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← USL Championship
#4 · 48 pts
1 – 4
Final score
#1 · 52 pts
P. Goodrum 70'
(pen.) 43' G. Hurst
45'+3 (ast. O. Jabang) V. Noel
62' (ast. J. Melto Quiah) G. Hurst
68' (ast. V. Noel) J. Melto Quiah
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 44% win probability (draw 25%, New Mexico United 29%). The final result was Lexington 1–4 New Mexico United. In 1 previous meetings, Lexington have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New Mexico United.

Match statistics
Match Events
28'
T. Blackett
A. Ordonez
40'
43'
(pen.) G. Hurst⚽
45'+3
ast. O. Jabang · V. Noel⚽
J. Greene
45'+5
↕ Nick Firmino / T. Scott
61'
62'
ast. J. Melto Quiah · G. Hurst⚽
B. Ferri
64'
↕ A. Ordonez / J. Hafferty
65'
↕ B. Ferri / M. Adedokun
65'
68'
ast. V. Noel · J. Melto Quiah⚽
69'
L. Archimede / V. Noel ↕
69'
C. Wilkerson / C. Nava ↕
⚽P. Goodrum
70'
↕ B. P. Rodrigues / M. Yosef
83'
J. Brown
85'
86'
G. Zelalem / G. Hurst ↕
86'
D. Harris / O. Jabang ↕
M. Hemmi
90'+1
90'+2
N. Reid-Stephen / Z. Bailey ↕
90'
G. Zelalem
Pre-match prediction
44.67%
Lexington
25.61%
X
29.72%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United) 29.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lexington
1.66
—
—
New
1.46
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lexington vs New Mexico United?
The final score was Lexington 1–4 New Mexico United.
What did the model predict before Lexington vs New Mexico United?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Lexington win, 25% to a draw, and 29% to an New Mexico United win.