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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8 October 24, 2026 20:45 Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Lens
#7 · 13 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Paris FC
#6 · 14 pts
Florian Thauvin (ast. Thorgan Hazard) 63'
Thorgan Hazard (ast. Florian Thauvin) 83'
45'+2 (ast. Lassine Sinayoko) Luca Koleosho
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 36% win probability (draw 26%, Paris FC 36%). The final result was Lens 2–1 Paris FC. In 2 previous meetings, Lens have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Paris FC.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
1
0.93
Actual xG
0.43
0
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
6
Corners
1
14
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
28'
Moustapha Mbow
29'
Pierre Lees Melou
45'+2
ast. Lassine Sinayoko · Luca Koleosho⚽
45'
Emmanuel Mbemba / Luca Koleosho ↕
51'
Florian Thauvin
51'
↕ Jean-Clair Todibo / Kyllian Antonio
61'
↕ Franjo Ivanovic / Thorgan Hazard
61'
⚽Florian Thauvin · ast. Thorgan Hazard
63'
67'
Moses Simon / Adama Camara ↕
67'
Rudy Matondo / Pablo Pagis ↕
↕ Amadou Haidara / Yassine Titraoui
71'
Samson Baidoo
74'
76'
Patrick Zabi / Ilan Kebbal ↕
81'
Thibault De Smet / Rudy Matondo ↕
⚽Thorgan Hazard · ast. Florian Thauvin
83'
↕ Saud Abdulhamid / Michał Skóraś
85'
↕ Florian Sotoca / Junior Kadile
85'
Michał Skóraś
89'
90'+2
Otavio
Y. Cahuzac
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
36.37%
Lens ←
26.94%
X
36.69%
Paris
we assigned to the actual result (Lens) 36.37% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lens
2.32
0.93
-1.39
Paris
2.46
0.43
-2.03
Lens dominated by xG (0.93 vs 0.43). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40 R. Risser R. Risser G 6.38
20 J. Todibo J. Todibo 61' D 6.61
6 S. Baidoo S. Baidoo D 6.33
2 R. Aguilar R. Aguilar D 6.80
14 M. Udol M. Udol M 5.92
21 A. Haidara A. Haidara 71' M 6.70
27 M. Cuisance M. Cuisance M 6.44
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid 85' M 7.03
7 F. Sotoca F. Sotoca 85' M 6.03
10 F. Thauvin F. Thauvin 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.94
29 F. Ivanović F. Ivanović 61' F 6.23
Bench
5 A. Bulatović A. Bulatović M 0.00
28 J. Kadile J. Kadile 5' F 6.63
32 K. Antonio K. Antonio 29' D 6.09
16 M. Gorgelin M. Gorgelin G 0.00
22 M. Skóraś M. Skóraś 5' F 6.28
38 M. Soares M. Soares M 0.00
4 N. Čelik N. Čelik D 0.00
9 T. Hazard T. Hazard 1 ⚽ 1 👟 29' M 7.52
8 Y. Titraoui Y. Titraoui 19' M 6.49
Paris FC Paris FC 4-2-3-1
16 O. Nkambadio O. Nkambadio G 5.62
6 Otávio Otávio D 6.18
42 D. Coppola D. Coppola D 6.74
5 M. Mbow M. Mbow D 6.38
17 A. Camara A. Camara 67' D 6.37
33 P. Lees-Melou P. Lees-Melou M 5.92
20 M. Lopez M. Lopez M 6.69
15 L. Koleosho L. Koleosho 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.35
7 P. Pagis P. Pagis 67' M 5.84
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal 76' M 6.10
9 L. Sinayoko L. Sinayoko 1 👟 F 6.51
Bench
3 E. Mbemba E. Mbemba 45' D 6.33
8 E. Zabi E. Zabi 14' M 6.08
11 J. Krasso J. Krasso F 0.00
27 M. Simon M. Simon 23' F 6.21
18 O. Sissoko O. Sissoko F 0.00
23 R. Matondo R. Matondo 14' M 6.02
28 T. De Smet T. De Smet 9' D 6.29
25 Y. Koré Y. Koré D 0.00
Best on the pitch
F. Thauvin
F. Thauvin
M · Lens
7.94
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 49 pass
T. Hazard
T. Hazard
M · Lens
7.52
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
L. Koleosho
L. Koleosho
M · Paris
7.35
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Saud Abdulhamid
Saud Abdulhamid
M · Lens
7.03
· 34 pass
R. Aguilar
R. Aguilar
D · Lens
6.80
· 81 pass
D. Coppola
D. Coppola
D · Paris
6.74
· 74 pass
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Risser G 90 6.38 — — 0 41 39% 0 — —
J. Todibo D 61 6.61 — — 0 47 44% 2 — —
S. Baidoo D 90 6.33 — — 0 92 89% 0 1 —
R. Aguilar D 90 6.80 — — 0 81 75% 3 — —
M. Udol M 90 5.92 — — 0 33 27% 0 — —
A. Haidara M 71 6.70 — — 0 32 28% 1 — —
M. Cuisance M 90 6.44 — — 1 41 36% 2 — —
Saud Abdulhamid M 85 7.03 — — 0 34 30% 1 — —
F. Sotoca M 85 6.03 — — 3 23 16% 1 — —
F. Thauvin M 90 7.94 1 1 2 49 33% 1 1 —
F. Ivanović F 61 6.23 — — 1 19 11% 1 — —
J. Kadile F 5 6.63 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
K. Antonio D 29 6.09 — — 0 25 20% 0 — —
M. Skóraś F 5 6.28 — — 0 4 3% 0 1 —
T. Hazard M 29 7.52 1 1 1 11 7% 0 — —
Y. Titraoui M 19 6.49 — — 0 18 18% 2 — —
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Nkambadio G 90 5.62 — — 0 47 30% 0 — —
Otávio D 90 6.18 — — 0 47 43% 2 1 —
D. Coppola D 90 6.74 — — 0 74 64% 2 — —
M. Mbow D 90 6.38 — — 0 38 35% 1 1 —
A. Camara D 67 6.37 — — 0 33 26% 2 — —
P. Lees-Melou M 90 5.92 — — 1 42 36% 4 1 —
M. Lopez M 90 6.69 — — 0 72 64% 1 — —
L. Koleosho M 45 7.35 1 — 1 15 13% 1 — —
P. Pagis M 67 5.84 — — 0 15 12% 2 — —
I. Kebbal M 76 6.10 — — 2 24 18% 4 — —
L. Sinayoko F 90 6.51 — 1 0 15 11% 0 — —
E. Mbemba D 45 6.33 — — 0 14 8% 0 — —
E. Zabi M 14 6.08 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
M. Simon F 23 6.21 — — 0 6 2% 0 — —
R. Matondo M 14 6.02 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
T. De Smet D 9 6.29 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lens vs Paris FC?
The final score was Lens 2–1 Paris FC.
What did the model predict before Lens vs Paris FC?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Lens win, 26% to a draw, and 36% to an Paris FC win.