USL Championship · Group Stage August 02, 2026 01:00

Lexington

#4 · 48 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Monterey Bay

#12 · 24 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Lexington

B. P. Rodrigues (ast. A. Molloy) 29'

R. Nakamura 42' (og)

T. Scott 82'

2' S. Lletget

26' (ast. S. Lletget) F. Barajas

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Monterey Bay 17%). The final result was Lexington 3–2 Monterey Bay. In 2 previous meetings, Lexington have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Monterey Bay.

Match statistics

Match Events

2'

S. Lletget⚽

X. Zengue

6'

14'

R. Nakamura

26'

ast. S. Lletget · F. Barajas⚽

⚽B. P. Rodrigues · ast. A. Molloy

29'

⚽R. Nakamura (og)

42'

45'+2

J. Belmar / N. Ross ↕

↕ B. P. Rodrigues / T. Scott

56'

M. Hemmi

57'

↕ B. Ferri / M. Tschantret

72'

76'

W. Leggett / F. Barajas ↕

76'

D. Otoya / A. Saidi ↕

⚽T. Scott

82'

83'

S. Ritchie / I. Paul ↕

85'

Q. Elliot / R. Nakamura ↕

86'

Q. Elliot

88'

J. Garcia

Pre-match prediction

63.92%

Lexington ←

18.66%

X

17.41%

Monterey

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lexington) 63.92% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lexington

2.39

—

—

Monterey

1.09

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24