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Model correct — prediction Lens
F. Thauvin 9' (pen.)
A. Saint-Maximin (ast. F. Thauvin) 18'
M. Udol (ast. S. Abdulhamid) 35'
A. Thomasson (ast. S. Abdulhamid) 74'
21' (ast. Emersonn) S. Hidalgo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 73% win probability (draw 14%, Toulouse 12%). The final result was Lens 4–1 Toulouse. In 2 previous meetings, Lens have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Toulouse.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
6
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
0
24
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
P. Demba
F. Thauvin (pen.)
9'
A. Saint-Maximin · ast. F. Thauvin
18'
21'
ast. Emersonn · S. Hidalgo
M. Udol · ast. S. Abdulhamid
35'
58'
C. Casseres
A. Saint-Maximin / W. Said
64'
S. Baidoo / A. Masuaku
64'
64'
J. Russell-Rowe / D. Sidibe
64'
A. Vossah / P. Demba
67'
C. Martinez
O. Edouard / A. Sima
72'
A. Thomasson · ast. S. Abdulhamid
74'
76'
I. Azizi / S. Hidalgo
76'
W. Kamanzi / S. Koumbassa
S. Abdulhamid / R. Aguilar
78'
F. Thauvin / A. Haidara
79'
86'
M. Sauer / C. Casseres
Pre-match prediction
73.23%
Lens ←
14.61%
X
12.16%
Toulouse
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lens) 73.23% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lens
3.88
Toulouse
1.10
Lineups
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40
G 6.20
20 Malang Sarr Malang Sarr D 7.30
6 Samson Baidoo Samson Baidoo 64' D 5.90
25 Ismaelo Ganiou Ismaelo Ganiou D 7.90
14 M. Udol M. Udol 1 ⚽ M 7.50
28 A. Thomasson A. Thomasson 1 ⚽ M 7.60
8 M. Sangaré M. Sangaré M 6.90
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid 2 👟 78' M 9.20
9 Allan Saint-Maximin Allan Saint-Maximin 1 ⚽ 64' F 8.00
10 F. Thauvin F. Thauvin 1 ⚽ 1 👟 79' F 9.00
11 O. Édouard O. Édouard 72' F 6.20
Bench
21 Amadou Haidara Amadou Haidara 11' M 6.60
5
Andrija Bulatovic M
27 Arthur Masuaku Arthur Masuaku 26' D 7.20
19 A. Sima A. Sima 18' F 6.70
7 Florian Sotoca Florian Sotoca F
38 Rayan Fofana Rayan Fofana F
2 Ruben Aguilar Ruben Aguilar 12' D 6.30
22 W. Saïd W. Saïd 26' F 6.60
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
16
G 6.70
2 Rasmus Nicolaisen Rasmus Nicolaisen D 6.50
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell D 5.90
35 Seny Koumbassa Seny Koumbassa 76' D 5.60
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie M 6.30
18 P. Diop P. Diop 64' M 6.20
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 86' M 6.30
19 Djibril Sidibé Djibril Sidibé 64' M 6.70
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.30
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum F 6.60
20 Emersonn Emersonn 1 👟 F 6.30
Bench
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah 26' M 6.00
1 Guillaume Restes Guillaume Restes G
13 Jacen Russell Rowe Jacen Russell Rowe 26' F 6.70
7 Julian Vignolo Julian Vignolo F
77
Mario Sauer 8' M 6.70
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi 14' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
Saud Abdulhamid
Saud Abdulhamid
M · Lens
9.20
2 👟
· 36 pass
F. Thauvin
F. Thauvin
F · Lens
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 39 pass
Allan Saint-Maximin
Allan Saint-Maximin
F · Lens
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
Ismaelo Ganiou
Ismaelo Ganiou
D · Lens
7.90
1 shots · 60 pass
A. Thomasson
A. Thomasson
M · Lens
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 51 pass
M. Udol
M. Udol
M · Lens
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 32 23%
Malang Sarr D 90 7.30 77 71% 4
Samson Baidoo D 64 5.90 65 57%
Ismaelo Ganiou D 90 7.90 1 60 50% 3
M. Udol M 90 7.50 1 1 44 37% 5
A. Thomasson M 90 7.60 1 1 51 51% 1
M. Sangaré M 90 6.90 2 50 41% 2
Saud Abdulhamid M 78 9.20 2 36 27% 3
Allan Saint-Maximin F 64 8.00 1 3 24 19%
F. Thauvin F 79 9.00 1 1 2 39 33% 2
O. Édouard F 72 6.20 4 14 12% 2
Amadou Haidara M 11 6.60 6 5%
Arthur Masuaku D 26 7.20 18 14% 2
A. Sima F 18 6.70 1 7 5%
Ruben Aguilar D 12 6.30 7 6%
W. Saïd F 26 6.60 15 13%
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 32 23%
Rasmus Nicolaisen D 90 6.50 1 50 41% 3
C. Cresswell D 90 5.90 55 50%
Seny Koumbassa D 76 5.60 34 29% 1
D. Methalie M 90 6.30 11 11%
P. Diop M 64 6.20 24 21% 4 1
C. Cásseres M 86 6.30 36 25% 4 1
Djibril Sidibé M 64 6.70 18 15%
S. Hidalgo F 76 7.30 1 2 11 7% 2
A. Dønnum F 90 6.60 1 23 16% 1
Emersonn F 90 6.30 1 1 15 10% 2
A. Vossah M 26 6.00 7 5%
Jacen Russell Rowe F 26 6.70 6 5% 1
Mario Sauer M 8 6.70 1 1%
Waren Kamanzi D 14 6.90 6 3% 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lens vs Toulouse?
The final score was Lens 4–1 Toulouse.
What did the model predict before Lens vs Toulouse?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Lens win, 14% to a draw, and 12% to an Toulouse win.