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League One · Regular Season - 2 August 22, 2026 16:00
Leicester
#19 · 5 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Burton Albion
#6 · 8 pts
W. Burns 42'
5' (ast. K. Lofthouse) M. Dennis
25' K. Chauke
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Burton Albion 31%). The final result was Leicester 1–2 Burton Albion. In 1 previous meetings, Leicester have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Burton Albion.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
0.77
Actual xG
0.68
2
Saves
2
71%
Possession
29%
3
Corners
2
7
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
5'
ast. K. Lofthouse · M. Dennis⚽
17'
C. Tilt
25'
K. Chauke⚽
O. Skipp
29'
↕ L. Cullen / H. Choudhury
34'
⚽W. Burns
42'
↕ W. Burns / H. Howell
54'
↕ A. Bristric / B. De Cordova-Reid
55'
↕ W. Alves / T. Watson
55'
63'
S. Krubally
64'
W. Collar / S. Krubally ↕
70'
E. Adiele / M. Dennis ↕
74'
K. Lofthouse
↕ L. Thomas / L. Page
77'
81'
G. Bowyer
B. De Cordova-Reid
83'
Pre-match prediction
37.15%
Leicester
31.82%
X
31.03%
Burton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Burton Albion) 31.03% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Leicester
1.63
0.77
-0.86
Burton
0.70
0.68
-0.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.77 – 0.68). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 5 12
2 Bradford Bradford 6 12
3 Huddersfield Huddersfield 5 11
4 Stockport County Stockport County 5 9
5 Stevenage Stevenage 6 9
6 Burton Albion Burton Albion 5 8
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 5 8
8 Luton Luton 6 8
9 Reading Reading 4 7
10 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 6 7
11 Oxford United Oxford United 4 7
12 Blackpool Blackpool 5 7
13 Notts County Notts County 6 7
14 Plymouth Plymouth 5 7
15 Barnsley Barnsley 5 7
16 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 5 7
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 5 6
18 Wycombe Wycombe 6 6
19 Leicester Leicester 5 5
20 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 5 4
21 Peterborough Peterborough 5 4
22 Bromley Bromley 5 4
23 Doncaster Doncaster 5 3
24 Wigan Wigan 5 3
Lineups
Leicester Leicester 4-1-4-1
29 A. McCarthy A. McCarthy 65' G 6.30
33 L. Thomas L. Thomas 65' D 6.50
15 H. Souttar H. Souttar 65' D 6.90
5 Caleb Okoli Caleb Okoli 65' D 6.20
32 O. Aluko O. Aluko 65' D 6.20
22 O. Skipp O. Skipp 29' M 5.20
37 W. Alves W. Alves 55' M 6.30
11 L. Cullen L. Cullen 34' M 6.00
36 S. Braybrooke S. Braybrooke 65' M 6.20
7 W. Burns W. Burns 1 ⚽ 54' M 7.50
9 A. Bristrić A. Bristrić 55' F 6.50
Bench
14 B. De Cordova-Reid B. De Cordova-Reid 10' F 6.30
18 C. McFarlane C. McFarlane D
17 H. Choudhury H. Choudhury 31' M 6.50
20 H. Howell H. Howell 11' F 6.70
1 J. Stolarczyk J. Stolarczyk G
25 L. Page L. Page M
23 T. Watson T. Watson 10' F 6.30
Burton Albion Burton Albion 3-4-2-1
34 C. Addai C. Addai 65' G 6.90
16 C. Tilt C. Tilt 65' D 6.30
26 F. Delap F. Delap 65' D 7.00
6 T. Sibbick T. Sibbick 65' D 6.30
3 J. Armer J. Armer 65' M 7.00
41 Sulyman Krubally Sulyman Krubally 64' M 6.20
12 G. Evans G. Evans 65' M 6.50
15 K. Lofthouse K. Lofthouse 1 👟 65' M 6.90
8 C. Webster C. Webster 65' F 6.90
4 K. Chauke K. Chauke 1 ⚽ 65' F 7.90
19 Matthew Dennis Matthew Dennis 1 ⚽ 65' F 7.60
Bench
23 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile D
24 Harvey Araujo Harvey Araujo D
20 J. Sraha J. Sraha D
27 K. Dudek K. Dudek G
28 Millar Matthews-Lewis Millar Matthews-Lewis F
14 W. Collar W. Collar 1' M
40 Zac Scutt Zac Scutt F
Best on the pitch
K. Chauke
K. Chauke
F · Burton
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Matthew Dennis
Matthew Dennis
F · Burton
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
W. Burns
W. Burns
M · Leicester
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
F. Delap
F. Delap
D · Burton
7.00
· 20 pass
J. Armer
J. Armer
M · Burton
7.00
1 shots · 13 pass
H. Souttar
H. Souttar
D · Leicester
6.90
2 shots · 70 pass
Leicester Leicester — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. McCarthy G 65 6.30 — — — 28 21% — — —
L. Thomas D 65 6.50 — — — 49 42% — — —
H. Souttar D 65 6.90 — — 2 70 61% 1 — —
Caleb Okoli D 65 6.20 — — — 77 70% — — —
O. Aluko D 65 6.20 — — — 44 39% — — —
O. Skipp M 29 5.20 — — — 27 26% 1 — 1
W. Alves M 55 6.30 — — 1 9 9% — — —
L. Cullen M 34 6.00 — — — 15 12% — — —
S. Braybrooke M 65 6.20 — — 1 38 31% 3 — —
W. Burns M 54 7.50 1 — 1 17 16% 1 — —
A. Bristrić F 55 6.50 — — — 14 9% 1 — —
B. De Cordova-Reid F 10 6.30 — — — 6 5% — — —
H. Choudhury M 31 6.50 — — — 19 17% — — —
H. Howell F 11 6.70 — — 1 2 2% — — —
T. Watson F 10 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Burton Albion Burton Albion — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Addai G 65 6.90 — — — 21 9% — — —
C. Tilt D 65 6.30 — — — 13 11% 1 1 —
F. Delap D 65 7.00 — — — 20 16% 4 — —
T. Sibbick D 65 6.30 — — — 14 12% 2 — —
J. Armer M 65 7.00 — — 1 13 8% 3 — —
Sulyman Krubally M 64 6.20 — — — 15 11% 2 1 —
G. Evans M 65 6.50 — — — 24 20% 1 — —
K. Lofthouse M 65 6.90 — 1 — 13 8% 1 — —
C. Webster F 65 6.90 — — 5 15 11% 2 — —
K. Chauke F 65 7.90 1 — 1 14 9% 3 — —
Matthew Dennis F 65 7.60 1 — 1 7 4% 1 — —
W. Collar M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leicester vs Burton Albion?
The final score was Leicester 1–2 Burton Albion.
What did the model predict before Leicester vs Burton Albion?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Leicester win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Burton Albion win.