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Lens - Sunderland

Friendlies Clubs August 08, 2026 12:00
Lens
vs
Sunderland
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.42%
Win
Lens
32.16%
Draw
34.41%
Win
Sunderland
2.41
Expected xG
3.44

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.42%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sunderland a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Lens. Expected goals are 2.4 for Lens and 3.4 for Sunderland (total 5.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.42% probability.

Season Stats

Lens
2W 1D 0L
Sunderland
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
5.0
1.3
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
84%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Lens
2W 1D 0L · at home
Sunderland
1W 0D 0L · away
2.7
gls/g
5.0
1.3
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
67%
O 3.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lens Sunderland →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.3% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 1.7% 1.2%
1 0.7% 2.4% 4.1% 4.7% 4.0% 2.8%
2 0.8% 2.9% 4.9% 5.7% 4.9% 3.4%
3 0.7% 2.3% 4.0% 4.6% 3.9% 2.7%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.8% 2.4% 1.6%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8%

Recent form

Lens Lens
D Charleroi 2–2
W Boulogne 4–1
W Rouen 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
Sunderland Sunderland
W York 1–5
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Lens Lens
Attack
69
Defence
65
Form
68
Sunderland Sunderland
Attack
100
Defence
75
Form
84
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lens vs Sunderland?
The model gives Lens a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Sunderland win.
How many goals are expected in Lens vs Sunderland?
Expected goals: Lens 2.4, Sunderland 3.4 (total 5.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Lens vs Sunderland?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.42%.