Lens - Sporting CP
Champions League
October 13, 2026 18:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.01%
Win
Lens
31.72%
Draw
36.27%
Win
Sporting CP
0.88
1.18
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.11%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
32%
2
36%
Double Chance
1X
64%
X2
68%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sporting CP a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Lens. Expected goals are 0.9 for Lens and 1.2 for Sporting CP (total 2.1), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.11% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
7W
2D
4L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
1.9
2.0
Conceded
1.2
8.0
Shots OT
5.1
9.0
Corners
4.3
63%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
85%
100%
O 2.5
77%
100%
BTTS
62%
0%
Clean Sht
23%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Lens
Sporting CP →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.7% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lens
Attack
56
Defence
57
Form
49
Sporting CP
Attack
65
Defence
84
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lens vs Sporting CP?
The model gives Lens a 32% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Sporting CP win.
How many goals are expected in Lens vs Sporting CP?
Expected goals: Lens 0.9, Sporting CP 1.2 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Lens vs Sporting CP?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.11%.