Liga MX
· Apertura - 3
August 02, 2026 03:00
D. Arcila
41'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Pachuca a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Leon 33%). The final result was Leon 1–0 CF Pachuca. In 2 previous meetings, Leon have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for CF Pachuca.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
1
0.98
Actual xG
0.75
1
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
6
24
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
7
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
F. Beltran Cruz
24'
J. Guevara
32'
34'
O. Idrissi
S. Vegas
37'
⚽D. Arcila
41'
52'
F. Venegas
57'
M. Isais
/
F. Venegas
57'
G. Alvarez
/
N. Vallejo
F. Beltran Cruz
/ D. Cambindo
57'
62'
C. Rivera
64'
A. Bautista
/
R. Pizarro
D. Arcila
/ L. Valadez
69'
E. Guerra
/ J. Lara
69'
75'
A. Alcaraz
/
S. Rondon
75'
A. Dominguez
/
O. Idrissi
75'
Eduardo Bauermann
R. Echeverria
82'
82'
C. Moreno
84'
S. D. Barreto
87'
A. Alcaraz
90'+2
A. Mozo
I. Moreno
/ B. Colula
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.01%
Leon ←
31.86%
X
35.12%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (Leon)
33.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
0.98
-0.11
1.40
0.75
-0.66
xG dominance was balanced (0.98 – 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Ó. García
G
Ó. García
G
5
S. Vegas
D
S. Vegas
D
3
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
14
J. Romaña
D
J. Romaña
D
7
I. Moreno
89'
D
I. Moreno
89'
D
29
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
18
E. Guerra
69'
M
E. Guerra
69'
M
6
F. Beltrán
57'
M
F. Beltrán
57'
M
20
R. Echeverría
M
R. Echeverría
M
16
J. Cortizo
M
J. Cortizo
M
13
D. Arcila
1 ⚽
69'
F
D. Arcila
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
4
B. Colula
10'
D
B. Colula
10'
D
185
Christopher Mora
D
Christopher Mora
D
27
D. Cambindo
33'
F
D. Cambindo
33'
F
203
J. Lara
21'
D
J. Lara
21'
D
35
Luis Valadez
21'
M
Luis Valadez
21'
M
25
P. Bellón
D
P. Bellón
D
22
S. Santos
M
S. Santos
M
25
C. Moreno
G
C. Moreno
G
15
F. Venegas
57'
D
F. Venegas
57'
D
2
S. Barreto
D
S. Barreto
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
D
Eduardo Bauermann
D
22
A. Mozo
D
A. Mozo
D
10
E. Montiel
M
E. Montiel
M
16
C. Rivera
62'
M
C. Rivera
62'
M
11
O. Idrissi
75'
M
O. Idrissi
75'
M
7
R. Pizarro
64'
M
R. Pizarro
64'
M
21
N. Vallejo
57'
M
N. Vallejo
57'
M
23
S. Rondón
75'
F
S. Rondón
75'
F
Bench
9
Adrián Alcaraz
15'
M
Adrián Alcaraz
15'
M
26
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
26'
M
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
26'
M
8
Alexei Domínguez
15'
F
Alexei Domínguez
15'
F
211
C. Hernandez
F
C. Hernandez
F
14
C. Sánchez
D
C. Sánchez
D
187
G. Ãlvarez
33'
F
G. Ãlvarez
33'
F
19
I. Hernández
F
I. Hernández
F
13
J. Berlanga
D
J. Berlanga
D
31
J. Eulogio
G
J. Eulogio
G
6
M. Isaís
33'
D
M. Isaís
33'
D
Best on the pitch
Juan José Guevara Possu
D · Leon
7.90
· 71 pass
D. Arcila
F · Leon
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
I. Moreno
D · Leon
7.60
1 shots
· 34 pass
C. Moreno
G · CF
7.60
· 25 pass
J. Rodríguez
M · Leon
7.50
· 42 pass
J. Cortizo
M · Leon
7.50
1 shots
· 42 pass
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ó. García | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| S. Vegas | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 41% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Juan José Guevara Possu | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 67% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Romaña | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| E. Guerra | M | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Beltrán | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Echeverría | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Cortizo | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 7 | — | — |
| D. Arcila | F | 69 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Colula | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Cambindo | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lara | D | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Valadez | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moreno | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Venegas | D | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Barreto | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Mozo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 4 | 1 | — |
| E. Montiel | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Rivera | M | 62 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | 1 |
| O. Idrissi | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Pizarro | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Vallejo | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Rondón | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Alcaraz | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexei Domínguez | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| G. Ãlvarez | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Isaís | D | 33 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leon vs CF Pachuca?
The final score was Leon 1–0 CF Pachuca.
What did the model predict before Leon vs CF Pachuca?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Leon win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an CF Pachuca win.