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✓Model correct — prediction Lens
F. Thauvin 9' (pen.)
A. Saint-Maximin (ast. F. Thauvin) 18'
M. Udol (ast. S. Abdulhamid) 35'
A. Thomasson (ast. S. Abdulhamid) 74'
21' (ast. Emersonn) S. Hidalgo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 73% win probability (draw 14%, Toulouse 12%). The final result was Lens 4–1 Toulouse. In 2 previous meetings, Lens have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Toulouse.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
6
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
0
24
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
P. Demba
⚽F. Thauvin (pen.)
9'
⚽A. Saint-Maximin · ast. F. Thauvin
18'
21'
ast. Emersonn · S. Hidalgo⚽
⚽M. Udol · ast. S. Abdulhamid
35'
58'
C. Casseres
↕ A. Saint-Maximin / W. Said
64'
↕ S. Baidoo / A. Masuaku
64'
64'
J. Russell-Rowe / D. Sidibe ↕
64'
A. Vossah / P. Demba ↕
67'
C. Martinez
↕ O. Edouard / A. Sima
72'
⚽A. Thomasson · ast. S. Abdulhamid
74'
76'
I. Azizi / S. Hidalgo ↕
76'
W. Kamanzi / S. Koumbassa ↕
↕ S. Abdulhamid / R. Aguilar
78'
↕ F. Thauvin / A. Haidara
79'
86'
M. Sauer / C. Casseres ↕
Pre-match prediction
73.23%
Lens ←
14.61%
X
12.16%
Toulouse
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lens) 73.23% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lens
3.88
—
—
Toulouse
1.10
—
—
Lineups
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40
G 6.20
20 M. Sarr M. Sarr D 7.30
6 Samson Baidoo Samson Baidoo 64' D 5.90
25 I. Ganiou I. Ganiou D 7.90
14 M. Udol M. Udol 1 ⚽ M 7.50
28 A. Thomasson A. Thomasson 1 ⚽ M 7.60
8 M. Sangaré M. Sangaré M 6.90
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid 2 👟 78' M 9.20
9 A. Saint-Maximin A. Saint-Maximin 1 ⚽ 64' F 8.00
10 F. Thauvin F. Thauvin 1 ⚽ 1 👟 79' F 9.00
11 O. Édouard O. Édouard 72' F 6.20
Bench
5 A. Bulatović A. Bulatović M
21 A. Haidara A. Haidara 11' M 6.60
27
A. Masuaku 26' D 7.20
19 A. Sima A. Sima 18' F 6.70
7 F. Sotoca F. Sotoca F
2 R. Aguilar R. Aguilar 12' D 6.30
38 R. Fofana R. Fofana F
22 W. Saïd W. Saïd 26' F 6.60
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
16
G 6.70
2 R. Nicolaisen R. Nicolaisen D 6.50
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell D 5.90
35 S. Koumbassa S. Koumbassa 76' D 5.60
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie M 6.30
18 P. Diop P. Diop 64' M 6.20
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 86' M 6.30
19 D. Sidibé D. Sidibé 64' M 6.70
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.30
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum F 6.60
20 Emersonn Emersonn 1 👟 F 6.30
Bench
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah 26' M 6.00
1 G. Restes G. Restes G
13 Jacen Russell Rowe Jacen Russell Rowe 26' F 6.70
7 Julián Vignolo Julián Vignolo F
77 M. Sauer M. Sauer 8' M 6.70
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi 14' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
Saud Abdulhamid
Saud Abdulhamid
M · Lens
9.20
2 👟
· 36 pass
F. Thauvin
F. Thauvin
F · Lens
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 39 pass
A. Saint-Maximin
A. Saint-Maximin
F · Lens
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
I. Ganiou
I. Ganiou
D · Lens
7.90
1 shots · 60 pass
A. Thomasson
A. Thomasson
M · Lens
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 51 pass
M. Udol
M. Udol
M · Lens
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 32 23% — — —
M. Sarr D 90 7.30 — — — 77 71% 4 — —
Samson Baidoo D 64 5.90 — — — 65 57% — — —
I. Ganiou D 90 7.90 — — 1 60 50% 3 — —
M. Udol M 90 7.50 1 — 1 44 37% 5 — —
A. Thomasson M 90 7.60 1 — 1 51 51% 1 — —
M. Sangaré M 90 6.90 — — 2 50 41% 2 — —
Saud Abdulhamid M 78 9.20 — 2 — 36 27% 3 — —
A. Saint-Maximin F 64 8.00 1 — 3 24 19% — — —
F. Thauvin F 79 9.00 1 1 2 39 33% 2 — —
O. Édouard F 72 6.20 — — 4 14 12% 2 — —
A. Haidara M 11 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
A. Masuaku D 26 7.20 — — — 18 14% 2 — —
A. Sima F 18 6.70 — — 1 7 5% — — —
R. Aguilar D 12 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
W. Saïd F 26 6.60 — — — 15 13% — — —
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 32 23% — — —
R. Nicolaisen D 90 6.50 — — 1 50 41% 3 — —
C. Cresswell D 90 5.90 — — — 55 50% — — —
S. Koumbassa D 76 5.60 — — — 34 29% 1 — —
D. Methalie M 90 6.30 — — — 11 11% — — —
P. Diop M 64 6.20 — — — 24 21% 4 1 —
C. Cásseres M 86 6.30 — — — 36 25% 4 1 —
D. Sidibé M 64 6.70 — — — 18 15% — — —
S. Hidalgo F 76 7.30 1 — 2 11 7% 2 — —
A. Dønnum F 90 6.60 — — 1 23 16% 1 — —
Emersonn F 90 6.30 — 1 1 15 10% 2 — —
A. Vossah M 26 6.00 — — — 7 5% — — —
Jacen Russell Rowe F 26 6.70 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
M. Sauer M 8 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Waren Kamanzi D 14 6.90 — — — 6 3% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lens vs Toulouse?
The final score was Lens 4–1 Toulouse.
What did the model predict before Lens vs Toulouse?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Lens win, 14% to a draw, and 12% to an Toulouse win.