USL Championship · Group Stage September 20, 2026 01:00

Lexington

#4 · 48 pts

6 – 0

Final score

Orange County SC

#9 · 39 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Lexington

P. Goodrum (ast. Nick Firmino) 9'

M. Epps (ast. Nick Firmino) 15'

P. Goodrum (ast. B. Ferri) 24'

Nick Firmino (ast. M. Fry) 35'

P. Goodrum (ast. M. Epps) 49'

M. Tschantret 85'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 84% win probability (draw 7%, Orange County SC 7%). The final result was Lexington 6–0 Orange County SC. In 1 previous meetings, Lexington have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Orange County SC.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽P. Goodrum · ast. Nick Firmino

9'

⚽M. Epps · ast. Nick Firmino

15'

⚽P. Goodrum · ast. B. Ferri

24'

⚽Nick Firmino · ast. M. Fry

35'

38'

J. J. Carter / M. Bunbury ↕

39'

T. Espy

46'

P. Ngoie / S. Kelly ↕

⚽P. Goodrum · ast. M. Epps

49'

J. Greene

53'

↕ M. Fry / T. Scott

55'

↕ Nick Firmino / B. P. Rodrigues

55'

⚽T. Scott (missed pen.)

61'

64'

M. Palomino / O. Sylla ↕

↕ N. Okello / M. Tschantret

66'

↕ J. Greene / M. Muir

66'

↕ M. Epps / M. Yosef

72'

83'

M. War / S. Wathuta ↕

⚽M. Tschantret

85'

Pre-match prediction

84.64%

Lexington ←

7.51%

X

7.84%

Orange

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lexington) 84.64% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lexington

3.92

—

—

Orange

0.68

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24