Championship
· Regular Season - 40
April 03, 2026 16:00
P. Daka
4'
P. Daka
81'
38'
(ast. L. Dobbin)
A. Moran
45'
(ast. A. Devine)
B. Whiteman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 41% win probability (draw 31%, Preston 26%). The final result was Leicester 2–2 Preston. In 1 previous meetings, Leicester have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Preston.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
3
2.01
Actual xG
0.41
1
Saves
8
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
2
18
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽P. Daka
4'
15'
Andrew Moran
21'
Andrew Hughes
38'
ast. L. Dobbin ·
A. Moran⚽
45'
ast. A. Devine ·
B. Whiteman⚽
57'
Liam Lindsay
64'
Jordan Storey
67'
B. Potts
/
A. Moran
67'
L. Gibson
/
L. Lindsay
67'
D. Jebbison
/
M. Osmajic
J. Lascelles
/ B. Nelson
74'
O. Skipp
/ B. De Cordova-Reid
75'
80'
M. Smith
/
L. Dobbin
⚽P. Daka
81'
85'
A. Vukcevic
/
T. Small
P. Daka
/ J. Ayew
88'
S. Mavididi
/ J. Monga
88'
D. Mukasa
/ J. Vestergaard
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
41.95%
Leicester
31.28%
X ←
26.76%
Preston
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
2.01
+0.83
0.85
0.41
-0.44
Leicester dominated by xG (2.01 vs 0.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
L. Thomas
D
L. Thomas
D
24
J. Lascelles
74'
D
5
D
21
R. Pereira
D
8
H. Winks
M
22
O. Skipp
74'
M
10
S. Mavididi
88'
M
29
D. Mukasa
M
7
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
M
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
M
20
P. Daka
2 ⚽
88'
F
Bench
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
24'
F
B. De Cordova-Reid
24'
F
17
Hamza Choudhury
M
28
J. Monga
10'
M
9
Jordan Ayew
10'
F
Jordan Ayew
10'
F
23
J. Vestergaard
4'
D
1
D. Iversen
G
26
T. Small
85'
D
16
A. Hughes
D
6
L. Lindsay
67'
D
L. Lindsay
67'
D
14
J. Storey
D
J. Storey
D
2
P. Valentin
D
21
A. Devine
1 👟
M
4
B. Whiteman
1 ⚽
M
23
Andrew Moran
1 ⚽
67'
M
Andrew Moran
1 ⚽
67'
M
17
L. Dobbin
1 👟
80'
F
L. Dobbin
1 👟
80'
F
28
Milutin Osmajić
67'
F
Bench
3
A. Vukcevic
13'
D
44
B. Potts
31'
M
9
D. Jebbison
31'
F
19
L. Gibson
31'
D
42
O. Offiah
D
Best on the pitch
P. Daka
F · Leicester
8.90
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 9 pass
D. Iversen
G · Preston
8.60
· 41 pass
B. Whiteman
M · Preston
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
L. Thomas
D · Leicester
7.20
2 shots
· 59 pass
D. Mukasa
M · Leicester
7.20
5 shots
· 36 pass
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
M · Leicester
7.20
5 shots
· 21 pass
Leicester — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| L. Thomas | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Lascelles | D | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 42% | — | — | — | |
| R. Pereira | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | — | — | — |
| H. Winks | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 53 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Skipp | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mavididi | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| D. Mukasa | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Abdul Fatawu Issahaku | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Daka | F | 88 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 4 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| B. De Cordova-Reid | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Monga | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Ayew | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Vestergaard | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Preston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Iversen | G | 98 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 27% | — | — | — |
| T. Small | D | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Hughes | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Lindsay | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Storey | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Valentin | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Devine | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| B. Whiteman | M | 98 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Andrew Moran | M | 67 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Dobbin | F | 80 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Milutin Osmajić | F | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Vukcevic | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | — |
| B. Potts | M | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Jebbison | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Gibson | D | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leicester vs Preston?
The final score was Leicester 2–2 Preston.
What did the model predict before Leicester vs Preston?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Leicester win, 31% to a draw, and 26% to an Preston win.