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League One · Regular Season - 10 October 10, 2026 16:00 King Power Stadium, Leicester
Leicester
#11 · 18 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Peterborough
#21 · 10 pts
Emil Riis Jakobsen (ast. Wes Burns) 68'
12' (ast. Harley Mills) Owura Edwards
36' (ast. Bolu Shofowoke) Harry Leonard
(og) 44' Warren O'Hora
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 48% win probability (draw 28%, Peterborough 22%). The final result was Leicester 1–3 Peterborough.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
4
2.42
Actual xG
1.49
2
Saves
3
70%
Possession
30%
8
Corners
8
17
Tackles
28
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
12'
ast. Harley Mills · Owura Edwards⚽
36'
ast. Bolu Shofowoke · Harry Leonard⚽
44'
(og) Warren O'Hora⚽
↕ Liam Cullen / Wes Burns
45'
↕ Warren O'Hora / Ilari Kangasniemi
45'
↕ Olabade Aluko / K. Doyle
45'
59'
Matthew Garbett / Ethan Williams ↕
↕ Bobby Reid / Samuel Charles Braybrooke
65'
67'
B. Woods / Harry Ashfield ↕
67'
Vernon Masara / Bolu Shofowoke ↕
⚽Emil Riis Jakobsen · ast. Wes Burns
68'
78'
Brandon·Singh Khela / Liam Kelly ↕
78'
D. Ormerod / Harry Leonard ↕
↕ Caleb Okoli / Harry Howell
78'
85'
Matthew Garbett
Pre-match prediction
48.36%
Leicester
28.75%
X
22.89%
Peterborough ←
we assigned to the actual result (Peterborough) 22.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Leicester
1.54
2.42
+0.88
Peterborough
0.57
1.49
+0.92
Leicester dominated by xG (2.42 vs 1.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
Leicester Leicester 4-2-3-1
29 A. McCarthy A. McCarthy G 5.93
33 L. Thomas L. Thomas D 5.85
16 W. O'Hora W. O'Hora 1 ⚽ 45' D 5.34
5 C. Okoli C. Okoli 78' D 6.07
32 O. Aluko O. Aluko 45' D 6.13
25 L. Page L. Page M 6.86
6 J. Lundstram J. Lundstram M 5.69
37 W. Alves W. Alves M 6.35
14 B. De Cordova-Reid B. De Cordova-Reid 65' M 6.01
11 L. Cullen L. Cullen 45' M 5.95
17 E. Riis E. Riis 1 ⚽ F 7.83
Bench
21 F. Ravizzoli F. Ravizzoli G 0.00
20 H. Howell H. Howell 12' F 6.26
15 H. Souttar H. Souttar D 0.00
24 I. Kangasniemi I. Kangasniemi 45' D 5.55
27 K. Doyle K. Doyle 45' M 5.88
36 S. Braybrooke S. Braybrooke 25' M 5.85
7 W. Burns W. Burns 1 👟 45' F 6.23
Peterborough Peterborough 4-2-3-1
1 A. Bass A. Bass G 6.06
14 Harley Mills Harley Mills 1 👟 D 7.03
12 Joshua Feeney Joshua Feeney D 7.07
18 Lucca Mendonça Lucca Mendonça D 6.02
2 C. Johnston C. Johnston D 6.18
45 Harry Ashfield Harry Ashfield 67' M 6.34
4 L. Kelly L. Kelly 78' M 6.29
11 O. Edwards O. Edwards 1 ⚽ M 7.47
10 Ethan Williams Ethan Williams 59' M 6.61
19 Bolu Shofowoke Bolu Shofowoke 1 👟 67' M 7.28
9 H. Leonard H. Leonard 1 ⚽ 78' F 8.20
Bench
8 B. Khela B. Khela 12' M 6.41
16 B. Woods B. Woods 23' M 6.50
23 C. Andeng Ndi C. Andeng Ndi G 0.00
26 D. Okagbue D. Okagbue D 0.00
28 M. Garbett M. Garbett 31' M 6.21
17 Vernon Masara Vernon Masara 23' F 6.62
Best on the pitch
H. Leonard
H. Leonard
F · Peterborough
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
E. Riis
E. Riis
F · Leicester
7.83
1 ⚽
5 shots · 11 pass
O. Edwards
O. Edwards
M · Peterborough
7.47
1 ⚽
2 shots · 29 pass
Bolu Shofowoke
Bolu Shofowoke
M · Peterborough
7.28
1 👟
· 6 pass
Joshua Feeney
Joshua Feeney
D · Peterborough
7.07
1 shots · 19 pass
Harley Mills
Harley Mills
D · Peterborough
7.03
1 👟
· 34 pass
Leicester Leicester — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. McCarthy G 90 5.93 — — 0 39 29% 0 — —
L. Thomas D 90 5.85 — — 0 71 58% 4 — —
W. O'Hora D 45 5.34 1 — 0 50 45% 0 — —
C. Okoli D 78 6.07 — — 3 88 70% 0 — —
O. Aluko D 45 6.13 — — 0 27 25% 1 — —
L. Page M 90 6.86 — — 1 63 55% 3 — —
J. Lundstram M 90 5.69 — — 0 102 85% 2 — —
W. Alves M 90 6.35 — — 1 30 24% 2 — —
B. De Cordova-Reid M 65 6.01 — — 2 39 30% 0 — —
L. Cullen M 45 5.95 — — 2 17 16% 1 — —
E. Riis F 90 7.83 1 — 5 11 7% 1 — —
H. Howell F 12 6.26 — — 0 6 5% 1 — —
I. Kangasniemi D 45 5.55 — — 1 43 37% 2 — —
K. Doyle M 45 5.88 — — 4 22 17% 0 — —
S. Braybrooke M 25 5.85 — — 1 11 8% 0 — —
W. Burns F 45 6.23 — 1 0 26 20% 0 — —
Peterborough Peterborough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Bass G 90 6.06 — — 0 29 6% 0 — —
Harley Mills D 90 7.03 — 1 0 34 20% 10 — —
Joshua Feeney D 90 7.07 — — 1 19 15% 1 — —
Lucca Mendonça D 90 6.02 — — 0 27 14% 1 — —
C. Johnston D 90 6.18 — — 0 22 14% 3 — —
Harry Ashfield M 67 6.34 — — 0 15 11% 2 — —
L. Kelly M 78 6.29 — — 1 33 21% 0 — —
O. Edwards M 90 7.47 1 — 2 29 19% 4 — —
Ethan Williams M 59 6.61 — — 0 13 6% 2 — —
Bolu Shofowoke M 67 7.28 — 1 0 6 6% 1 — —
H. Leonard F 78 8.20 1 — 3 14 10% 1 — —
B. Khela M 12 6.41 — — 0 4 2% 2 — —
B. Woods M 23 6.50 — — 2 7 5% 1 — —
M. Garbett M 31 6.21 — — 1 2 1% 0 1 —
Vernon Masara F 23 6.62 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leicester vs Peterborough?
The final score was Leicester 1–3 Peterborough.
What did the model predict before Leicester vs Peterborough?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Leicester win, 28% to a draw, and 22% to an Peterborough win.