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Leixoes - Lusitânia Lourosa

Segunda Liga May 17, 2026 19:00
Leixoes
#7 · 47 pts
vs
Lusitânia Lourosa
#10 · 43 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 15.7°C 💨 20 km/h · Matosinhos
⚡ Pre-match analysis
67.64%
Win
Leixoes
16.66%
Draw
15.7%
Win
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.51
Expected xG
0.93
Model prediction
Leixoes
67.64%
Probability
55.0%
1X2 accuracy · 20 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Leixoes a 67% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Lusitânia Lourosa. Expected goals are 2.5 for Leixoes and 0.9 for Lusitânia Lourosa (total 3.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Leixoes have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lusitânia Lourosa.

Score Matrix
↕ Leixoes Lusitânia Lourosa →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 8.1% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% —
2 10.1% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% —
4 5.3% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% —
5 2.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
Recent form
Leixoes Leixoes
W Chaves 1–2
L Maritimo 3–2
W Portimonense 2–0
W FC Porto B 0–3
W Oliveirense 2–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 36%
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
L Torreense 1–2
D Oliveirense 0–0
W Pacos Ferreira 2–0
L Portimonense 3–2
D FC Porto B 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Leixoes Leixoes
Attack
50
Defence
70
Form
65
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
Attack
28
Defence
62
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Leixoes
1
Draw
0
Lusitânia Lourosa
D 8 Jan 2026 Segunda Liga 2–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Maritimo Maritimo 33 66
2 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 33 58
3 Torreense Torreense 33 56
4 Vizela Vizela 33 51
5 União de Leiria União de Leiria 33 49
6 FC Porto B FC Porto B 33 48
7 Leixoes Leixoes 33 47
8 Feirense Feirense 33 45
9 Benfica B Benfica B 33 44
10 Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa 33 43
11 Chaves Chaves 33 42
12 Sporting CP B Sporting CP B 33 41
13 Penafiel Penafiel 33 41
14 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 33 41
15 Farense Farense 33 40
16 Portimonense Portimonense 33 37
17 Pacos Ferreira Pacos Ferreira 33 36
18 Oliveirense Oliveirense 33 34
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Leixoes vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
The model gives Leixoes a 67% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 15% for an Lusitânia Lourosa win.
How many goals are expected in Leixoes vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Expected goals: Leixoes 2.5, Lusitânia Lourosa 0.9 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Leixoes vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.1%.