Lentigione - Castellanzese
Serie D - Girone D
September 13, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.98%
Win
Lentigione
31.65%
Draw
36.38%
Win
Castellanzese
1.39
4.5
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.93%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
32%
2
36%
Double Chance
1X
64%
X2
68%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Castellanzese a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Lentigione. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lentigione and 4.5 for Castellanzese (total 5.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.93% probability.
Season Stats
9W
4D
2L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
3.0
1.1
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
100%
67%
BTTS
100%
27%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone D. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Lentigione
Castellanzese →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| 4 | — | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Recent form
W
3–1
Playing profile
Lentigione
Attack
27
Defence
37
Form
34
Castellanzese
Attack
75
Defence
75
Form
78
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Castellanzese
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Pistoiese
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Varesina
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Lentigione
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Pro Patria
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
USD Casatese
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Correggese
|
1 | 1 |
| 8 |
Città di Varese
|
1 | 1 |
| 9 |
Sant'Angelo
|
1 | 1 |
| 10 |
Coriano
|
1 | 1 |
| 11 |
Pavia
|
1 | 1 |
| 12 |
Crema
|
1 | 1 |
| 13 |
Pro Sesto
|
1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Cittadella Vis Modena
|
1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Arconatese
|
1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Oltrepò
|
1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Pontedera
|
1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Solbiatese
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lentigione vs Castellanzese?
The model gives Lentigione a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Castellanzese win.
How many goals are expected in Lentigione vs Castellanzese?
Expected goals: Lentigione 1.4, Castellanzese 4.5 (total 5.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Lentigione vs Castellanzese?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.93%.