Liga MX
· Apertura - 5
August 22, 2026 03:00
J. Cortizo
(ast. D. Cambindo)
24'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leon a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Monterrey 33%). The final result was Leon 2–0 Monterrey. In 2 previous meetings, Leon have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Monterrey.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
4
1.71
Actual xG
1.31
35%
Possession
65%
3
Corners
10
Match Events
⚽J. Cortizo
· ast. D. Cambindo
24'
45'
R. Chavez
46'
L. Orellano
/
R. Chavez
D. Cambindo
/ A. Alvarado
60'
F. Beltran Cruz
/ J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
60'
J. Romana
66'
J. Cortizo
/ P. Bellon
68'
68'
O. Torres
/
F. Ambriz
Pre-match prediction
35.4%
Leon ←
30.84%
X
33.77%
Monterrey
we assigned to the actual result (Leon)
35.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
1.71
+0.01
1.36
1.31
-0.05
Leon dominated by xG (1.71 vs 1.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leon vs Monterrey?
The final score was Leon 2–0 Monterrey.
What did the model predict before Leon vs Monterrey?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Leon win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Monterrey win.