Levski Sofia - Lillestrom
Europa League
December 10, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
60.92%
Win
Levski Sofia
21.78%
Draw
17.3%
Win
Lillestrom
1.94
0.78
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Levski Sofia
60.92%
Probability
64.3%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(12.96%)
1X2 Result
1
61%
X
22%
2
17%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
83%
X2
39%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
64%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Levski Sofia a 60% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Lillestrom. Expected goals are 1.9 for Levski Sofia and 0.8 for Lillestrom (total 2.7), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.96% probability.
Season Stats
0W
3D
2L
1W
1D
1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
1.0
0.4
Conceded
1.0
0.0
Shots OT
3.7
5.0
Corners
7.7
46%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
BTTS
67%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 5 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
0W
2D
1L
· at home
0W
1D
0L
· away
0.0
gls/g
0.0
0.3
Conceded
0.0
0%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
0%
O 1.5
0%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
100%
100%
Failed to Score
100%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Levski Sofia
Lillestrom →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 12.8% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 12.4% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Levski Sofia
Attack
35
Defence
74
Form
42
Lillestrom
Attack
40
Defence
61
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom?
The model gives Levski Sofia a 60% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 17% for an Lillestrom win.
How many goals are expected in Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom?
Expected goals: Levski Sofia 1.9, Lillestrom 0.8 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.96%.