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USL Championship · Group Stage October 04, 2026 01:00
#4 · 48 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#3 · 50 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Lexington
X. Zengue (ast. M. Fry) 32'
P. Goodrum (ast. B. Ferri) 62'
B. P. Rodrigues 66'
37' (ast. R. Avila) A. Moreno
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 55% win probability (draw 17%, El Paso Locomotive 27%). The final result was Lexington 3–1 El Paso Locomotive. In 1 previous meetings, Lexington have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for El Paso Locomotive.

Match statistics
Match Events
17'
G. Diaz / Gabriel Torres ↕
24'
A. Ortiz
⚽X. Zengue · ast. M. Fry
32'
37'
ast. R. Avila · A. Moreno⚽
45'+2
J. Gonzalez
↕ Nick Firmino / B. P. Rodrigues
57'
⚽P. Goodrum · ast. B. Ferri
62'
J. Greene
64'
⚽B. P. Rodrigues
66'
67'
D. Gomez / R. Coronado ↕
67'
K. Twumasi / K. Hoban ↕
↕ M. Fry / M. Yosef
69'
↕ J. Greene / M. Muir
69'
82'
O. Mora / A. Mendez ↕
82'
C. Fernandez / R. Avila ↕
↕ P. Goodrum / T. Scott
83'
↕ B. Ferri / M. Tschantret
83'
Pre-match prediction
55.13%
Lexington ←
17.39%
X
27.49%
El
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lexington) 55.13% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lexington
3.37
—
—
El
2.42
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive?
The final score was Lexington 3–1 El Paso Locomotive.
What did the model predict before Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Lexington win, 17% to a draw, and 27% to an El Paso Locomotive win.