Leones del Norte - Tecnico Universitario
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
20.4°C
💨 4 km/h
· Ibarra
⚡ Pre-match analysis
66.92%
Win
Leones del Norte
16.75%
Draw
16.33%
Win
Tecnico Universitario
2.66
1.15
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Leones del Norte
66.92%
Probability
71.9%
1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.07%)
1X2 Result
✓ 71.9% hit rate (32 picks)
1
67%
X
17%
2
16%
Double Chance
✓ 96.9% hit rate (32 picks)
1X
84%
X2
33%
12
83%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Leones del Norte a 66% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 16% for Tecnico Universitario. Expected goals are 2.7 for Leones del Norte and 1.1 for Tecnico Universitario (total 3.8), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.07% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Leones del Norte have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tecnico Universitario.
Season Stats
6W
5D
4L
5W
0D
10L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
0.9
1.1
Conceded
1.8
4.1
Shots OT
3.5
3.9
Corners
4.5
52%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in LigaPro. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
5W
4D
1L
· at home
1W
0D
9L
· away
1.6
gls/g
0.5
0.8
Conceded
1.9
50%
Win %
10%
90%
Win or Draw
10%
80%
O 1.5
60%
30%
O 2.5
60%
20%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Leones del Norte
Attack
36
Defence
64
Form
47
Tecnico Universitario
Attack
32
Defence
49
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
24 May 2026
1–2
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independiente del Valle
|
29 | 71 |
| 2 |
Aucas
|
30 | 50 |
| 3 |
Universidad Catolica
|
29 | 48 |
| 4 |
Macara
|
29 | 48 |
| 5 |
LDU de Quito
|
30 | 46 |
| 6 |
Barcelona SC
|
29 | 43 |
| 7 |
Libertad
|
29 | 41 |
| 8 |
Leones del Norte
|
29 | 39 |
| 9 |
Guayaquil City FC
|
30 | 39 |
| 10 |
Mushuc Runa SC
|
30 | 38 |
| 11 |
Emelec
|
29 | 36 |
| 12 |
Deportivo Cuenca
|
30 | 36 |
| 13 |
Orense SC
|
29 | 33 |
| 14 |
Tecnico Universitario
|
29 | 29 |
| 15 |
Delfin SC
|
29 | 27 |
| 16 |
Manta FC
|
30 | 21 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
The model gives Leones del Norte a 66% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 16% for an Tecnico Universitario win.
How many goals are expected in Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
Expected goals: Leones del Norte 2.7, Tecnico Universitario 1.1 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.07%.