✓Model correct — prediction Lens
M. Soares
(ast. A. Bulatovic)
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 77% win probability (draw 13%, Nantes 8%). The final result was Lens 1–0 Nantes. In 1 previous meetings, Lens have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nantes.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
3
0.77
Actual xG
1.11
3
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
8
Corners
3
10
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
A. Sima
15'
A. Bulatovic
36'
R. Fofana
/ F. Sotoca
46'
O. Edouard
/ R. Aguilar
59'
A. Haidara
/ F. Sylla
65'
66'
Ali Youssef
/
U. Radakovic
71'
75'
Ali Youssef
W. Said
/ A. Bermont
79'
A. Sima
/ M. Soares
79'
⚽M. Soares
· ast. A. Bulatovic
79'
82'
Mostafa Mohamed
/
I. Ganago
82'
L. Leroux
/
M. Kaba
82'
Y. El Arabi
/
M. Abline
87'
D. Tabibou
/
F. Guilbert
Pre-match prediction
77.13%
Lens ←
13.93%
X
8.94%
Nantes
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lens)
77.13%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.68
0.77
-2.91
1.21
1.11
-0.1
Nantes dominated by xG (1.11 vs 0.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
20
Malang Sarr
D
Malang Sarr
D
6
Samson Baidoo
D
Samson Baidoo
D
25
Ismaelo Ganiou
D
Ismaelo Ganiou
D
14
M. Udol
M
M. Udol
M
21
Amadou Haidara
65'
M
Amadou Haidara
65'
M
5
Andrija Bulatovic
1 👟
M
19
A. Sima
79'
M
A. Sima
79'
M
22
W. Saïd
79'
F
W. Saïd
79'
F
38
Rayan Fofana
45'
F
Rayan Fofana
45'
F
11
O. Édouard
59'
F
O. Édouard
59'
F
Bench
27
Arthur Masuaku
D
Arthur Masuaku
D
7
Florian Sotoca
50'
F
Florian Sotoca
50'
F
32
Kyllian Antonio
D
Kyllian Antonio
D
4
Nidal Čelik
D
2
Ruben Aguilar
36'
D
Ruben Aguilar
36'
D
1
A. Lopes
G
3
N. Cozza
D
26
U. Radakovic
66'
D
6
Chidozie Awaziem
D
28
Ibrahima Sissoko
M
24
F. Guilbert
87'
M
8
J. Lepenant
M
21
M. Kaba
82'
M
22
Mathieu Acapandié
M
Mathieu Acapandié
M
10
M. Abline
82'
F
M. Abline
82'
F
37
I. Ganago
82'
F
Bench
2
Ali Youssef
29'
D
17
Dehmaine Tabibou
8'
M
66
L. Leroux
13'
M
31
Mostafa Mohamed
13'
F
20
R. Cabella
M
19
Y. El Arabi
13'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Lens
7.90
· 28 pass
F. Guilbert
M · Nantes
7.50
· 22 pass
Samson Baidoo
D · Lens
7.30
· 53 pass
Ismaelo Ganiou
D · Lens
7.20
· 75 pass
J. Lepenant
M · Nantes
7.20
2 shots
· 30 pass
Andrija Bulatovic
M · Lens
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 33 pass
Lens — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Malang Sarr | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Samson Baidoo | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Ismaelo Ganiou | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Udol | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Amadou Haidara | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Andrija Bulatovic | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Sima | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| W. Saïd | F | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Rayan Fofana | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| O. Édouard | F | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Florian Sotoca | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Ruben Aguilar | D | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Nantes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lopes | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| N. Cozza | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| U. Radakovic | D | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Chidozie Awaziem | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Ibrahima Sissoko | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Guilbert | M | 87 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Lepenant | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Kaba | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathieu Acapandié | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Abline | F | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ganago | F | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ali Youssef | D | 29 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Dehmaine Tabibou | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| L. Leroux | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mostafa Mohamed | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Y. El Arabi | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lens vs Nantes?
The final score was Lens 1–0 Nantes.
What did the model predict before Lens vs Nantes?
The model assigned 77% probability to a Lens win, 13% to a draw, and 8% to an Nantes win.