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Leicester - Genoa

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 20:30
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.41%
Win
Leicester
31.1%
Draw
31.49%
Win
Genoa
2.59
Expected xG
1.25

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.98%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 31%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 63%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Leicester a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Genoa. Expected goals are 2.6 for Leicester and 1.2 for Genoa (total 3.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.98% probability.

Season Stats

Leicester
4W 1D 0L
Genoa
1W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
2.0
0.8
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
100%
40%
BTTS
100%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Leicester Genoa →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.6% 7.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.2% 9.0% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.2% 7.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.0% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

D Malaga 3–3
W Cadiz 0–1
W Burton Albion 0–3
W Bristol Rovers 1–2
W Northampton 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
D Vicenza Virtus 2–2
W Trento 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Leicester Leicester
Attack
60
Defence
79
Form
78
Genoa Genoa
Attack
50
Defence
62
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Leicester vs Genoa?
The model gives Leicester a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Genoa win.
How many goals are expected in Leicester vs Genoa?
Expected goals: Leicester 2.6, Genoa 1.2 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Leicester vs Genoa?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.98%.