Skip to main content
← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30 April 17, 2026 20:45 Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Lens
#2 · 70 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Toulouse
#10 · 44 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Lens
S. Abdulhamid (ast. A. Saint-Maximin) 61'
A. Thomasson 67'
I. Ganiou (ast. A. Bulatovic) 90'
6' C. Casseres
13' (ast. S. Hidalgo) S. Koumbassa
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 75% win probability (draw 13%, Toulouse 11%). The final result was Lens 3–2 Toulouse. In 2 previous meetings, Lens have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Toulouse.

Match statistics
32
Total shots
3
13
Shots on target
2
3.77
Actual xG
0.41
0
Saves
10
78%
Possession
22%
14
Corners
1
21
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
6'
C. Casseres⚽
13'
ast. S. Hidalgo · S. Koumbassa⚽
16'
17'
Yann Gboho
Arthur Masuaku
45'
46'
P. Demba / S. Hidalgo ↕
↕ W. Said / A. Saint-Maximin
55'
↕ R. Fofana / O. Edouard
55'
⚽S. Abdulhamid · ast. A. Saint-Maximin
61'
64'
J. Russell-Rowe / Emersonn ↕
64'
D. Methalie / A. Donnum ↕
⚽A. Thomasson
67'
↕ F. Sotoca / F. Thauvin
72'
72'
D. Sidibe / C. Cresswell ↕
76'
M. Sauer / A. Vossah ↕
↕ A. Masuaku / S. Baidoo
85'
↕ A. Thomasson / A. Bulatovic
85'
88'
Mario Sauer
⚽I. Ganiou · ast. A. Bulatovic
90'
Pre-match prediction
75.07%
Lens ←
13.33%
X
11.61%
Toulouse
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lens) 75.07% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lens
3.06
3.77
+0.71
Toulouse
1.08
0.41
-0.67
Lens dominated by xG (3.77 vs 0.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 34 76
2 Lens Lens 34 70
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 34 61
4 Lyon Lyon 34 60
5 Marseille Marseille 34 59
6 Rennes Rennes 34 59
7 Monaco Monaco 34 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 34 53
9 Lorient Lorient 34 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 34 44
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 34 39
13 Angers Angers 34 36
14 Le Havre Le Havre 34 35
15 Auxerre Auxerre 34 34
16 Nice Nice 34 32
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 34 17
Lineups
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40
G 5.50
27 Arthur Masuaku Arthur Masuaku 85' D 6.30
20 Malang Sarr Malang Sarr D 7.90
25 Ismaelo Ganiou Ismaelo Ganiou 1 ⚽ D 7.20
14 M. Udol M. Udol M 8.20
28 A. Thomasson A. Thomasson 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.90
8 M. Sangaré M. Sangaré M 7.20
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid 1 ⚽ M 8.30
22 W. Saïd W. Saïd 55' F 6.70
7 Florian Sotoca Florian Sotoca 72' F 6.20
38 Rayan Fofana Rayan Fofana 55' F 6.30
Bench
9 Allan Saint-Maximin Allan Saint-Maximin 1 👟 35' F 7.20
21 Amadou Haidara Amadou Haidara M
5
Andrija Bulatovic 1 👟 10' M 6.90
19 A. Sima A. Sima F
10 F. Thauvin F. Thauvin 18' F 7.00
11 O. Édouard O. Édouard 35' F 6.30
2 Ruben Aguilar Ruben Aguilar D
6 Samson Baidoo Samson Baidoo 10' D 6.30
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 Guillaume Restes Guillaume Restes G 7.70
2 Rasmus Nicolaisen Rasmus Nicolaisen D 6.30
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell 72' D 6.70
35 Seny Koumbassa Seny Koumbassa 1 ⚽ D 6.70
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi M 6.70
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah 76' M 6.30
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 1 ⚽ M 7.60
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum 64' M 6.50
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 1 👟 45' F 6.90
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho 17' F 3.00
20 Emersonn Emersonn 64' F 6.00
Bench
19 Djibril Sidibé Djibril Sidibé 18' D 6.30
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie 26' D 5.90
13 Jacen Russell Rowe Jacen Russell Rowe 26' F 6.50
7 Julian Vignolo Julian Vignolo F
77
Mario Sauer 14' M 6.20
18 P. Diop P. Diop 45' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
Saud Abdulhamid
Saud Abdulhamid
M · Lens
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 59 pass
M. Udol
M. Udol
M · Lens
8.20
5 shots · 51 pass
Malang Sarr
Malang Sarr
D · Lens
7.90
3 shots · 85 pass
A. Thomasson
A. Thomasson
M · Lens
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 32 pass
Guillaume Restes
Guillaume Restes
G · Toulouse
7.70
· 38 pass
C. Cásseres
C. Cásseres
M · Toulouse
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.50 — — — 13 12% — — —
Arthur Masuaku D 85 6.30 — — 1 85 80% 2 1 —
Malang Sarr D 90 7.90 — — 3 85 82% 3 — —
Ismaelo Ganiou D 90 7.20 1 — 4 81 71% 3 — —
M. Udol M 90 8.20 — — 5 51 43% 2 — —
A. Thomasson M 85 7.90 1 — 5 32 27% 3 — —
M. Sangaré M 90 7.20 — — 2 71 64% 4 — —
Saud Abdulhamid M 90 8.30 1 — 1 59 51% 1 — —
W. Saïd F 55 6.70 — — 5 27 22% 2 — —
Florian Sotoca F 72 6.20 — — 1 39 31% — — —
Rayan Fofana F 55 6.30 — — 1 7 6% 1 — —
Allan Saint-Maximin F 35 7.20 — 1 2 18 17% — — —
Andrija Bulatovic M 10 6.90 — 1 — 4 4% — — —
F. Thauvin F 18 7.00 — — — 15 15% — — —
O. Édouard F 35 6.30 — — 2 2 1% — — —
Samson Baidoo D 10 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Guillaume Restes G 90 7.70 — — — 38 16% — — —
Rasmus Nicolaisen D 90 6.30 — — — 14 9% — — —
C. Cresswell D 72 6.70 — — — 10 8% — — —
Seny Koumbassa D 90 6.70 1 — 1 16 9% 1 — —
Waren Kamanzi M 90 6.70 — — — 10 7% 2 — —
A. Vossah M 76 6.30 — — — 19 14% 1 — —
C. Cásseres M 90 7.60 1 — 1 17 13% 5 — —
A. Dønnum M 64 6.50 — — — 14 10% 1 — —
S. Hidalgo F 45 6.90 — 1 — 8 6% 1 — —
Y. Gboho F 17 3.00 — — — 3 1% 1 — 1
Emersonn F 64 6.00 — — — 9 6% — — —
Djibril Sidibé D 18 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
D. Methalie D 26 5.90 — — — 3 1% 1 — —
Jacen Russell Rowe F 26 6.50 — — — 6 3% — — —
Mario Sauer M 14 6.20 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
P. Diop M 45 6.70 — — 1 7 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lens vs Toulouse?
The final score was Lens 3–2 Toulouse.
What did the model predict before Lens vs Toulouse?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Lens win, 13% to a draw, and 11% to an Toulouse win.