Leon - Necaxa
Friendlies Clubs
July 11, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.37%
Win
Leon
29.9%
Draw
33.74%
Win
Necaxa
3.52
3.16
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–3
(4.8%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
30%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
64%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Leon a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Necaxa. Expected goals are 3.5 for Leon and 3.2 for Necaxa (total 6.7), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–3 at 4.8% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Leon have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Necaxa.
Season Stats
2W
0D
1L
3W
1D
0L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
2.2
2.7
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
2W
0D
1L
· at home
2W
1D
0L
· away
4.0
gls/g
2.7
2.7
Conceded
1.3
67%
Win %
67%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
67%
O 3.5
33%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Leon
Necaxa →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Leon
Attack
90
Defence
29
Form
71
Necaxa
Attack
43
Defence
75
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Leon vs Necaxa?
The model gives Leon a 36% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 33% for an Necaxa win.
How many goals are expected in Leon vs Necaxa?
Expected goals: Leon 3.5, Necaxa 3.2 (total 6.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Leon vs Necaxa?
3–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 4.8%.