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Levski Sofia - Kairat Almaty

Champions League August 04, 2026 19:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.37%
Win
Levski Sofia
30.42%
Draw
27.2%
Win
Kairat Almaty
1.57
Expected xG
0.56

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.76%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 30%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 58%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Levski Sofia a 42% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Kairat Almaty. Expected goals are 1.6 for Levski Sofia and 0.6 for Kairat Almaty (total 2.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.76% probability.

Season Stats

Levski Sofia
2W 2D 0L
Kairat Almaty
3W 3D 9L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
0.8
0.8
Conceded
1.7
4.0
Shots OT
2.9
7.0
Corners
2.7
61%
Poss.
41%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
53%
50%
O 2.5
47%
50%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Levski Sofia
2W 0D 0L · at home
Kairat Almaty
1W 2D 7L · away
2.5
gls/g
0.9
0.0
Conceded
1.7
100%
Win %
10%
100%
Win or Draw
30%
50%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
40%
50%
O 3.5
30%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Levski Sofia Kairat Almaty →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8% 6.6% 1.9% 0.3%
1 18.6% 10.4% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 14.7% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2%
4 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

D Universitatea Craiova 2–2
W Universitatea Craiova 1–0
W Borac Banja Luka 4–0
D Borac Banja Luka 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 59%
W Omonia Nicosia 1–0
L Omonia Nicosia 1–0
W Sutjeska 0–2
W Sutjeska 2–1
L Arsenal 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
Attack
55
Defence
84
Form
79
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
Attack
27
Defence
77
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?
The model gives Levski Sofia a 42% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 27% for an Kairat Almaty win.
How many goals are expected in Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?
Expected goals: Levski Sofia 1.6, Kairat Almaty 0.6 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.76%.