Liga MX
· Apertura - 1
July 18, 2026 03:00
D. Cambindo
27'
J. Cortizo
(ast. A. Alvarado)
77'
2'
Duk
50'
(ast. Gustavo Ferrareis)
A. Gonzalez
(pen.)
73'
A. Rocha
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leon a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Atlas 32%). The final result was Leon 2–3 Atlas. In 2 previous meetings, Leon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atlas.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
7
1.23
Actual xG
1.72
4
Saves
6
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
2
27
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
2'
Duk⚽
⚽D. Cambindo
27'
D. Cambindo
42'
46'
M. Valenzuela
/
J. Rodriguez
50'
ast. Gustavo Ferrareis ·
A. Gonzalez⚽
S. Santos
/ J. Cortizo
55'
I. Diaz
/ A. Alvarado
56'
D. Arcila
/ E. Guerra
56'
58'
L. Esteves
/
A. Gonzalez
64'
V. H. Rios De Alba
/
E. Zaldivar
73'
(pen.)
A. Rocha⚽
R. Echeverria
73'
R. Echeverria
/ L. Valadez
74'
⚽J. Cortizo
· ast. A. Alvarado
77'
I. Moreno
/ F. Beltran Cruz
82'
84'
M. Capasso
85'
A. Rocha
89'
J. Lozano
/
Duk
A. Alvarado
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
35.18%
Leon
32.52%
X
32.3%
Atlas ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atlas)
32.3%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
1.23
-0.43
0.67
1.72
+1.05
Atlas dominated by xG (1.72 vs 1.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Ó. García
G
Ó. García
G
26
S. Reyes
D
S. Reyes
D
5
S. Vegas
D
S. Vegas
D
3
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
7
I. Moreno
82'
D
I. Moreno
82'
D
29
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
11
I. Díaz
55'
M
I. Díaz
55'
M
13
D. Arcila
56'
M
D. Arcila
56'
M
20
R. Echeverría
74'
M
R. Echeverría
74'
M
22
S. Santos
55'
M
S. Santos
55'
M
27
D. Cambindo
1 ⚽
42'
F
D. Cambindo
1 ⚽
42'
F
Bench
33
A. Villegas
D
A. Villegas
D
4
B. Colula
D
B. Colula
D
185
Christopher Mora
D
Christopher Mora
D
18
Edgar Guerra
34'
M
Edgar Guerra
34'
M
6
F. Beltrán
8'
M
F. Beltrán
8'
M
19
J. Alvarado
1 👟
35'
F
J. Alvarado
1 👟
35'
F
16
J. Cortizo
1 ⚽
35'
M
J. Cortizo
1 ⚽
35'
M
1
Jordan García
G
Jordan García
G
35
Luis Valadez
16'
M
Luis Valadez
16'
M
25
P. Bellón
D
P. Bellón
D
22
A. Sánchez
G
A. Sánchez
G
5
J. Rodríguez
45'
D
J. Rodríguez
45'
D
21
R. Schlegel
D
R. Schlegel
D
28
M. Capasso
D
M. Capasso
D
2
Gustavo Ferrareis
1 👟
D
Gustavo Ferrareis
1 👟
D
6
É. Zaldívar
64'
M
É. Zaldívar
64'
M
26
A. Rocha
1 ⚽
M
A. Rocha
1 ⚽
M
23
S. Hernández
M
S. Hernández
M
58
A. González
1 ⚽
57'
M
A. González
1 ⚽
57'
M
11
Duk
1 ⚽
89'
M
Duk
1 ⚽
89'
M
8
R. Mmaee
F
R. Mmaee
F
Bench
4
A. Mora
D
A. Mora
D
13
G. Aguirre
D
G. Aguirre
D
192
Jesús Serrato
M
Jesús Serrato
M
17
J. Lozano
13'
D
J. Lozano
13'
D
203
J. Martín
F
J. Martín
F
10
Luís Esteves
33'
M
Luís Esteves
33'
M
16
M. Valenzuela
45'
D
M. Valenzuela
45'
D
15
Paulo Ramírez
D
Paulo Ramírez
D
27
V. RÃos
26'
M
V. RÃos
26'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Cortizo
M · Leon
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Duk
M · Atlas
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
A. González
M · Atlas
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
A. Rocha
M · Atlas
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 57 pass
S. Vegas
D · Leon
7.20
· 39 pass
M. Valenzuela
D · Atlas
7.00
1 shots
· 32 pass
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ó. García | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| S. Reyes | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Vegas | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 6 | — | — |
| Juan José Guevara Possu | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Díaz | M | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Arcila | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Echeverría | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 4 | 1 | — |
| S. Santos | M | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Cambindo | F | 42 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | 1 |
| Edgar Guerra | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Beltrán | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Alvarado | F | 35 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Cortizo | M | 35 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Valadez | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Atlas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sánchez | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Schlegel | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| M. Capasso | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Ferrareis | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| É. Zaldívar | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rocha | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 57 | 47% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Hernández | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| A. González | M | 57 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Duk | M | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Mmaee | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Lozano | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Luís Esteves | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Valenzuela | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| V. RÃos | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leon vs Atlas?
The final score was Leon 2–3 Atlas.
What did the model predict before Leon vs Atlas?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Leon win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Atlas win.