Leones del Norte 0–1 Tecnico Universitario — pre-match prediction — LigaPro — September 13, 2026

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LigaPro · Regular Season - 30 September 13, 2026 20:00 Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra

Leones del Norte

#8 · 39 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Tecnico Universitario

#14 · 32 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Leones del Norte, result Tecnico Universitario wins

36' (ast. Luis Estupiñan) Bagner Delgado

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leones del Norte a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Tecnico Universitario 16%). The final result was Leones del Norte 0–1 Tecnico Universitario. In 1 previous meetings, Leones del Norte have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tecnico Universitario.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

62%

Possession

38%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

28'

Yorlin Edwin Arce Mina

36'

ast. Luis Estupiñan · Bagner Delgado⚽

↕ Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio / Segundo Portocarrero

45'

↕ Jordan Eduardo Morán Cortez / Brian Gastón Kreiman

45'

Elian Pepinos

53'

Segundo Portocarrero

57'

↕ Elian Pepinos / Thomas Amilivia

60'

67'

Carlos Cuero / Yorlin Edwin Arce Mina ↕

67'

Heuyín Anel Guardia González / Johan Bocanegra ↕

69'

Marco Alexander Carrasco Bonilla / E. Mesa ↕

69'

Kener Arce / Diego Armas ↕

↕ Alexis Nicolás Monserrat / Dario Pazmino

74'

77'

Diego Armas

M. Córdoba

77'

78'

Adrian Cela

79'

Cesar Castano / Luis Estupiñan ↕

↕ Patricio Madero / Maiky de la Cruz

85'

Emiliano Griffa

87'

90'+5

A. Morales

Pre-match prediction

66.92%

Leones

16.75%

16.33%

Tecnico ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Tecnico Universitario) 16.33% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Leones

2.66

—

Tecnico

1.15

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	33	78
1	Independiente del Valle	30	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	51
2	Macara	34	63
3	Universidad Catolica	34	53
3	Macara	30	51
4	Aucas	30	50
4	LDU de Quito	34	53
5	Aucas	34	51
5	LDU de Quito	30	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	44
6	Barcelona SC	33	48
7	Libertad	30	41
7	Libertad	34	50
8	Leones del Norte	30	39
8	Guayaquil City FC	34	46
9	Leones del Norte	34	43
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	39
10	Emelec	34	42
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	38
11	Emelec	30	36
11	Deportivo Cuenca	34	44
12	Mushuc Runa SC	34	40
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	36
13	Orense SC	30	33
13	Orense SC	34	38
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	32
14	Tecnico Universitario	34	36
15	Delfin SC	34	35
15	Delfin SC	30	28
16	Manta FC	30	21
16	Manta FC	34	27

