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Model correct — prediction Levante
C. Espi 32'
K. Arriaga (ast. J. A. Olasagasti) 87'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Levante a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Mallorca 21%). The final result was Levante 2–0 Mallorca. In 1 previous meetings, Levante have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mallorca.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
0.35
3
Saves
1
29%
Possession
71%
4
Corners
6
19
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
J. Toljan / N. Perez
23'
N. Perez
30'
C. Espi
32'
46'
J. Olaizola / D. Lopez
61'
J. Virgili / P. Torre
I. Losada / R. Brugue
64'
69'
T. Asano / Z. Luvumbo
69'
M. Calatayud / M. Valjent
M. Ryan
78'
79'
A. Prats / M. Morlanes
86'
J. Mojica
R. Brugue
86'
K. Arriaga · ast. J. A. Olasagasti
87'
I. Romero / K. Tunde
90'+2
C. Espi / K. Etta Eyong
90'+2
J. A. Olasagasti / U. Raghouber
90'+2
Dela (missed pen.)
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
55.14%
Levante ←
22.92%
X
21.94%
Mallorca
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Levante) 55.14% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Levante
1.82
1.27
-0.55
Mallorca
0.94
0.35
-0.59
Levante dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Athletic Club Athletic Club 0 0
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0 0
3 Osasuna Osasuna 0 0
4 Alaves Alaves 0 0
5 Elche Elche 0 0
6 Barcelona Barcelona 0 0
7 Getafe Getafe 0 0
8 Levante Levante 0 0
9 Malaga Malaga 0 0
10 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0 0
11 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
12 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0 0
13 Espanyol Espanyol 0 0
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 0 0
15 Real Betis Real Betis 0 0
16 Real Madrid Real Madrid 0 0
17 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
18 Sevilla Sevilla 0 0
19 Valencia Valencia 0 0
20 Villarreal Villarreal 0 0
Lineups
Levante Levante 4-4-2
13 Mathew Ryan Mathew Ryan G 8.90
23 Manuel Sánchez Manuel Sánchez D 6.90
2 Matias Moreno Matias Moreno D 7.20
4 Adrián de la Fuente Adrián de la Fuente D 7.50
22 Jeremy Toljan Jeremy Toljan 23' D 6.50
9 Iván Romero Iván Romero M 6.30
16 Kervin Arriaga Kervin Arriaga 1 ⚽ M 8.30
10 Pablo Martínez Pablo Martínez M 6.70
18 Iker Losada Iker Losada 65' M 6.90
8 Jon Ander Olasagasti Jon Ander Olasagasti 1 👟 F 7.20
19 Carlos Espí Carlos Espí 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
3 Alan Matturro Alan Matturro D
6 Diego Pampín Diego Pampín D
21 Etta Eyong Etta Eyong 4' F
11 José Luis Morales José Luis Morales F
26 Kareem Tunde Kareem Tunde 4' F
29 Nacho Pérez Nacho Pérez 73' D 6.70
20 Oriol Rey Oriol Rey M
1 Pablo Cuñat Pablo Cuñat G
27 Paco Cortés Paco Cortés F
7 Roger Brugué Roger Brugué 20' M 6.20
55 Tai Abed Tai Abed F
14 Ugo Raghouber Ugo Raghouber 4' M
Mallorca Mallorca 4-3-1-2
1 Leo Román Leo Román G 7.00
22 Johan Mojica Johan Mojica 85' D 5.90
27 David López David López 45' D 6.30
24
Martin Valjent 69' D 6.60
23 Pablo Maffeo Pablo Maffeo D 6.30
8 Manu Morlanes Manu Morlanes 79' M 6.30
10 Sergi Darder Sergi Darder M 7.00
12 Samú Costa Samú Costa M 7.00
20 Pablo Torre Pablo Torre 61' M 6.30
15 Zito Luvumbo Zito Luvumbo 69' F 6.70
7 V. Muriqi V. Muriqi F 6.90
Bench
9 Abdón Prats Abdón Prats 17' F 6.50
21 Antonio Raíllo Antonio Raíllo D
6 Antonio Sánchez Antonio Sánchez M
25 Iván Cuéllar Iván Cuéllar G
17 Jan Virgili Jan Virgili 35' F 6.30
34 Javier Olaizola Javier Olaizola 51' D 7.00
19 Javi Llabrés Javi Llabrés F
29 Luis Orejuela Luis Orejuela D
2 Mateu Morey Mateu Morey D
44 Miguel Calatayud Miguel Calatayud 27' D 6.20
11 Takuma Asano Takuma Asano 27' F 6.70
3 Toni Lato Toni Lato D
Best on the pitch
Mathew Ryan
Mathew Ryan
G · Levante
8.90
· 29 pass
Kervin Arriaga
Kervin Arriaga
M · Levante
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
Adrián de la Fuente
Adrián de la Fuente
D · Levante
7.50
· 29 pass
Carlos Espí
Carlos Espí
F · Levante
7.50
1 ⚽
5 shots · 9 pass
Matias Moreno
Matias Moreno
D · Levante
7.20
· 25 pass
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Jon Ander Olasagasti
F · Levante
7.20
1 👟
· 12 pass
Levante Levante — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mathew Ryan G 96 8.90 29 18% 1
Manuel Sánchez D 96 6.90 26 23% 4
Matias Moreno D 96 7.20 25 20% 1
Adrián de la Fuente D 96 7.50 29 24%
Jeremy Toljan D 23 6.50 10 5%
Iván Romero M 92 6.30 1 16 11% 1
Kervin Arriaga M 96 8.30 1 2 15 10% 6
Pablo Martínez M 96 6.70 12 6% 1
Iker Losada M 65 6.90 11 5% 2
Jon Ander Olasagasti F 92 7.20 1 12 7% 1
Carlos Espí F 92 7.50 1 5 9 6% 1
Etta Eyong F 4 1 1%
Kareem Tunde F 4 1 1 1%
Nacho Pérez D 73 6.70 8 4% 1 1
Roger Brugué M 20 6.20 2 1 1% 1 1
Ugo Raghouber M 4
Mallorca Mallorca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Leo Román G 96 7.00 47 45%
Johan Mojica D 85 5.90 1 45 32% 1
David López D 45 6.30 49 44% 2
Martin Valjent D 69 6.60 54 50% 2
Pablo Maffeo D 96 6.30 40 34% 1
Manu Morlanes M 79 6.30 53 46% 1
Sergi Darder M 96 7.00 1 68 61%
Samú Costa M 96 7.00 2 54 50% 2
Pablo Torre M 61 6.30 1 34 31% 1
Zito Luvumbo F 69 6.70 2 4 3%
V. Muriqi F 96 6.90 1 15 12%
Abdón Prats F 17 6.50 1
Jan Virgili F 35 6.30 7 6%
Javier Olaizola D 51 7.00 44 40% 1
Miguel Calatayud D 27 6.20 17 15%
Takuma Asano F 27 6.70 7 5% 3
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Levante vs Mallorca?
The final score was Levante 2–0 Mallorca.
What did the model predict before Levante vs Mallorca?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Levante win, 22% to a draw, and 21% to an Mallorca win.