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Lens - Manchester City

Champions League January 20, 2027 21:00
Lens
#27 · 3 pts
vs
Manchester City
#10 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.09%
Win
Lens
31.5%
Draw
29.41%
Win
Manchester City
1.29
Expected xG
0.7

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.38%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 32%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 61%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lens a 39% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Manchester City. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lens and 0.7 for Manchester City (total 2.0), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.38% probability.

Season Stats

Lens
1W 0D 2L
Manchester City
7W 1D 5L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.9
2.3
Conceded
1.5
7.0
Shots OT
7.2
6.7
Corners
6.7
54%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
62%
33%
BTTS
54%
0%
Clean Sht
31%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Lens
0W 0D 1L · at home
Manchester City
3W 1D 2L · away
0.0
gls/g
1.5
2.0
Conceded
1.5
0%
Win %
50%
0%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
33%
0%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
100%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lens Manchester City →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.7% 9.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% —
1 17.7% 12.3% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% —
2 11.4% 8.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 4.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% — —
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Lens Lens
L Club Brugge KV 3–0
L Sporting CP 0–2
W Slavia Praha 2–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Manchester City Manchester City
W AEK Athens FC 5–1
L Paris Saint Germain 2–4
W FC Porto 0–2
L Real Madrid 1–2
L Real Madrid 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Lens Lens
Attack
45
Defence
62
Form
42
Manchester City Manchester City
Attack
65
Defence
56
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lens vs Manchester City?
The model gives Lens a 39% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 29% for an Manchester City win.
How many goals are expected in Lens vs Manchester City?
Expected goals: Lens 1.3, Manchester City 0.7 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Lens vs Manchester City?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.38%.