Leicester - Northampton
EFL Cup
August 08, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.79%
Win
Leicester
28.1%
Draw
25.11%
Win
Northampton
2.06
0.45
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(12.54%)
1X2 Result
1
47%
X
28%
2
25%
Double Chance
1X
75%
X2
53%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
60%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Leicester a 46% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Northampton. Expected goals are 2.1 for Leicester and 0.4 for Northampton (total 2.5), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.54% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Leicester have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Northampton.
Season Stats
0W
1D
0L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
0.0
2.0
Conceded
1.0
3.0
Shots OT
4.0
6.0
Corners
4.0
60%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Leicester
Northampton →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 16.8% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 2 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Leicester
Attack
58
Defence
75
Form
69
Northampton
Attack
22
Defence
59
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
11 Jul 2026
3–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Leicester vs Northampton?
The model gives Leicester a 46% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 25% for an Northampton win.
How many goals are expected in Leicester vs Northampton?
Expected goals: Leicester 2.1, Northampton 0.4 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Leicester vs Northampton?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.54%.