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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6 October 09, 2026 20:45 Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Lens
#7 · 13 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Lyon
#5 · 14 pts
Florian Sotoca (ast. Florian Thauvin) 36'
Matthieu Udol (ast. Florian Thauvin) 76'
85' Khalis Merah
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Lyon 32%). The final result was Lens 2–1 Lyon. In 3 previous meetings, Lens have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Lyon.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
5
1.41
Actual xG
1.01
4
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
4
19
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
23'
Abner Vinicius
⚽Florian Sotoca · ast. Florian Thauvin
36'
Jonathan Gradit
50'
↕ Jonathan Gradit / Samson Baidoo
53'
↕ Yassine Titraoui / Amadou Haidara
54'
60'
Keito Nakamura / Loïs Openda ↕
60'
Noah Teye Nartey / Mads Bidstrup ↕
↕ Odsonne Édouard / Franjo Ivanovic
69'
↕ Florian Sotoca / Junior Kadile
69'
71'
Kail Boudache / Ernest Nuamah ↕
⚽Matthieu Udol · ast. Florian Thauvin
76'
77'
Tanner Tessmann / Tyler Morton ↕
78'
Khalis Merah / Pavel Šulc ↕
↕ Michaël Cuisance / Andrija Bulatović
83'
Matthieu Udol
84'
85'
Khalis Merah⚽
Pre-match prediction
37.53%
Lens ←
29.7%
X
32.77%
Lyon
we assigned to the actual result (Lens) 37.53% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lens
1.89
1.41
-0.48
Lyon
1.58
1.01
-0.57
Lens dominated by xG (1.41 vs 1.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40 R. Risser R. Risser G 7.41
32 K. Antonio K. Antonio D 7.00
25 I. Ganiou I. Ganiou D 7.04
24 J. Gradit J. Gradit 53' D 6.68
14 M. Udol M. Udol 1 ⚽ 84' M 6.88
8 Y. Titraoui Y. Titraoui 54' M 6.76
27 M. Cuisance M. Cuisance 83' M 6.73
2 R. Aguilar R. Aguilar M 6.76
7 F. Sotoca F. Sotoca 1 ⚽ 69' M 8.20
10 F. Thauvin F. Thauvin 2 👟 M 8.60
11 O. Édouard O. Édouard 69' F 6.45
Bench
5 A. Bulatović A. Bulatović 7' M 6.18
21 A. Haidara A. Haidara 36' M 6.49
29 F. Ivanović F. Ivanović 21' F 6.60
28 J. Kadile J. Kadile 21' F 6.29
16 M. Gorgelin M. Gorgelin G 0.00
22 M. Skóraś M. Skóraś F 0.00
38 M. Soares M. Soares M 0.00
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid D 0.00
6 S. Baidoo S. Baidoo 37' D 6.43
Lyon Lyon 4-2-3-1
1 D. Greif D. Greif G 7.42
16 Abner Abner D 5.70
21 R. Kluivert R. Kluivert D 6.24
20 F. Bacher F. Bacher D 6.69
13 Z. Athekame Z. Athekame D 6.86
23 T. Morton T. Morton 77' M 6.21
2 M. Bidstrup M. Bidstrup 60' M 6.11
8 C. Tolisso C. Tolisso M 6.45
10 P. Šulc P. Šulc 78' M 6.27
7 E. Nuamah E. Nuamah 71' M 6.28
17 L. Openda L. Openda 60' F 6.43
Bench
22 Clinton Mata Clinton Mata D 0.00
24 J. Duranville J. Duranville F 0.00
26 K. Boudache K. Boudache 19' F 6.46
11 Keito Nakamura Keito Nakamura 30' F 6.62
18 K. Merah K. Merah 1 ⚽ 12' M 6.93
85 N. Kamara N. Kamara D 0.00
99 N. Nartey N. Nartey 30' M 6.03
40 R. Descamps R. Descamps G 0.00
6 T. Tessmann T. Tessmann 13' M 6.62
Best on the pitch
F. Thauvin
F. Thauvin
M · Lens
8.60
2 👟
2 shots · 50 pass
F. Sotoca
F. Sotoca
M · Lens
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 21 pass
D. Greif
D. Greif
G · Lyon
7.42
· 30 pass
R. Risser
R. Risser
G · Lens
7.41
· 51 pass
I. Ganiou
I. Ganiou
D · Lens
7.04
1 shots · 69 pass
K. Antonio
K. Antonio
D · Lens
7.00
· 54 pass
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Risser G 90 7.41 — — 0 51 43% 0 — —
K. Antonio D 90 7.00 — — 0 54 50% 0 — —
I. Ganiou D 90 7.04 — — 1 69 56% 4 — —
J. Gradit D 53 6.68 — — 1 32 29% 1 1 —
M. Udol M 84 6.88 1 — 2 26 15% 2 — 1
Y. Titraoui M 54 6.76 — — 0 29 25% 1 — —
M. Cuisance M 83 6.73 — — 0 32 31% 3 — —
R. Aguilar M 90 6.76 — — 2 43 35% 5 — —
F. Sotoca M 69 8.20 1 — 4 21 18% 0 — —
F. Thauvin M 90 8.60 — 2 2 50 39% 0 — —
O. Édouard F 69 6.45 — — 2 10 8% 0 — —
A. Bulatović M 7 6.18 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
A. Haidara M 36 6.49 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
F. Ivanović F 21 6.60 — — 0 6 5% 1 — —
J. Kadile F 21 6.29 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
S. Baidoo D 37 6.43 — — 0 17 17% 2 — —
Lyon Lyon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Greif G 90 7.42 — — 0 30 27% 0 — —
Abner D 90 5.70 — — 0 84 69% 0 1 —
R. Kluivert D 90 6.24 — — 1 64 60% 2 — —
F. Bacher D 90 6.69 — — 2 58 51% 1 — —
Z. Athekame D 90 6.86 — — 0 38 31% 2 — —
T. Morton M 77 6.21 — — 2 35 30% 0 — —
M. Bidstrup M 60 6.11 — — 1 10 8% 2 — —
C. Tolisso M 90 6.45 — — 0 46 40% 1 — —
P. Šulc M 78 6.27 — — 1 21 13% 0 — —
E. Nuamah M 71 6.28 — — 0 15 10% 0 — —
L. Openda F 60 6.43 — — 1 11 10% 0 — —
K. Boudache F 19 6.46 — — 1 9 8% 0 — —
Keito Nakamura F 30 6.62 — — 2 22 16% 0 — —
K. Merah M 12 6.93 1 — 2 6 4% 0 — —
N. Nartey M 30 6.03 — — 0 17 15% 2 — —
T. Tessmann M 13 6.62 — — 0 21 20% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lens vs Lyon?
The final score was Lens 2–1 Lyon.
What did the model predict before Lens vs Lyon?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Lens win, 29% to a draw, and 32% to an Lyon win.