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Levski Sofia - AEK Athens FC

Champions League August 18, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.0%
Win
Levski Sofia
32.44%
Draw
31.57%
Win
AEK Athens FC
0.95
Expected xG
0.83

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.67%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 65%
Over 2.5 38%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Levski Sofia a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for AEK Athens FC. Expected goals are 1.0 for Levski Sofia and 0.8 for AEK Athens FC (total 1.8), with a 64% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.67% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Levski Sofia AEK Athens FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.8% 14.0% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.6% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

W Kairat Almaty 0–1
W Kairat Almaty 1–0
D Universitatea Craiova 2–2
W Universitatea Craiova 1–0
W Borac Banja Luka 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 61%
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
Attack
43
Defence
83
Form
75
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
Attack
53
Defence
78
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
The model gives Levski Sofia a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an AEK Athens FC win.
How many goals are expected in Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
Expected goals: Levski Sofia 1.0, AEK Athens FC 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 64%.
What is the most likely score in Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.67%.