Liga MX
· Clausura - 13
April 05, 2026 03:06
D. Cambindo
(ast. I. Moreno)
13'
D. Arcila
(ast. I. Diaz)
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leon a 44% win probability (draw 26%, Atlas 28%). The final result was Leon 2–0 Atlas. In 2 previous meetings, Leon have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Atlas.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
3
1.64
Actual xG
0.37
3
Saves
4
70%
Possession
30%
10
Corners
3
11
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Fernando Beltrán
5'
8'
Rodrigo Schlegel
⚽D. Cambindo
· ast. I. Moreno
13'
Iván Moreno
15'
27'
Jorge Rodríguez
39'
Jorge Rodríguez
I. Moreno
/ B. Colula
46'
57'
Gustavo Ferrareis
/
G. Aguirre
57'
E. Zaldivar
/
A. Gonzalez
F. Beltran Cruz
/ D. Arcila
62'
66'
A. Rodriguez
/
E. Aguirre
N. Vallejo
/ I. Diaz
67'
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
/ E. Rodriguez
67'
72'
L. Gamboa
/
S. Hernandez
72'
V. H. Rios De Alba
/
A. Rocha
R. Echeverria
/ J. Cortizo
83'
⚽D. Arcila
· ast. I. Diaz
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.58%
Leon ←
26.47%
X
28.95%
Atlas
we assigned to the actual result (Leon)
44.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
1.64
+0.17
1.20
0.37
-0.83
Leon dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
G
26
S. Reyes
D
S. Reyes
D
21
S. Barreiro
D
S. Barreiro
D
2
V. Gauthier
D
7
I. Moreno
1 👟
45'
D
I. Moreno
1 👟
45'
D
6
F. Beltran Cruz
29
M
20
Rodrigo Echeverría
83'
M
Rodrigo Echeverría
83'
M
22
N. Vallejo
67'
F
N. Vallejo
67'
F
27
D. Cambindo
1 ⚽
F
D. Cambindo
1 ⚽
F
8
J. Domínguez
67'
F
J. Domínguez
67'
F
Bench
4
B. Colula
45'
D
B. Colula
45'
D
13
Daniel Arcila
1 ⚽
28'
M
Daniel Arcila
1 ⚽
28'
M
11
I. Díaz
1 👟
23'
F
I. Díaz
1 👟
23'
F
99
M. Rodríguez
23'
M
M. Rodríguez
23'
M
12
G
21
R. Schlegel
D
R. Schlegel
D
28
M. Capasso
D
M. Capasso
D
13
G. Aguirre
57'
D
G. Aguirre
57'
D
15
Paulo Ramírez
M
Paulo Ramírez
M
199
S. Hernández
72'
M
S. Hernández
72'
M
25
J. Rodríguez
39'
M
J. Rodríguez
39'
M
26
A. Rocha
72'
M
A. Rocha
72'
M
11
D. González
M
D. González
M
58
A. González
57'
F
A. González
57'
F
19
E. Aguirre
66'
F
E. Aguirre
66'
F
Bench
6
É. Zaldívar
33'
M
É. Zaldívar
33'
M
3
Gustavo Ferrareis
33'
F
Gustavo Ferrareis
33'
F
251
L. Gamboa
18'
F
L. Gamboa
18'
F
27
V. RÃos
18'
M
V. RÃos
18'
M
Best on the pitch
Daniel Arcila
M · Leon
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
D. Cambindo
F · Leon
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
G · Leon
7.60
· 49 pass
V. Gauthier
D · Leon
7.60
· 69 pass
S. Barreiro
D · Leon
7.30
1 shots
· 79 pass
I. Moreno
D · Leon
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| S. Reyes | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Barreiro | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 67% | — | — | — |
| V. Gauthier | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Beltran Cruz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 68% | 2 | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Echeverría | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Vallejo | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D. Cambindo | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Domínguez | F | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| B. Colula | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Arcila | M | 28 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Díaz | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Rodríguez | M | 23 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
Atlas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| R. Schlegel | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Capasso | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Aguirre | D | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Ramírez | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Hernández | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 39 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | 1 |
| A. Rocha | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. González | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. González | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Aguirre | F | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
| É. Zaldívar | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Ferrareis | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Gamboa | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| V. RÃos | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leon vs Atlas?
The final score was Leon 2–0 Atlas.
What did the model predict before Leon vs Atlas?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Leon win, 26% to a draw, and 28% to an Atlas win.