Leones del Norte 1–1 Guayaquil City FC — pre-match prediction — LigaPro — July 23, 2026

← LigaPro

LigaPro · Regular Season - 21 July 23, 2026 23:30 Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra

Leones del Norte

#8 · 39 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Guayaquil City FC

#8 · 46 pts

Darío Pazmiño (ast. Cristhian Solano) 61'

10' (ast. Edinson Mero) Pablo González

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leones del Norte a 48% win probability (draw 31%, Guayaquil City FC 19%). The final result was Leones del Norte 1–1 Guayaquil City FC. In 2 previous meetings, Leones del Norte have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Guayaquil City FC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

59%

Possession

41%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

10'

ast. Edinson Mero · Pablo González⚽

21'

Roger Arias

Martín Caramuto

24'

32'

Miller Bolaños

45'+1

Gilmar Napa

↕ Martín Caramuto / Elián Pepinós

46'

⚽Darío Pazmiño · ast. Cristhian Solano

61'

68'

Anderson Naula / Pablo González ↕

68'

Esnaider Cabezas / Damián Díaz ↕

68'

Erick Ladines / Joshue Quinonez ↕

↕ Charles Vélez / Patricio Madero

70'

↕ Darío Pazmiño / Nestor Caicedo

81'

↕ Cristhian Solano / Segundo Portocarrero

81'

↕ Mauro Luque / Ariel Aguas

81'

82'

Diego Dorregaray / Miller Bolaños ↕

Jordan Morán

89'

90'

Manuel Palma / Edinson Mero ↕

Pre-match prediction

48.32%

Leones

31.84%

X ←

19.84%

Guayaquil

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.84% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Leones

1.03

—

Guayaquil

0.54

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	33	78
1	Independiente del Valle	30	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	51
2	Macara	34	63
3	Universidad Catolica	34	53
3	Macara	30	51
4	Aucas	30	50
4	LDU de Quito	34	53
5	Aucas	34	51
5	LDU de Quito	30	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	44
6	Barcelona SC	33	48
7	Libertad	30	41
7	Libertad	34	50
8	Leones del Norte	30	39
8	Guayaquil City FC	34	46
9	Leones del Norte	34	43
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	39
10	Emelec	34	42
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	38
11	Emelec	30	36
11	Deportivo Cuenca	34	44
12	Mushuc Runa SC	34	40
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	36
13	Orense SC	30	33
13	Orense SC	34	38
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	32
14	Tecnico Universitario	34	36
15	Delfin SC	34	35
15	Delfin SC	30	28
16	Manta FC	30	21
16	Manta FC	34	27

Lineups

Leones del Norte 4-4-2

Leonel Nazareno G 6.20

M. de la Cruz D 6.30

J. Morán D 7.50

N. Monserrat D 6.60

M. Luque 81' D 6.70

C. Solano 1 👟 81' M 7.20

C. Velez 70' M 6.30

Emiliano Griffa M 7.00

Martín Caramuto 45' M 6.70

D. Pazmiño 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.30

Juan Luis Anangonó León F 6.70

Bench

A. Aguas 9' D 6.30

A. Rosales D

Elián Pepinós 45' M 7.50

F. Vargas D

J. Arroyo G

Jorge Cabeza M

Miguel Caicedo D

N. Caicedo 9' F 6.50

P. Madero 20' M 6.60

R. Borja M

S. Portocarrero 9' D 6.60

T. Coppo M

Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1

G. Napa G 7.30

R. Arias D 6.50

J. Quiñónez 68' D 6.70

Y. Rodríguez D 6.60

J. Ayovi D 6.60

S. Laurino M 7.00

D. Arroyo M 7.00

D. Díaz 68' M 6.50

P. González 1 ⚽ 68' M 7.20

M. Bolaños 82' M 6.60

E. Mero 1 👟 89' F 7.30

Bench

A. Naula 22' M 6.90

D. Dorregaray 8' F 6.50

E. Cabezas 22' D 7.00

E. Ladines 22' D 6.60

F. Rivadeneira M

Jonathan Miller Ordóñez Cruz M

J. Vivar F

K. Sambonino M

Manuel Palma 1' F

Rodrigo Ramiro Perea Salazar G

Best on the pitch

J. Morán

D · Leones

7.50

· 48 pass

Elián Pepinós

M · Leones

7.50

· 25 pass

E. Mero

F · Guayaquil

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 16 pass

D. Pazmiño

F · Leones

7.30

1 ⚽

8 shots · 44 pass

G. Napa

G · Guayaquil

7.30

· 27 pass

P. González

M · Guayaquil

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 17 pass

Leones del Norte — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Leonel Nazareno	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
M. de la Cruz	D	90	6.30	—	—	2	39	35%	—	—	—
J. Morán	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	48	42%	4	1	—
N. Monserrat	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	35	29%	3	—	—
M. Luque	D	81	6.70	—	—	1	35	28%	—	—	—
C. Solano	M	81	7.20	—	1	6	33	29%	2	—	—
C. Velez	M	70	6.30	—	—	1	37	32%	—	—	—
Emiliano Griffa	M	90	7.00	—	—	1	43	40%	2	—	—
Martín Caramuto	M	45	6.70	—	—	2	19	13%	1	1	—
D. Pazmiño	F	81	7.30	1	—	8	44	31%	3	—	—
Juan Luis Anangonó León	F	90	6.70	—	—	2	12	8%	2	—	—
A. Aguas	D	9	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Elián Pepinós	M	45	7.50	—	—	—	25	21%	—	—	—
N. Caicedo	F	9	6.50	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
P. Madero	M	20	6.60	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
S. Portocarrero	D	9	6.60	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—

Guayaquil City FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Napa	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	27	7%	—	1	—
R. Arias	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	30	23%	—	1	—
J. Quiñónez	D	68	6.70	—	—	—	23	18%	—	—	—
Y. Rodríguez	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	15	9%	2	—	—
J. Ayovi	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	14	14%	1	—	—
S. Laurino	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	41	36%	2	—	—
D. Arroyo	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	27	23%	3	—	—
D. Díaz	M	68	6.50	—	—	—	26	21%	1	—	—
P. González	M	68	7.20	1	—	1	17	11%	1	—	—
M. Bolaños	M	82	6.60	—	—	2	31	25%	3	1	—
E. Mero	F	89	7.30	—	1	1	16	12%	—	—	—
A. Naula	M	22	6.90	—	—	—	8	8%	2	—	—
D. Dorregaray	F	8	6.50	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
E. Cabezas	D	22	7.00	—	—	—	10	6%	—	—	—
E. Ladines	D	22	6.60	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—
Manuel Palma	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

The final score was Leones del Norte 1–1 Guayaquil City FC.

What did the model predict before Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

The model assigned 48% probability to a Leones del Norte win, 31% to a draw, and 19% to an Guayaquil City FC win.