USL Championship
· Group Stage
July 16, 2026 01:00
P. Goodrum
70'
(pen.)
43'
G. Hurst
45'+3
(ast. O. Jabang)
V. Noel
62'
(ast. J. Melto Quiah)
G. Hurst
68'
(ast. V. Noel)
J. Melto Quiah
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 44% win probability (draw 25%, New Mexico United 29%). The final result was Lexington 1–4 New Mexico United. In 1 previous meetings, Lexington have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New Mexico United.
Match statistics
Match Events
28'
T. Blackett
A. Ordonez
40'
43'
(pen.)
G. Hurst⚽
45'+3
ast. O. Jabang ·
V. Noel⚽
J. Greene
45'+5
Nick Firmino
/ T. Scott
61'
62'
ast. J. Melto Quiah ·
G. Hurst⚽
B. Ferri
64'
A. Ordonez
/ J. Hafferty
65'
B. Ferri
/ M. Adedokun
65'
68'
ast. V. Noel ·
J. Melto Quiah⚽
69'
L. Archimede
/
V. Noel
69'
C. Wilkerson
/
C. Nava
⚽P. Goodrum
70'
B. P. Rodrigues
/ M. Yosef
83'
J. Brown
85'
86'
G. Zelalem
/
G. Hurst
86'
D. Harris
/
O. Jabang
M. Hemmi
90'+1
90'+2
N. Reid-Stephen
/
Z. Bailey
90'
G. Zelalem
Pre-match prediction
44.67%
Lexington
25.61%
X
29.72%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United)
29.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
—
—
1.46
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lexington vs New Mexico United?
The final score was Lexington 1–4 New Mexico United.
What did the model predict before Lexington vs New Mexico United?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Lexington win, 25% to a draw, and 29% to an New Mexico United win.