Lineups

Leones del Norte 4-1-4-1

M. Ramírez G 6.67

Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio 45' D 6.46

J. Morán 45' D 6.73

N. Monserrat 74' D 6.41

M. Luque D 6.17

T. Coppo M 6.61

C. Solano M 6.63

Emiliano Griffa M 6.46

P. Madero 85' M 6.22

Elián Pepinós 60' M 6.09

Juan Luis Anangonó León F 6.85

Bench

A. Aguas D 0.00

A. Rosales D 0.00

B. Kreiman 45' D 6.95

C. Velez M 0.00

D. Pazmiño 16' M 6.90

F. Vargas D 0.00

J. Arellano D 0.00

J. Congo G 0.00

M. de la Cruz 5' D 6.36

O. Cabeza M 0.00

S. Portocarrero 12' D 5.22

T. Amilivia 30' F 6.29

Tecnico Universitario 4-4-2

Ayrton Morales G 6.79

Y. Arce 67' D 6.00

S. Mena D 6.61

J. Anaya D 6.85

E. Mesa 69' D 6.24

B. Delgado 1 ⚽ M 8.07

A. Cela M 6.08

J. Majao M 7.06

L. Estupiñán 1 👟 79' M 7.64

J. Bocanegra 67' F 6.70

D. Armas 69' F 6.38

Bench

Anthony Castilo F 0.00

C. Castaño 11' M 6.48

C. Cuero 23' D 6.58

F. Castilllo M 0.00

H. Guardia 23' F 6.38

Luis Arce Caicedo Kener 21' D 6.28

Luis Mario Cordova Mina D 0.00

M. Carrasco 21' M 6.47

S. Razzeto G 0.00

Best on the pitch

B. Delgado

M · Tecnico

8.07

1 ⚽

2 shots · 18 pass

L. Estupiñán

M · Tecnico

7.64

1 👟

2 shots · 38 pass

J. Majao

M · Tecnico

7.06

2 shots · 30 pass

B. Kreiman

D · Leones

6.95

· 21 pass

D. Pazmiño

M · Leones

6.90

1 shots · 18 pass

J. Anaya

D · Tecnico

6.85

· 18 pass

Leones del Norte — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Ramírez	G	90	6.67	—	—	0	25	19%	0	—	—
Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio	D	45	6.46	—	—	1	23	19%	1	—	—
J. Morán	D	45	6.73	—	—	0	34	32%	1	—	—
N. Monserrat	D	74	6.41	—	—	0	64	54%	0	—	—
M. Luque	D	90	6.17	—	—	2	30	20%	2	—	—
T. Coppo	M	90	6.61	—	—	0	57	49%	2	—	—
C. Solano	M	90	6.63	—	—	5	36	30%	2	—	—
Emiliano Griffa	M	90	6.46	—	—	2	60	46%	2	1	—
P. Madero	M	85	6.22	—	—	1	38	32%	2	—	—
Elián Pepinós	M	60	6.09	—	—	0	31	26%	0	1	—
Juan Luis Anangonó León	F	90	6.85	—	—	5	13	7%	0	—	—
B. Kreiman	D	45	6.95	—	—	0	21	19%	1	—	—
D. Pazmiño	M	16	6.90	—	—	1	18	14%	0	—	—
M. de la Cruz	D	5	6.36	—	—	0	4	3%	0	—	—
S. Portocarrero	D	12	5.22	—	—	0	6	6%	1	—	1
T. Amilivia	F	30	6.29	—	—	1	9	9%	0	—	—

Tecnico Universitario — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Ayrton Morales	G	90	6.79	—	—	0	21	8%	0	1	—
Y. Arce	D	67	6.00	—	—	0	23	16%	1	1	—
S. Mena	D	90	6.61	—	—	1	16	12%	0	—	—
J. Anaya	D	90	6.85	—	—	0	18	15%	3	—	—
E. Mesa	D	69	6.24	—	—	0	20	12%	4	—	—
B. Delgado	M	90	8.07	1	—	2	18	11%	0	—	—
A. Cela	M	90	6.08	—	—	0	25	16%	1	1	—
J. Majao	M	90	7.06	—	—	2	30	29%	5	—	—
L. Estupiñán	M	79	7.64	—	1	2	38	27%	2	—	—
J. Bocanegra	F	67	6.70	—	—	0	25	23%	0	—	—
D. Armas	F	69	6.38	—	—	2	30	21%	0	1	—
C. Castaño	M	11	6.48	—	—	0	4	3%	1	—	—
C. Cuero	D	23	6.58	—	—	0	6	4%	0	—	—
H. Guardia	F	23	6.38	—	—	0	3	2%	0	—	—
Luis Arce Caicedo Kener	D	21	6.28	—	—	0	6	2%	1	—	—
M. Carrasco	M	21	6.47	—	—	0	5	1%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?

The final score was Leones del Norte 0–1 Tecnico Universitario.

What did the model predict before Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?

The model assigned 66% probability to a Leones del Norte win, 16% to a draw, and 16% to an Tecnico Universitario win.