Liga MX
· Clausura - 15
April 19, 2026 05:06
I. Diaz
(ast. I. Moreno)
30'
I. Diaz
(ast. D. Cambindo)
45'+2
D. Arcila
(ast. I. Diaz)
68'
(pen.)
52'
O. Estupinan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leon a 50% win probability (draw 23%, FC Juarez 26%). The final result was Leon 3–1 FC Juarez. In 1 previous meetings, Leon have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Juarez.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
5
1.28
Actual xG
1.69
2
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
8
24
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽I. Diaz
· ast. I. Moreno
30'
⚽I. Diaz
· ast. D. Cambindo
45'+2
I. Moreno
/ B. Colula
46'
46'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
/
J. Aquino
46'
E. Ayon
/
H. E. Martinez Yepez
46'
Guilherme Castilho
/
R. Pizarro
52'
(pen.)
O. Estupinan⚽
56'
L. A. Carmona
/
M. Mosquera
57'
L. Dupuy
/
O. Estupinan
E. Rodriguez
/ N. Vallejo
57'
F. Beltran Cruz
/ D. Arcila
57'
B. Colula
65'
⚽D. Arcila
· ast. I. Diaz
68'
D. Cambindo
/ A. Alvarado
76'
R. Echeverria
/ J. Cortizo
86'
Pre-match prediction
50.58%
Leon ←
23.22%
X
26.2%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Leon)
50.58%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
1.28
-0.66
1.24
1.69
+0.45
FC Juarez dominated by xG (1.69 vs 1.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
G
26
Salvador Reyes
D
Salvador Reyes
D
21
S. Barreiro
D
S. Barreiro
D
2
V. Gauthier
D
7
Iván Moreno
1 👟
45'
D
Iván Moreno
1 👟
45'
D
29
M
11
I. Díaz
2 ⚽
1 👟
M
I. Díaz
2 ⚽
1 👟
M
6
Fernando Beltrán
57'
M
Fernando Beltrán
57'
M
20
R. Echeverría
86'
M
R. Echeverría
86'
M
99
Emilio Rodriguez
57'
M
Emilio Rodriguez
57'
M
27
D. Cambindo
1 👟
76'
F
D. Cambindo
1 👟
76'
F
Bench
4
Bryan Colula
45'
D
Bryan Colula
45'
D
13
D. Arcila
1 ⚽
33'
M
D. Arcila
1 ⚽
33'
M
22
N. Vallejo
33'
F
N. Vallejo
33'
F
1
Sebastián Jurado
G
Sebastián Jurado
G
4
D
26
D
3
Moises Mosquera
56'
D
Moises Mosquera
56'
D
22
Javier Aquino
45'
D
Javier Aquino
45'
D
18
Homer Martinez
45'
M
Homer Martinez
45'
M
5
Denzell Garcia
M
Denzell Garcia
M
11
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
10
R. Pizarro
45'
M
R. Pizarro
45'
M
20
J. Torres
M
J. Torres
M
19
Óscar Estupiñán
1 ⚽
57'
F
Óscar Estupiñán
1 ⚽
57'
F
Bench
237
E. Lopez
M
29
Ettson Ayón
45'
F
Ettson Ayón
45'
F
33
Francisco Nevarez
45'
D
Francisco Nevarez
45'
D
8
Guilherme Castilho
45'
M
Guilherme Castilho
45'
M
17
Luca Martínez Dupuy
33'
F
Luca Martínez Dupuy
33'
F
9
Madson de Souza Silva
F
Madson de Souza Silva
F
13
Raymundo Fulgencio
M
Raymundo Fulgencio
M
Best on the pitch
I. Díaz
M · Leon
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 31 pass
M · Leon
8.00
· 66 pass
D. Arcila
M · Leon
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Iván Moreno
D · Leon
7.60
1 👟
· 15 pass
Sebastián Jurado
G · FC
7.30
· 19 pass
G · Leon
7.20
· 41 pass
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Salvador Reyes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Barreiro | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Gauthier | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Moreno | D | 45 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 13% | 5 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 66 | 52% | 6 | — | — | |
| I. Díaz | M | 90 | 9.00 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Beltrán | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Echeverría | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Emilio Rodriguez | M | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Cambindo | F | 76 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Colula | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Arcila | M | 33 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| N. Vallejo | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastián Jurado | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 23% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 31% | 1 | — | — | |
| Moises Mosquera | D | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Javier Aquino | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Homer Martinez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Denzell Garcia | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Pizarro | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Óscar Estupiñán | F | 57 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Ettson Ayón | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Nevarez | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme Castilho | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Luca Martínez Dupuy | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leon vs FC Juarez?
The final score was Leon 3–1 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before Leon vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Leon win, 23% to a draw, and 26% to an FC Juarez win.