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Levski Sofia - AC Milan

Europa League January 21, 2027 21:00
Levski Sofia
#17 · 4 pts
vs
AC Milan
#24 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.66%
Win
Levski Sofia
29.66%
Draw
29.68%
Win
AC Milan
1.57
Expected xG
0.99

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.6%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 41%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 70%
X2 59%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 57%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Levski Sofia a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 29% for AC Milan. Expected goals are 1.6 for Levski Sofia and 1.0 for AC Milan (total 2.6), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.6% probability.

Season Stats

Levski Sofia
1W 4D 2L
AC Milan
1W 0D 2L
Averages per game
0.4
Goals
1.3
0.6
Conceded
1.7
1.7
Shots OT
4.7
2.3
Corners
5.0
44%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
29%
O 1.5
100%
14%
O 2.5
67%
29%
BTTS
0%
43%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Levski Sofia
0W 2D 1L · at home
AC Milan
1W 0D 1L · away
0.0
gls/g
2.0
0.3
Conceded
1.5
0%
Win %
50%
67%
Win or Draw
50%
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
50%
100%
Failed to Score
50%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Levski Sofia AC Milan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7% 7.7% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.0% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.4% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
W Plzen 1–2
D NEC Nijmegen 1–1
L Red Bull Salzburg 0–1
L SC Braga 1–0
D SC Braga 0–0
AC Milan AC Milan
L Bournemouth 3–0
W Red Bull Salzburg 0–4
L Benfica 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
Attack
27
Defence
72
Form
48
AC Milan AC Milan
Attack
52
Defence
62
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Levski Sofia vs AC Milan?
The model gives Levski Sofia a 40% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 29% for an AC Milan win.
How many goals are expected in Levski Sofia vs AC Milan?
Expected goals: Levski Sofia 1.6, AC Milan 1.0 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Levski Sofia vs AC Milan?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.6%.