USL Championship · Group Stage September 20, 2026 01:00

Lexington

#7 · 37 pts

6 – 0

Final score

Orange County SC

#8 · 36 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Lexington

P. Goodrum (ast. Nick Firmino) 9'

M. Epps (ast. Nick Firmino) 15'

P. Goodrum (ast. B. Ferri) 24'

Nick Firmino (ast. M. Fry) 35'

P. Goodrum (ast. M. Epps) 49'

M. Tschantret 85'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 84% win probability (draw 7%, Orange County SC 7%). The final result was Lexington 6–0 Orange County SC. In 1 previous meetings, Lexington have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Orange County SC.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽P. Goodrum · ast. Nick Firmino

9'

⚽M. Epps · ast. Nick Firmino

15'

⚽P. Goodrum · ast. B. Ferri

24'

⚽Nick Firmino · ast. M. Fry

35'

38'

J. J. Carter / M. Bunbury ↕

39'

T. Espy

46'

P. Ngoie / S. Kelly ↕

⚽P. Goodrum · ast. M. Epps

49'

J. Greene

53'

↕ M. Fry / T. Scott

55'

↕ Nick Firmino / B. P. Rodrigues

55'

⚽T. Scott (missed pen.)

61'

64'

M. Palomino / O. Sylla ↕

↕ N. Okello / M. Tschantret

66'

↕ J. Greene / M. Muir

66'

↕ M. Epps / M. Yosef

72'

83'

M. War / S. Wathuta ↕

⚽M. Tschantret

85'

Pre-match prediction

84.64%

Lexington ←

7.51%

X

7.84%

Orange

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lexington) 84.64% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lexington

3.92

—

—

Orange

0.68

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive	25	46
2	New Mexico United	24	43
3	Colorado Springs	25	38
4	San Antonio	25	37
5	Sacramento Republic	24	37
6	FC Tulsa	24	37
7	Lexington	25	37
8	Orange County SC	25	36
9	Las Vegas Lights	25	33
10	Phoenix Rising	25	33
11	Oakland Roots	25	30
12	Monterey Bay	25	18