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League One · Regular Season - 11 October 17, 2026 16:00 King Power Stadium, Leicester
Leicester
#11 · 18 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Doncaster
#18 · 12 pts
John Lundstram (ast. Warren O'Hora) 45'+1
K. Doyle (ast. Luke Thomas) 61'
(og) 84' Warren O'Hora
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Doncaster 30%). The final result was Leicester 2–1 Doncaster.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
15
7
Shots on target
3
1.80
Actual xG
0.62
3
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
7
12
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Luke Thomas
17'
⚽John Lundstram · ast. Warren O'Hora
45'+1
57'
Alfie May
58'
Brandon Hanlan / Isaac Hutchinson ↕
59'
jay mcgrath
⚽K. Doyle · ast. Luke Thomas
61'
65'
Leon Ayinde
69'
Hakeeb Adelakun / Leon Ayinde ↕
69'
Bayley McCann / T. Nixon ↕
69'
Will Keane / George Broadbent ↕
↕ Samuel Charles Braybrooke / Conor Chaplin
71'
↕ K. Doyle / Liam Cullen
79'
84'
(og) Warren O'Hora⚽
85'
Harry Clifton / Sean Grehan ↕
↕ William Thomas-Alves / Olabade Aluko
89'
Pre-match prediction
37.29%
Leicester ←
32.1%
X
30.62%
Doncaster
we assigned to the actual result (Leicester) 37.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Leicester
1.12
1.80
+0.68
Doncaster
0.95
0.62
-0.33
Leicester dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
Leicester Leicester 4-1-4-1
29 A. McCarthy A. McCarthy G 6.88
33 L. Thomas L. Thomas 1 👟 D 7.12
5 C. Okoli C. Okoli D 6.83
15 H. Souttar H. Souttar D 6.12
16 W. O'Hora W. O'Hora 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 6.05
25 L. Page L. Page M 6.21
27 K. Doyle K. Doyle 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.80
6 J. Lundstram J. Lundstram 1 ⚽ M 7.85
36 S. Braybrooke S. Braybrooke 71' M 6.41
37 W. Alves W. Alves 89' M 6.58
17 E. Riis E. Riis F 7.04
Bench
14 B. De Cordova-Reid B. De Cordova-Reid F 0.00
8 C. Chaplin C. Chaplin 19' F 6.60
21 F. Ravizzoli F. Ravizzoli G 0.00
20 H. Howell H. Howell F 0.00
24 I. Kangasniemi I. Kangasniemi D 0.00
11 L. Cullen L. Cullen 11' F 6.45
32 O. Aluko O. Aluko 1' D 6.54
Doncaster Doncaster 3-4-2-1
1 Tommy Simkin Tommy Simkin G 6.55
6 J. McGrath J. McGrath D 6.23
12 N. Byrne N. Byrne D 6.64
27 S. Grehan S. Grehan 85' D 5.82
16 T. Nixon T. Nixon 69' M 6.32
8 G. Broadbent G. Broadbent 69' M 6.13
22 R. Gotts R. Gotts M 5.59
11 L. Ayinde L. Ayinde 69' M 5.89
21 I. Hutchinson I. Hutchinson 58' M 6.40
4 O. Bailey O. Bailey M 6.72
10 A. May A. May F 5.93
Bench
9 B. Hanlan B. Hanlan 32' F 6.25
25 B. McCann B. McCann 21' D 5.98
20 D. Robinson D. Robinson M 0.00
47 H. Adelakun H. Adelakun 21' F 6.53
15 H. Clifton H. Clifton 5' M 6.01
42 J. Clarke J. Clarke G 0.00
18 W. Keane W. Keane 21' F 6.33
Best on the pitch
J. Lundstram
J. Lundstram
M · Leicester
7.85
1 ⚽
1 shots · 81 pass
K. Doyle
K. Doyle
M · Leicester
7.80
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
L. Thomas
L. Thomas
D · Leicester
7.12
1 👟
· 51 pass
E. Riis
E. Riis
F · Leicester
7.04
4 shots · 24 pass
A. McCarthy
A. McCarthy
G · Leicester
6.88
· 29 pass
C. Okoli
C. Okoli
D · Leicester
6.83
· 64 pass
Leicester Leicester — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. McCarthy G 90 6.88 — — 0 29 18% 0 — —
L. Thomas D 90 7.12 — 1 0 51 35% 2 1 —
C. Okoli D 90 6.83 — — 0 64 52% 2 — —
H. Souttar D 90 6.12 — — 1 42 27% 0 — —
W. O'Hora D 90 6.05 1 1 0 37 26% 3 — —
L. Page M 90 6.21 — — 1 44 36% 0 — —
K. Doyle M 79 7.80 1 — 2 23 18% 1 — —
J. Lundstram M 90 7.85 1 — 1 81 61% 1 — —
S. Braybrooke M 71 6.41 — — 3 29 23% 0 — —
W. Alves M 89 6.58 — — 2 20 17% 1 — —
E. Riis F 90 7.04 — — 4 24 15% 0 — —
C. Chaplin F 19 6.60 — — 0 9 7% 1 — —
L. Cullen F 11 6.45 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
O. Aluko D 1 6.54 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
Doncaster Doncaster — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Tommy Simkin G 90 6.55 — — 0 38 17% 0 — —
J. McGrath D 90 6.23 — — 3 53 37% 3 1 —
N. Byrne D 90 6.64 — — 0 39 33% 3 — —
S. Grehan D 85 5.82 — — 2 46 31% 1 — —
T. Nixon M 69 6.32 — — 1 26 19% 0 — —
G. Broadbent M 69 6.13 — — 0 28 19% 1 — —
R. Gotts M 90 5.59 — — 0 46 30% 3 — —
L. Ayinde M 69 5.89 — — 0 6 5% 0 1 —
I. Hutchinson M 58 6.40 — — 3 23 20% 0 — —
O. Bailey M 90 6.72 — — 1 30 24% 2 — —
A. May F 90 5.93 — — 3 19 12% 0 1 —
B. Hanlan F 32 6.25 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
B. McCann D 21 5.98 — — 0 11 4% 0 — —
H. Adelakun F 21 6.53 — — 2 6 6% 1 — —
H. Clifton M 5 6.01 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
W. Keane F 21 6.33 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leicester vs Doncaster?
The final score was Leicester 2–1 Doncaster.
What did the model predict before Leicester vs Doncaster?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Leicester win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an Doncaster win.