Liga MX
· Clausura - 13
April 05, 2026 03:06
D. Cambindo
(ast. I. Moreno)
13'
D. Arcila
(ast. I. Diaz)
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leon a 44% win probability (draw 26%, Atlas 28%). The final result was Leon 2–0 Atlas. In 2 previous meetings, Leon have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Atlas.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
3
1.64
Actual xG
0.37
3
Saves
4
70%
Possession
30%
10
Corners
3
11
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Fernando Beltrán
5'
8'
Rodrigo Schlegel
⚽D. Cambindo
· ast. I. Moreno
13'
Iván Moreno
15'
27'
Jorge Rodríguez
39'
Jorge Rodríguez
I. Moreno
/ B. Colula
46'
57'
Gustavo Ferrareis
/
G. Aguirre
57'
E. Zaldivar
/
A. Gonzalez
F. Beltran Cruz
/ D. Arcila
62'
66'
A. Rodriguez
/
E. Aguirre
N. Vallejo
/ I. Diaz
67'
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
/ E. Rodriguez
67'
72'
L. Gamboa
/
S. Hernandez
72'
V. H. Rios De Alba
/
A. Rocha
R. Echeverria
/ J. Cortizo
83'
⚽D. Arcila
· ast. I. Diaz
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.58%
Leon ←
26.47%
X
28.95%
Atlas
we assigned to the actual result (Leon)
44.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
1.64
+0.17
1.20
0.37
-0.83
Leon dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
G
26
Salvador Reyes
D
Salvador Reyes
D
21
S. Barreiro
D
S. Barreiro
D
2
V. Gauthier
D
7
Iván Moreno
1 👟
45'
D
Iván Moreno
1 👟
45'
D
6
F. Beltran Cruz
29
M
20
R. Echeverría
83'
M
R. Echeverría
83'
M
22
N. Vallejo
67'
F
N. Vallejo
67'
F
27
D. Cambindo
1 ⚽
F
D. Cambindo
1 ⚽
F
8
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
67'
F
Bench
4
Bryan Colula
45'
D
Bryan Colula
45'
D
13
D. Arcila
1 ⚽
28'
M
D. Arcila
1 ⚽
28'
M
99
Emilio Rodriguez
23'
M
Emilio Rodriguez
23'
M
11
I. Díaz
1 👟
23'
F
I. Díaz
1 👟
23'
F
12
G
21
Rodrigo Schlegel
D
Rodrigo Schlegel
D
28
Manuel Capasso
D
Manuel Capasso
D
13
Gaddi Aguirre
57'
D
Gaddi Aguirre
57'
D
15
Paulo Ramírez
M
Paulo Ramírez
M
199
Sergio Hernandez
72'
M
Sergio Hernandez
72'
M
25
Jorge Rodríguez
39'
M
Jorge Rodríguez
39'
M
26
A. Rocha
72'
M
A. Rocha
72'
M
11
Diego González
M
Diego González
M
58
A. González
57'
F
A. González
57'
F
19
Eduardo Aguirre
66'
F
Eduardo Aguirre
66'
F
Bench
6
É. Zaldívar
33'
M
É. Zaldívar
33'
M
3
Gustavo Ferrareis
33'
F
Gustavo Ferrareis
33'
F
251
Luis Gamboa
18'
F
Luis Gamboa
18'
F
27
Victor Rios
18'
M
Victor Rios
18'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Arcila
M · Leon
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
D. Cambindo
F · Leon
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
G · Leon
7.60
· 49 pass
V. Gauthier
D · Leon
7.60
· 69 pass
S. Barreiro
D · Leon
7.30
1 shots
· 79 pass
Iván Moreno
D · Leon
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| Salvador Reyes | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Barreiro | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 67% | — | — | — |
| V. Gauthier | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | 3 | — | — |
| Iván Moreno | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Beltran Cruz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 68% | 2 | — | — | |
| R. Echeverría | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Vallejo | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D. Cambindo | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. P. Dominguez Chonteco | F | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Colula | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D. Arcila | M | 28 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Emilio Rodriguez | M | 23 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Díaz | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Atlas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Schlegel | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Manuel Capasso | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Gaddi Aguirre | D | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Ramírez | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Hernandez | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Rodríguez | M | 39 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | 1 |
| A. Rocha | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Diego González | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. González | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Eduardo Aguirre | F | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
| É. Zaldívar | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Ferrareis | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luis Gamboa | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Victor Rios | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leon vs Atlas?
The final score was Leon 2–0 Atlas.
What did the model predict before Leon vs Atlas?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Leon win, 26% to a draw, and 28% to an Atlas win.