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Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 03, 2026 16:00
Leicester
#23 · 46 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Preston
#14 · 60 pts
P. Daka 4'
P. Daka 81'
38' (ast. L. Dobbin) A. Moran
45' (ast. A. Devine) B. Whiteman

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 41% win probability (draw 31%, Preston 26%). The final result was Leicester 2–2 Preston. In 1 previous meetings, Leicester have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Preston.

Match statistics
23
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
3
2.01
Actual xG
0.41
1
Saves
8
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
2
18
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽P. Daka
4'
15'
Andrew Moran
21'
Andrew Hughes
38'
ast. L. Dobbin · A. Moran⚽
45'
ast. A. Devine · B. Whiteman⚽
57'
Liam Lindsay
64'
Jordan Storey
67'
B. Potts / A. Moran ↕
67'
L. Gibson / L. Lindsay ↕
67'
D. Jebbison / M. Osmajic ↕
↕ J. Lascelles / B. Nelson
74'
↕ O. Skipp / B. De Cordova-Reid
75'
80'
M. Smith / L. Dobbin ↕
⚽P. Daka
81'
85'
A. Vukcevic / T. Small ↕
↕ P. Daka / J. Ayew
88'
↕ S. Mavididi / J. Monga
88'
↕ D. Mukasa / J. Vestergaard
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
41.95%
Leicester
31.28%
X ←
26.76%
Preston
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.28% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Leicester
1.18
2.01
+0.83
Preston
0.85
0.41
-0.44
Leicester dominated by xG (2.01 vs 0.41). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Leicester Leicester 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.30
33 L. Thomas L. Thomas D 7.20
24
J. Lascelles 74' D 6.50
5
D 6.20
21
R. Pereira D 6.30
8
H. Winks M 6.90
22
O. Skipp 74' M 6.90
10
S. Mavididi 88' M 6.70
29
D. Mukasa M 7.20
7 A. Fatawu A. Fatawu M 7.20
20
P. Daka 2 ⚽ 88' F 8.90
Bench
14 B. De Cordova-Reid B. De Cordova-Reid 24' F 6.60
17
H. Choudhury M
9
J. Ayew 10' F 6.50
28
J. Monga 10' M 6.90
23
J. Vestergaard 4' D
Preston Preston 5-3-2
1
D. Iversen G 8.60
26
T. Small 85' D 6.00
16
A. Hughes D 6.50
6
Liam Lindsay 67' D 6.30
14
Jordan Storey D 6.30
2
P. Valentin D 6.20
21
A. Devine 1 👟 M 6.30
4
B. Whiteman 1 ⚽ M 7.90
23
A. Moran 1 ⚽ 67' M 6.70
17 L. Dobbin L. Dobbin 1 👟 80' F 6.20
28
M. Osmajic 67' F 6.20
Bench
3
A. Vukcevic 13' D 6.90
44
B. Potts 31' M 6.20
9
D. Jebbison 31' F 6.50
19
L. Gibson 31' D 6.20
42
O. Offiah D
Best on the pitch
P. Daka
F · Leicester
8.90
2 ⚽
4 shots · 9 pass
D. Iversen
G · Preston
8.60
· 41 pass
B. Whiteman
M · Preston
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
L. Thomas
L. Thomas
D · Leicester
7.20
2 shots · 59 pass
D. Mukasa
M · Leicester
7.20
5 shots · 36 pass
A. Fatawu
A. Fatawu
M · Leicester
7.20
5 shots · 21 pass
Leicester Leicester — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 6.30 — — — 22 16% — — —
L. Thomas D 98 7.20 — — 2 59 38% 5 — —
J. Lascelles D 74 6.50 — — 1 41 37% 3 — —
D 98 6.20 — — 2 54 42% — — —
R. Pereira D 98 6.30 — — — 49 40% — — —
H. Winks M 98 6.90 — — 3 53 46% 3 — —
O. Skipp M 74 6.90 — — 1 23 17% 1 — —
S. Mavididi M 88 6.70 — — — 32 27% — — —
D. Mukasa M 94 7.20 — — 5 36 31% — — —
A. Fatawu M 98 7.20 — — 5 21 18% 3 — —
P. Daka F 88 8.90 2 — 4 9 8% 2 — —
B. De Cordova-Reid F 24 6.60 — — — 16 15% 1 — —
J. Ayew F 10 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
J. Monga M 10 6.90 — — — 2 2% — — —
J. Vestergaard D 4 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Preston Preston — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Iversen G 98 8.60 — — — 41 27% — — —
T. Small D 85 6.00 — — — 17 12% 3 — —
A. Hughes D 98 6.50 — — — 33 25% 3 1 —
Liam Lindsay D 67 6.30 — — — 34 23% — 1 —
Jordan Storey D 98 6.30 — — — 39 26% 1 1 —
P. Valentin D 98 6.20 — — — 12 7% 3 — —
A. Devine M 98 6.30 — 1 1 25 18% — — —
B. Whiteman M 98 7.90 1 — 1 39 24% 4 — —
A. Moran M 67 6.70 1 — 2 19 15% 1 1 —
L. Dobbin F 80 6.20 — 1 1 9 4% — — —
M. Osmajic F 67 6.20 — — — 10 8% — — —
A. Vukcevic D 13 6.90 — — — 1 — 2 — —
B. Potts M 31 6.20 — — — 5 3% — — —
D. Jebbison F 31 6.50 — — — 3 1% — — —
L. Gibson D 31 6.20 — — — 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leicester vs Preston?
The final score was Leicester 2–2 Preston.
What did the model predict before Leicester vs Preston?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Leicester win, 31% to a draw, and 26% to an Preston win.