Liga MX
· Apertura - 12
October 18, 2026 03:00
Jose Alvarado
(ast. Daniel Arcila)
53'
Ivan Moreno
82'
Ismael Díaz
(ast. Fernando Beltran)
90'+6
(pen.)
24'
Henry Martin
34'
(ast. Henry Martin)
Carlos Álvarez
58'
(ast. Carlos Álvarez)
Erick Sánchez
84'
(ast. Brian Rodríguez)
Oscar Andres Perea Abonce
90'
(ast. Oscar Andres Perea Abonce)
Brian Rodríguez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club America a 41% win probability (draw 23%, Leon 34%). The final result was Leon 3–5 Club America. In 3 previous meetings, Leon have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Club America.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
15
7
Shots on target
10
1.64
Actual xG
2.19
5
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
2
11
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
21'
24'
(pen.)
Henry Martin⚽
Jhohan Romana
28'
34'
ast. Henry Martin ·
Carlos Álvarez⚽
Daniel Arcila
45'+3
45'+6
Franco Rossano
45'+7
Israel Reyes
Jesús Lara
/ Jose Alvarado
45'
⚽Jose Alvarado
· ast. Daniel Arcila
53'
58'
ast. Carlos Álvarez ·
Erick Sánchez⚽
Juan Guevara
61'
Edgar Guerra
/ Ismael Díaz
63'
Jose Rodriguez
/ Juan Dominguez
63'
74'
Edwin Cerrillo
/
Erick Sánchez
75'
Cristian Borja
/
Franco Rossano
Daniel Arcila
/ Fernando Beltran
75'
75'
Álex Zendejas
80'
Isaias Violante
/
Álex Zendejas
⚽Ivan Moreno
82'
83'
Oscar Andres Perea Abonce
/
Carlos Álvarez
83'
Alan Cervantes
/
Israel Reyes
84'
ast. Brian Rodríguez ·
Oscar Andres Perea Abonce⚽
90'+1
Edwin Cerrillo
Juan Dominguez
90'+1
⚽Ismael Díaz
· ast. Fernando Beltran
90'+6
90'
ast. Oscar Andres Perea Abonce ·
Brian Rodríguez⚽
Pre-match prediction
34.82%
Leon
23.88%
X
41.3%
Club ←
we assigned to the actual result (Club America)
41.3%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.42
1.64
-0.78
2.76
2.19
-0.57
Club America dominated by xG (2.19 vs 1.64).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Ó. García
G
Ó. García
G
26
S. Reyes
D
S. Reyes
D
3
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
14
J. Romaña
D
J. Romaña
D
7
I. Moreno
1 ⚽
D
I. Moreno
1 ⚽
D
29
J. Rodríguez
63'
M
J. Rodríguez
63'
M
13
D. Arcila
1 👟
75'
M
D. Arcila
1 👟
75'
M
203
J. Lara
45'
M
J. Lara
45'
M
20
R. Echeverría
M
R. Echeverría
M
18
E. Guerra
63'
M
E. Guerra
63'
M
27
D. Cambindo
F
D. Cambindo
F
Bench
33
A. Villegas
D
A. Villegas
D
4
B. Colula
D
B. Colula
D
6
F. Beltrán
1 👟
15'
M
F. Beltrán
1 👟
15'
M
11
I. Díaz
1 ⚽
27'
F
I. Díaz
1 ⚽
27'
F
19
J. Alvarado
1 ⚽
45'
F
J. Alvarado
1 ⚽
45'
F
8
J. Domínguez
27'
M
J. Domínguez
27'
M
25
P. Bellón
D
P. Bellón
D
21
S. Londoño
F
S. Londoño
F
5
S. Vegas
D
S. Vegas
D
1
L. Malagón
G
L. Malagón
G
24
F. Rossano
75'
D
F. Rossano
75'
D
15
S. Ramos
D
S. Ramos
D
14
S. Bueno
D
S. Bueno
D
34
D. Espinoza
D
D. Espinoza
D
3
I. Reyes
83'
M
I. Reyes
83'
M
28
É. Sánchez
1 ⚽
74'
M
É. Sánchez
1 ⚽
74'
M
7
B. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
B. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
8
Carlos Álvarez
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
M
Carlos Álvarez
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
M
10
A. Zendejas
80'
M
A. Zendejas
80'
M
9
H. Martín
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
H. Martín
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
13
A. Cervantes
7'
M
A. Cervantes
7'
M
20
A. Gutiérrez
M
A. Gutiérrez
M
26
C. Borja
15'
D
C. Borja
15'
D
6
E. Cerrillo
16'
M
E. Cerrillo
16'
M
2
E. Lara
D
E. Lara
D
12
I. Violante
10'
F
I. Violante
10'
F
5
K. Álvarez
D
K. Álvarez
D
32
M. Vázquez
D
M. Vázquez
D
22
Ó. Perea
1 ⚽
1 👟
7'
F
Ó. Perea
1 ⚽
1 👟
7'
F
30
R. Cota
G
R. Cota
G
Best on the pitch
Carlos Álvarez
M · Club
8.34
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 31 pass
B. Rodríguez
M · Club
8.18
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 24 pass
H. Martín
F · Club
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 21 pass
Ó. Perea
F · Club
7.52
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 1 pass
J. Alvarado
F · Leon
7.33
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
É. Sánchez
M · Club
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ó. García | G | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Reyes | D | 90 | 4.84 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan José Guevara Possu | D | 90 | 5.55 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 33% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Romaña | D | 90 | 5.19 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.63 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 63 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Arcila | M | 75 | 5.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 19% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Lara | M | 45 | 5.61 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Echeverría | M | 90 | 5.82 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Guerra | M | 63 | 6.23 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Cambindo | F | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Beltrán | M | 15 | 5.96 | — | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Díaz | F | 27 | 7.18 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Alvarado | F | 45 | 7.33 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Domínguez | M | 27 | 5.65 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
Club America — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Malagón | G | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Rossano | D | 75 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Ramos | D | 90 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Bueno | D | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Espinoza | D | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Reyes | M | 83 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| É. Sánchez | M | 74 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 8.18 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Álvarez | M | 83 | 8.34 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Zendejas | M | 80 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Martín | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cervantes | M | 7 | 5.60 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Borja | D | 15 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Cerrillo | M | 16 | 5.73 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Violante | F | 10 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Ó. Perea | F | 7 | 7.52 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leon vs Club America?
The final score was Leon 3–5 Club America.
What did the model predict before Leon vs Club America?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Leon win, 23% to a draw, and 41% to an Club America win.