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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30 April 17, 2026 20:45 Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Lens
#14 · 0 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Toulouse
#17 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Lens
S. Abdulhamid (ast. A. Saint-Maximin) 61'
A. Thomasson 67'
I. Ganiou (ast. A. Bulatovic) 90'
6' C. Casseres
13' (ast. S. Hidalgo) S. Koumbassa
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 75% win probability (draw 13%, Toulouse 11%). The final result was Lens 3–2 Toulouse. In 2 previous meetings, Lens have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Toulouse.

Match statistics
32
Total shots
3
13
Shots on target
2
3.77
Actual xG
0.41
0
Saves
10
78%
Possession
22%
14
Corners
1
21
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
6'
C. Casseres⚽
13'
ast. S. Hidalgo · S. Koumbassa⚽
16'
17'
Yann Gboho
Arthur Masuaku
45'
46'
P. Demba / S. Hidalgo ↕
↕ W. Said / A. Saint-Maximin
55'
↕ R. Fofana / O. Edouard
55'
⚽S. Abdulhamid · ast. A. Saint-Maximin
61'
64'
J. Russell-Rowe / Emersonn ↕
64'
D. Methalie / A. Donnum ↕
⚽A. Thomasson
67'
↕ F. Sotoca / F. Thauvin
72'
72'
D. Sidibe / C. Cresswell ↕
76'
M. Sauer / A. Vossah ↕
↕ A. Masuaku / S. Baidoo
85'
↕ A. Thomasson / A. Bulatovic
85'
88'
Mario Sauer
⚽I. Ganiou · ast. A. Bulatovic
90'
Pre-match prediction
75.07%
Lens ←
13.33%
X
11.61%
Toulouse
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lens) 75.07% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lens
3.06
3.77
+0.71
Toulouse
1.08
0.41
-0.67
Lens dominated by xG (3.77 vs 0.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Auxerre Auxerre 0 0
2 Angers Angers 0 0
3 Monaco Monaco 0 0
4 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 0 0
5 Lorient Lorient 0 0
6 Le Havre Le Havre 0 0
7 Le Mans Le Mans 0 0
8 Lille Lille 0 0
9 Nice Nice 0 0
10 Lyon Lyon 0 0
11 Marseille Marseille 0 0
12 Paris FC Paris FC 0 0
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0 0
14 Lens Lens 0 0
15 Rennes Rennes 0 0
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 0 0
17 Toulouse Toulouse 0 0
18 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 0 0
Lineups
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40
G 5.50
27 A. Masuaku A. Masuaku 85' D 6.30
20 Malang Sarr Malang Sarr D 7.90
25 Ismaelo Ganiou Ismaelo Ganiou 1 ⚽ D 7.20
14 M. Udol M. Udol M 8.20
28 A. Thomasson A. Thomasson 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.90
8 M. Sangaré M. Sangaré M 7.20
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid 1 ⚽ M 8.30
22 W. Saïd W. Saïd 55' F 6.70
7 Florian Sotoca Florian Sotoca 72' F 6.20
38 Rayan Fofana Rayan Fofana 55' F 6.30
Bench
21 A. Haidara A. Haidara M
9
Allan Saint-Maximin 1 👟 35' F 7.20
5
Andrija Bulatovic 1 👟 10' M 6.90
19 A. Sima A. Sima F
10 F. Thauvin F. Thauvin 18' F 7.00
11 O. Édouard O. Édouard 35' F 6.30
2 Ruben Aguilar Ruben Aguilar D
6 Samson Baidoo Samson Baidoo 10' D 6.30
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 Guillaume Restes Guillaume Restes G 7.70
2 Rasmus Nicolaisen Rasmus Nicolaisen D 6.30
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell 72' D 6.70
35 Seny Koumbassa Seny Koumbassa 1 ⚽ D 6.70
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi M 6.70
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah 76' M 6.30
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 1 ⚽ M 7.60
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum 64' M 6.50
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 1 👟 45' F 6.90
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho 17' F 3.00
20 Emersonn Emersonn 64' F 6.00
Bench
19 Djibril Sidibé Djibril Sidibé 18' D 6.30
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie 26' D 5.90
13 Jacen Russell Rowe Jacen Russell Rowe 26' F 6.50
7 Julian Vignolo Julian Vignolo F
77
Mario Sauer 14' M 6.20
18 P. Diop P. Diop 45' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
Saud Abdulhamid
Saud Abdulhamid
M · Lens
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 59 pass
M. Udol
M. Udol
M · Lens
8.20
5 shots · 51 pass
Malang Sarr
Malang Sarr
D · Lens
7.90
3 shots · 85 pass
A. Thomasson
A. Thomasson
M · Lens
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 32 pass
Guillaume Restes
Guillaume Restes
G · Toulouse
7.70
· 38 pass
C. Cásseres
C. Cásseres
M · Toulouse
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.50 — — — 13 12% — — —
A. Masuaku D 85 6.30 — — 1 85 80% 2 1 —
Malang Sarr D 90 7.90 — — 3 85 82% 3 — —
Ismaelo Ganiou D 90 7.20 1 — 4 81 71% 3 — —
M. Udol M 90 8.20 — — 5 51 43% 2 — —
A. Thomasson M 85 7.90 1 — 5 32 27% 3 — —
M. Sangaré M 90 7.20 — — 2 71 64% 4 — —
Saud Abdulhamid M 90 8.30 1 — 1 59 51% 1 — —
W. Saïd F 55 6.70 — — 5 27 22% 2 — —
Florian Sotoca F 72 6.20 — — 1 39 31% — — —
Rayan Fofana F 55 6.30 — — 1 7 6% 1 — —
Allan Saint-Maximin F 35 7.20 — 1 2 18 17% — — —
Andrija Bulatovic M 10 6.90 — 1 — 4 4% — — —
F. Thauvin F 18 7.00 — — — 15 15% — — —
O. Édouard F 35 6.30 — — 2 2 1% — — —
Samson Baidoo D 10 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Guillaume Restes G 90 7.70 — — — 38 16% — — —
Rasmus Nicolaisen D 90 6.30 — — — 14 9% — — —
C. Cresswell D 72 6.70 — — — 10 8% — — —
Seny Koumbassa D 90 6.70 1 — 1 16 9% 1 — —
Waren Kamanzi M 90 6.70 — — — 10 7% 2 — —
A. Vossah M 76 6.30 — — — 19 14% 1 — —
C. Cásseres M 90 7.60 1 — 1 17 13% 5 — —
A. Dønnum M 64 6.50 — — — 14 10% 1 — —
S. Hidalgo F 45 6.90 — 1 — 8 6% 1 — —
Y. Gboho F 17 3.00 — — — 3 1% 1 — 1
Emersonn F 64 6.00 — — — 9 6% — — —
Djibril Sidibé D 18 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
D. Methalie D 26 5.90 — — — 3 1% 1 — —
Jacen Russell Rowe F 26 6.50 — — — 6 3% — — —
Mario Sauer M 14 6.20 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
P. Diop M 45 6.70 — — 1 7 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lens vs Toulouse?
The final score was Lens 3–2 Toulouse.
What did the model predict before Lens vs Toulouse?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Lens win, 13% to a draw, and 11% to an Toulouse win.