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Leiston - Coventry United

FA Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
Leiston
vs
Coventry United
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.72%
Win
Leiston
29.35%
Draw
28.93%
Win
Coventry United
2.93
Expected xG
1.04

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.34%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 29%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 58%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Leiston a 41% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Coventry United. Expected goals are 2.9 for Leiston and 1.0 for Coventry United (total 4.0), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.34% probability.

Season Stats

Leiston
4W 1D 1L
Coventry United
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
1.8
1.0
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
50%
83%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
33%
BTTS
Leiston
2W 0D 1L · at home
Coventry United
2W 0D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
1.7
1.3
Conceded
1.3
67%
Win %
67%
67%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
33%
100%
O 2.5
33%
67%
O 3.5
33%
33%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
67%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Leiston Coventry United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 5.5% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.4% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.9% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% —

Recent form

Leiston Leiston
W Hitchin Town 1–2
W Grays Athletic 5–0
D Grays Athletic 0–0
L Banbury United 0–3
W Hackney Wick 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Coventry United Coventry United
W Hednesford Town 0–1
W Bedworth United 2–1
L Abbey Hulton 4–3
W Shifnal Town FC 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Leiston Leiston
Attack
61
Defence
81
Form
77
Coventry United Coventry United
Attack
35
Defence
70
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Leiston vs Coventry United?
The model gives Leiston a 41% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 28% for an Coventry United win.
How many goals are expected in Leiston vs Coventry United?
Expected goals: Leiston 2.9, Coventry United 1.0 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Leiston vs Coventry United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.34%.