Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 20, 2026 20:45 Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Lens

#15 · 4 pts

5 – 1

Final score

Angers

#7 · 7 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Lens

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 85% win probability (draw 8%, Angers 6%). The final result was Lens 5–1 Angers. In 1 previous meetings, Lens have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Angers.

Match statistics

9

Shots on target

5

3.19

Actual xG

1.50

57%

Possession

43%

7

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

85.16%

Lens ←

8.57%

X

6.27%

Angers

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lens) 85.16% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lens

3.06

3.19

+0.13

Angers

0.41

1.50

+1.09

Lens dominated by xG (3.19 vs 1.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monaco	5	13
2	Lyon	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille	5	10
5	Rennes	5	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	8
7	Angers	5	7
8	Strasbourg	5	7
9	Le Mans	5	6
10	Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse	5	5
14	Nice	5	5
15	Lens	5	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	4
17	Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre	5	2