Leones del Norte 1–1 Guayaquil City FC — pre-match prediction — LigaPro — July 23, 2026

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LigaPro · Regular Season - 21 July 23, 2026 23:30 Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra

Leones del Norte

#7 · 31 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Guayaquil City FC

#9 · 28 pts

Darío Pazmiño (ast. Cristhian Solano) 61'

10' (ast. Edinson Mero) Pablo González

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leones del Norte a 48% win probability (draw 31%, Guayaquil City FC 19%). The final result was Leones del Norte 1–1 Guayaquil City FC. In 1 previous meetings, Leones del Norte have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Guayaquil City FC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

59%

Possession

41%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

10'

ast. Edinson Mero · Pablo González⚽

21'

Roger Arias

Martín Caramuto

24'

32'

Miller Bolaños

45'+1

Gilmar Napa

↕ Martín Caramuto / Elián Pepinós

46'

⚽Darío Pazmiño · ast. Cristhian Solano

61'

68'

Anderson Naula / Pablo González ↕

68'

Esnaider Cabezas / Damián Díaz ↕

68'

Erick Ladines / Joshue Quinonez ↕

↕ Charles Vélez / Patricio Madero

70'

↕ Darío Pazmiño / Nestor Caicedo

81'

↕ Cristhian Solano / Segundo Portocarrero

81'

↕ Mauro Luque / Ariel Aguas

81'

82'

Diego Dorregaray / Miller Bolaños ↕

Jordan Morán

89'

90'

Manuel Palma / Edinson Mero ↕

Pre-match prediction

48.32%

Leones

31.84%

X ←

19.84%

Guayaquil

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.84% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Leones

1.03

—

Guayaquil

0.54

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	22	55
2	Universidad Catolica	22	36
3	Macara	22	35
4	Aucas	22	35
5	Barcelona SC	22	34
6	LDU de Quito	22	32
7	Leones del Norte	22	31
8	Deportivo Cuenca	22	31
9	Guayaquil City FC	22	28
10	Libertad	22	27
11	Tecnico Universitario	22	26
12	Orense SC	22	26
13	Mushuc Runa SC	22	25
14	Emelec	22	25
15	Delfin SC	22	23
16	Manta FC	22	14

Lineups

Leones del Norte 4-4-2

Leonel Nazareno G 6.20

Maiky De La Cruz D 6.30

J. Morán D 7.50

Nicolás Monserrat D 6.60

Mauro Luque 81' D 6.70

Cristhian Solano 1 👟 81' M 7.20

Charles Vélez 70' M 6.30

Emiliano Griffa M 7.00

Martín Caramuto 45' M 6.70

Darío Pazmiño 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.30

Juan Anangonó F 6.70

Bench

Anthony Folleco D

Ariel Aguas 9' D 6.30

Elián Pepinós 45' M 7.50

Frixon Joel Vargas Manzaba D

Jeferson Arroyo G

Jorge Cabeza M

Miguel Caicedo D

Nestor Caicedo 9' F 6.50

Patricio Madero 20' M 6.60

Ronny Borja M

Segundo Portocarrero 9' D 6.60

Tobías Coppo M

Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1

Gilmar Napa G 7.30

Roger Arias D 6.50

Joshue Quinonez 68' D 6.70

Yardely Rodriguez D 6.60

Junior Ayovi D 6.60

Santiago Laurino M 7.00

Dixon Arroyo M 7.00

Damián Díaz 68' M 6.50

Pablo González 1 ⚽ 68' M 7.20

Miller Bolaños 82' M 6.60

Edinson Mero 1 👟 89' F 7.30

Bench

Anderson Naula 22' M 6.90

Diego Dorregaray 8' F 6.50

Erick Ladines 22' D 6.60

Esnaider Cabezas 22' D 7.00

Frank Rivadeneira M

Janus Vivar F

Jonathan Miller Ordóñez Cruz M

Kevin Sambonino M

Manuel Palma 1' F

Rodrigo Perea G

Best on the pitch

J. Morán

D · Leones

7.50

· 48 pass

Elián Pepinós

M · Leones

7.50

· 25 pass

Edinson Mero

F · Guayaquil

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 16 pass

Gilmar Napa

G · Guayaquil

7.30

· 27 pass

Darío Pazmiño

F · Leones

7.30

1 ⚽

8 shots · 44 pass

Pablo González

M · Guayaquil

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 17 pass

Leones del Norte — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Leonel Nazareno	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
Maiky De La Cruz	D	90	6.30	—	—	2	39	35%	—	—	—
J. Morán	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	48	42%	4	1	—
Nicolás Monserrat	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	35	29%	3	—	—
Mauro Luque	D	81	6.70	—	—	1	35	28%	—	—	—
Cristhian Solano	M	81	7.20	—	1	6	33	29%	2	—	—
Charles Vélez	M	70	6.30	—	—	1	37	32%	—	—	—
Emiliano Griffa	M	90	7.00	—	—	1	43	40%	2	—	—
Martín Caramuto	M	45	6.70	—	—	2	19	13%	1	1	—
Darío Pazmiño	F	81	7.30	1	—	8	44	31%	3	—	—
Juan Anangonó	F	90	6.70	—	—	2	12	8%	2	—	—
Ariel Aguas	D	9	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Elián Pepinós	M	45	7.50	—	—	—	25	21%	—	—	—
Nestor Caicedo	F	9	6.50	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Patricio Madero	M	20	6.60	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
Segundo Portocarrero	D	9	6.60	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—

Guayaquil City FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Gilmar Napa	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	27	7%	—	1	—
Roger Arias	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	30	23%	—	1	—
Joshue Quinonez	D	68	6.70	—	—	—	23	18%	—	—	—
Yardely Rodriguez	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	15	9%	2	—	—
Junior Ayovi	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	14	14%	1	—	—
Santiago Laurino	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	41	36%	2	—	—
Dixon Arroyo	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	27	23%	3	—	—
Damián Díaz	M	68	6.50	—	—	—	26	21%	1	—	—
Pablo González	M	68	7.20	1	—	1	17	11%	1	—	—
Miller Bolaños	M	82	6.60	—	—	2	31	25%	3	1	—
Edinson Mero	F	89	7.30	—	1	1	16	12%	—	—	—
Anderson Naula	M	22	6.90	—	—	—	8	8%	2	—	—
Diego Dorregaray	F	8	6.50	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Erick Ladines	D	22	6.60	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—
Esnaider Cabezas	D	22	7.00	—	—	—	10	6%	—	—	—
Manuel Palma	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

The final score was Leones del Norte 1–1 Guayaquil City FC.

What did the model predict before Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

The model assigned 48% probability to a Leones del Norte win, 31% to a draw, and 19% to an Guayaquil City FC win.