F
H. Howell
11'
F
1
J. Stolarczyk
G
J. Stolarczyk
G
25
L. Page
M
L. Page
M
23
T. Watson
10'
F
T. Watson
10'
F
34
C. Addai
65'
G
C. Addai
65'
G
16
C. Tilt
65'
D
C. Tilt
65'
D
26
F. Delap
65'
D
F. Delap
65'
D
6
T. Sibbick
65'
D
T. Sibbick
65'
D
3
J. Armer
65'
M
J. Armer
65'
M
41
Sulyman Krubally
64'
M
Sulyman Krubally
64'
M
12
G. Evans
65'
M
G. Evans
65'
M
15
K. Lofthouse
1 👟
65'
M
K. Lofthouse
1 👟
65'
M
8
C. Webster
65'
F
C. Webster
65'
F
4
K. Chauke
1 ⚽
65'
F
K. Chauke
1 ⚽
65'
F
19
M. Dennis
1 ⚽
65'
F
M. Dennis
1 ⚽
65'
F
Bench
23
Emeka Adeile
D
Emeka Adeile
D
24
Harvey Araujo
D
Harvey Araujo
D
20
J. Sraha
D
J. Sraha
D
27
K. Dudek
G
K. Dudek
G
28
Millar Matthews-Lewis
F
Millar Matthews-Lewis
F
14
W. Collar
1'
M
W. Collar
1'
M
40
Zac Scutt
F
Zac Scutt
F
Best on the pitch
K. Chauke
F · Burton
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
M. Dennis
F · Burton
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
W. Burns
M · Leicester
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
F. Delap
D · Burton
7.00
· 20 pass
J. Armer
M · Burton
7.00
1 shots
· 13 pass
H. Souttar
D · Leicester
6.90
2 shots
· 70 pass
Leicester — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCarthy | G | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| L. Thomas | D | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | — | — | — |
| H. Souttar | D | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Okoli | D | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 70% | — | — | — |
| O. Aluko | D | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | — | — | — |
| O. Skipp | M | 29 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | 1 |
| W. Alves | M | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Cullen | M | 34 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Braybrooke | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Burns | M | 54 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bristrić | F | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| B. De Cordova-Reid | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| H. Choudhury | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| H. Howell | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Watson | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Burton Albion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Addai | G | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 9% | — | — | — |
| C. Tilt | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Delap | D | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Sibbick | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Armer | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Sulyman Krubally | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Evans | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Lofthouse | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Webster | F | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 5 | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Chauke | F | 65 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Dennis | F | 65 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Collar | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leicester vs Burton Albion?
The final score was Leicester 1–2 Burton Albion.
What did the model predict before Leicester vs Burton Albion?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Leicester win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Burton Albion win.