✓Model correct — prediction Leicester
Emil Riis Jakobsen
17'
Emil Riis Jakobsen
(ast. Luke Thomas)
67'
Bobby Reid
90'+2
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 60% win probability (draw 23%, Wigan 16%). The final result was Leicester 3–0 Wigan.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
2
2.91
Actual xG
1.07
2
Saves
2
64%
Possession
36%
7
Corners
3
18
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
4'
Reggie Walsh
Will Smallbone
6'
9'
Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen
⚽Emil Riis Jakobsen
17'
28'
K'Marni Miller
32'
Morgan Fox
/
Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen
Caleb Okoli
40'
Luke Thomas
45'+1
Warren O'Hora
48'
58'
Chris Sze
/
Dara James Morgan Costelloe
Conor Chaplin
/ Liam Cullen
60'
Will Smallbone
/ Samuel Charles Braybrooke
61'
61'
Finley Burns
⚽Emil Riis Jakobsen
· ast. Luke Thomas
67'
68'
Christian Saydee
/
Scott Hogan
68'
Jon Mellish
/
K'Marni Miller
69'
A. Higgins
/
Finley Burns
William Thomas-Alves
/ Wes Burns
76'
Emil Riis Jakobsen
/ Bobby Reid
84'
Louis Page
/ Ilari Kangasniemi
84'
⚽Bobby Reid
(pen.)
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
60.27%
Leicester ←
23.24%
X
16.49%
Wigan
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Leicester)
60.27%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
2.91
+1.12
0.50
1.07
+0.57
Leicester dominated by xG (2.91 vs 1.07).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
A. McCarthy
G
A. McCarthy
G
5
C. Okoli
D
C. Okoli
D
15
H. Souttar
D
H. Souttar
D
16
W. O'Hora
D
W. O'Hora
D
33
L. Thomas
1 👟
M
L. Thomas
1 👟
M
25
L. Page
84'
M
L. Page
84'
M
12
W. Smallbone
61'
M
W. Smallbone
61'
M
37
W. Alves
76'
M
W. Alves
76'
M
27
K. Doyle
M
K. Doyle
M
8
C. Chaplin
60'
M
C. Chaplin
60'
M
17
E. Riis
2 ⚽
84'
F
E. Riis
2 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
1 ⚽
6'
F
B. De Cordova-Reid
1 ⚽
6'
F
21
F. Ravizzoli
G
F. Ravizzoli
G
20
H. Howell
F
H. Howell
F
24
I. Kangasniemi
6'
D
I. Kangasniemi
6'
D
11
L. Cullen
30'
F
L. Cullen
30'
F
36
S. Braybrooke
29'
M
S. Braybrooke
29'
M
7
W. Burns
14'
F
W. Burns
14'
F
41
J. Whitworth
G
J. Whitworth
G
21
K'Marni Miller
68'
D
K'Marni Miller
68'
D
5
F. Burns
69'
D
F. Burns
69'
D
23
J. Carragher
D
J. Carragher
D
4
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
32'
D
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
32'
D
2
C. Barrett
D
C. Barrett
D
27
B. Burrows
M
B. Burrows
M
10
R. Walsh
M
R. Walsh
M
6
J. Weir
M
J. Weir
M
25
S. Hogan
68'
F
S. Hogan
68'
F
11
D. Costelloe
58'
F
D. Costelloe
58'
F
Bench
17
A. Higgins
21'
F
A. Higgins
21'
F
38
C. Saydee
22'
F
C. Saydee
22'
F
19
C. Sze
32'
F
C. Sze
32'
F
22
J. Mellish
22'
D
J. Mellish
22'
D
1
J. Walsh
G
J. Walsh
G
3
M. Fox
58'
D
M. Fox
58'
D
55
R. Greenhalgh
F
R. Greenhalgh
F
Best on the pitch
E. Riis
F · Leicester
9.35
2 ⚽
7 shots
· 28 pass
B. De Cordova-Reid
F · Leicester
7.75
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
W. Alves
M · Leicester
7.20
· 20 pass
L. Page
M · Leicester
7.18
2 shots
· 85 pass
H. Souttar
D · Leicester
7.13
· 55 pass
S. Braybrooke
M · Leicester
7.09
· 35 pass
Leicester — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCarthy | G | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Okoli | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 120 | 106% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Souttar | D | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| W. O'Hora | D | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 77 | 68% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Thomas | M | 90 | 7.01 | — | 1 | 0 | 48 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Page | M | 84 | 7.18 | — | — | 2 | 85 | 79% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Smallbone | M | 61 | 6.54 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Alves | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Doyle | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Chaplin | M | 60 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Riis | F | 84 | 9.35 | 2 | — | 7 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| B. De Cordova-Reid | F | 6 | 7.75 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Kangasniemi | D | 6 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Cullen | F | 30 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Braybrooke | M | 29 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Burns | F | 14 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Wigan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Whitworth | G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| K'Marni Miller | D | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Burns | D | 69 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 29% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Carragher | D | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Chilokoa-Mullen | D | 32 | 5.30 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 0 | 1 | — |
| C. Barrett | D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Burrows | M | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Walsh | M | 90 | 5.58 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 45% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Weir | M | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Hogan | F | 68 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Costelloe | F | 58 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Higgins | F | 21 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Saydee | F | 22 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Sze | F | 32 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mellish | D | 22 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fox | D | 58 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leicester vs Wigan?
The final score was Leicester 3–0 Wigan.
What did the model predict before Leicester vs Wigan?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Leicester win, 23% to a draw, and 16% to an Wigan win.